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Investigation & reference topic for even money selections.

Started by ego, Sep 29, 12:43 PM 2012

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ego


Investigation & reference topic for even money selections.

I look this topic each time i add new information.
It is not a method or system to discuss.

This is all about observations about what we base different bet selections upon.
I exclusive write about my ideas and might be inspired by others - if so i will mention that.

You can use this topic as reference and make comparison towards your own ideas.
I hope do that you will be inspired and solve your overall game plan to the better.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

ego


Brett Morton in hes book "Playing to win" describe that he in the past at learning face used three and four previous results and play with or against does patterns/formations.

And after hes learning curve he finally come to the conclusion that the previous six gave him the best variance.
He exclusive use the Parlay as staking plan.

Now the following is my conclusion and what i think is the very best way to base you game upon using clustering patterns/formations - with slight inspiration by Brett Morton.

First i would say that you should clustering the distribution into patterns of two on a constant rolling basis.
That means that you clustering the outcomes into groups of two.

Then the distribution of red and blacks look like this:

R
R


B
R

B
B

B
B

R
B

R
R


R
R

B
R

Now you have four possibility's or four existing clustering patterns/formations.

1. RR
2. BB
3. RB
4. BR

I look at this was a dice with four sides and that our previous clustering patterns/formations is based upon the same math and probability as dice with four sides.



Now if one side repeat three times in a row you have your previous six.
Then it can continue to repeat as nothing is due to happen as we all know.

That means that i would base the bet selection playing with or against the previous six after i would have one fictive win - that way i would never chasing for something does not is due to happen.
Could also express it like that each strike of repeats or previous six has to stop repeating before making one attack - with or with out triggers.

As you know so has every bet selection its own enemy or losing event.
In this case it would be that the clustering pattern/formation fall back to back.

That would mean that if you have a dice with four sides and it repeat one side for three times in a row and end with a new show with a new side pattern/formation - so next it the dice would again fall back and repeat the same previous side three times in a row.

The variance depends on if you use trigger or not.
Lets say you have RB RB RB as your previous six.

Then each time you see red R and you attack that would be five attempts.
If you would pick RB as trigger then your attack would be four attempts.

That make you think what kind of staking plan and what kind of variance you can expect.

This also make you deal with shorter and more rapid games with higher variance.
You could pick the previous four - that would be one repeat.
Lets assume you would pick RB RB and then use R as trigger you would only have to place three attempts based upon the same principals.

Now come the question if you would ride out all does winnings waiting for you until the dice will find same side and start to repeat it self again - then you know you face does loses sooner or later.

With previous six you get a more stable variance and with previous four you get a higher variance as the games get more rapid and short.

So should you aim to win once and start over or follow the flow.
That is something you have to solve.

That was a dice with four degree of freedom.

Now you can do all dice with eight possibility's and apply the same principals.
Then you would use clustering patterns/formation of three outcomes.

That would mean that you would deal with seven in eight that same side would fall back to back.
It also known as the principal of 1/3.
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

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