P.A :PREACHING about HG!

[P.A]

for a moment, lets concentrate on, my preaching..
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Ladies and Gentlemen,
This preaching, is about how to build YOUR OWN HG..
not about my hg...


Ok, now u all already understand the importance of having a BET SELECTION that ,always has WIN/LOSE ratio, AROUND the narrow-band of probability and edge combined.

Say, u wanna bet EC, then u must test your Bet selection, bet without progression,for 111spins/set,
and bet for many thousands set [of 111spins].

Then u will see how the highest, and lowest win/lose ratio.

If the swings, always show very high profit, and very low negative, then that selection, not good.
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It the Constant huge 'SWING', from positive to negative, that cause, one elated little wins, and then horibble losses.

I had trying to tell this to some members, why they always have winning test, and then more test, they have losses...it because they had 'bad swinging bet selection'....and mated that to a progression, will deadly!!!
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A good selection will have very NARROW band width,
preferably under -10unit win/lose ratio.

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let see.
bet for 111spins, EC, with no progression.

win/lose ratio=  positive or negative.



111w/0lose=+111...impossible!
0w/111lose=-111...impossible!

55w/56L=-1 UNIT LOSSES
54W/57L=-3...the -2.7%edge.
53W/58L=-5
52W/59L=-7
51W/60L=-9
50W/61L=-11 

56W/L55=+1 unit win.
57W/54L=+3
58W/53L=+5
59W/52L=+7
60W/51L=+9
61W/50L=+11
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So if u found an EC bet selection, that after tens thousand sets, tests, that will always hit
win/lose ratio, not more than ,

say 50win/61loss=-11.

Then this mean, u are very confident that,
in the next 111spins, there will be no more than
61 LOSSES,
OR
AT LEAST 50WIN,

=[-11unit losses...]

THEN how are u going to win,
to win WITH a mild progression?!
OR FLAT-BET?!
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all above cant denied by the math boys.

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does this make sense?,

did u jump up, and eureka?
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ok, this for today, wait for next preaching.

Thanks.

[denzie]

@Atlantis.... im now up +47 with YOUR HG....

[atlantis]

Hi denzie,

Haven't had much chance to do much today...
It's great that you are doing well.

I'm not saying it is perfect and there may still need to changes required to the trigger(s).
Progression is key and integral part of the plan.

Also I hesitate to call my idea an HG either! even if according to PA, the casinos will be closing their doors all about us...

Ha - some kind of joke, I suppose.

R U playing real roulette or rng, then denzie?

A.

[denzie]

RNG with fast spins

[denzie]

Gonna compare it to P.A. his hg and see what profits most.
And this every time for about a month. Then we see what's best.

A hg to me is not a strategy that never loses. Cuz i think that doesn't exist.  But it's something that wins a minimum of 2 out of 3 sessions. And it recovers a bust in 1 session.  That is just fine by me.

[atlantis]

Hi denzie,

P.A already said his system for Red and Black could fail and that as it stood there was a FLAW that needed rectifying.
My idea was simply a tweak to try and improve his existing method; to try and make safer in case of the unexpected and bad distribution and variance which he showed can happen in his demo session betting one side of an EC on the other thread.
If anyone else can contribute constructive ideas or suggestions toward ironing out the inherent FLAW(s) then this will surely be a positive step forward to further progress on that front.
Yes -  I agree we should not expect to win win win all of the time with such methods as these.

A.

PS. I'm not sure whether PA has already got the answer to this (HG) or if this is his clumsy way to get US to help and cooperate in finding such a solution for us all. He is reluctant to divulge or share much of the detail if he does possess the answer. He seems to relish repeating facts and preaching a lot...

[6th-sense]

Ok let me just say as a quick note this ....regardless if PA has this hg figured out or not it doesn't really matter if you think you are helping him achieve this goal or not....it's at least given some a direction ...I would also like to say there are more ways to skin a cat....I bet môst of you are looking at the normal ec bets...you can of course make your own ec bèt selection apart from the norm that could give you a better win/loss ratio ...

[denzie]

Hi denzie,


PS. I'm not sure whether PA has already got the answer to this (HG) or if this is his clumsy way to get US to help and cooperate in finding such a solution for us all. He is reluctant to divulge or share much of the detail if he does possess the answer. He seems to relish repeating facts and preaching a lot...

You read my mind

[Turner]

Yes he has started on the wrong path. However, he has been giving people good advice.

This is where I am at also.

[atlantis]

I think I have made improvement with better trigger to bet arrangement, which I will set out tomorrow - but still it will be the progression to be used which will be an essential ingredient for success.
More  later.
A.

[P.A]

Ladies and Gentlemen,

I will preach about progression.

The best progression is FLATBET.

The second best is very mild ...

the third best is that could beat
the, say [EC 'worst', 30w/100L ratio]

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progression will only as best as the best bet selection, if the selection swing widely to negative , then the progression will become your worst friend, causing huge horrible losses...

Go the the Respectable GLC postings, in  forums, he has world best arsenal of progressions. Search one that suit your bet selection.


That only for progression preaching, not much to say...
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In next preaching, I will preaching about VARIANCE AVOIDANCE, and MANAGEMENT STRATEGY!!!

"VARIANCE Avoidance, mated with good BET selection, and good progression, and cut loss combination "..

a few members already left forums, as they already understand these...and of course, busily making money...

VARIANCE is the most complex, yet potent strategy to beat the casino!

[P.A]

Ladies and Gentlemen,
Get ready..

Now I will preach the most complex, hard to understand and the only way to beat the so call math of gambling...U need as patient as the Gilbratar Rock, and if u lose u TEMPER!, while listening to my preachings, about VARIANCE, then , no one can help u, but your good self!

[yes, preachings, not preaching. it is complex! Dont lose your temper, please...]
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The other day, I post a riddle, that in next 100spin of EC, the win/lose ratio=only 30w/70L=30hit/100spins.

And I say the one who knows will not say anything, and the "cant-solve-them" one, will post funny statement...Am I RIGHT!?

Ok,
in this OVERSIMPLIFIED, hypothesis, of ONLY 30win, in 100spins

the ratio=30win in 100spins

then in the next 100spins..

0spin=0lose, there will 30w in NEXT 100spins

0lose, there will 30w in next 100spins
1Lose, there will  30w in next 99spins.
2Lose, there will  30w in next 98spins.
3Lose, there will  30w in next 97spins.
4Lose, there will  30w in next 96spins.
5Lose, there will  30w in next 95spins.
6Lose, there will  30w in next 94spins.
7Lose, there will  30w in next 93spins.
8Lose, there will  30w in next 92spins.
9Lose, there will  30w in next 91spins.
10Lose, there will  w in next 90spins.

did u jump up and eureka?

I said OVERSIMPLIFIED! ...example,

ok if there is win, so how?

another oversimplified...
30win next 100spins.


10Lose/1w,there will  29w in next 89spins.
10Lose/2w,there will  28w in next 88spins.
10Lose/3w,there will  27w in next 87spins.
10Lose/4w,there will  26w in next 86spins.

did u jump up and eureka?

and now u will do reseach to win the riddle, and casino will close shop soon..hehehee
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I said OVERSIMPLIFIED!
Dont try to pick fault here, if u cant understand the word OVERSIMPLIFIED EXAMPLE, then search the dict.

Above is one of the simple in the most complex subject of gambling.

If every member understand this subject, then all the casino will need to close shop!!!

and I , the  P.A, the first and only one, in the world,  to tell u this...

Wait for next preaching.
thanks.

[LuckoftheIrish]

So what then? Track 1000 different bet selections and pick the one that is "due" the most wins? 

[P.A]

So what then? Track 1000 different bet selections and pick the one that is "due" the most wins? 

u ask the right question!

Look and u will find.
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[Members...
Read slowly and truly comprehend before u leap!
be patient, and learn slowly...we are not rushin' in to lose money!]
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track for one that MOST STABLE, that has NARROW band of win/loss ratio.

example, bet selection that always win, after many testing, always win/loss    around the math expectation.
EC   48w/52L, that 48%...
EC 45w/55L, that 45%...

EC 40w/60L, that 40%...[if no progression.will -20, if take evry bet]

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So if after rigorous testing, u had a bet election, say, RARELY lose exceed 55losses per 100bet,that 45%win rate,

and u are very confident, in the next 100spin, will have around 45hit, then how are u going to mate a progression, and a variance avoidance to them???

a wide swinging selection, will produce delighted small profit, and horrible losses.
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ANYONE knows what this animal MATH EXPECTATION?

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If u truly understand Variance avoidance, EVEN the bad WIDE swinging BET SELECTION, an opportunity itself, to win profit!...

A few OLD TIMER members here understand what I mean...
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if evryone here truly understand, and this spread, casino will closing down...or change rules!

Wait for next preaching...

[P.A]

Ladies and Gentlemen.

U need to be patient as Gilbratar Rock, Or AYER Rock, or Rocky Rock...to slow..ly read and comprehend what I preach here!

If u lose Temper!..Then u could not learn anything here...

It takes many years to be a doctor, a Phd holder , lawyer, etc..
Its not I tell u now, and tommoroww u make money at casino!
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I believed many members here had,
"I see!,Ohhh, Aha,and Eureka!",
after reading my previous preaching...
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Ladies&Gentlemen,
below a OVER simplified example.

The math boys say LONG TERM SPINS,
EC in roulette is -2.7%.

this mean in 111spins=-3losses.

so, if we think like this.

111spins=-3u losses

-3u loss in 111spins.

After...
-1u loss,then there 2loss in next 110spins.
-2loss,then there 1loss in 109spins.
-3loss,then there 0loss in 108spins.

of course, above just OVERSIMPLIFIED example.
does that lighten up a bulb?

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Now.. How to solve the,
ONLY 30hit, in 100spins.
[why 30in 100spins, because, there is possible for the worst of 30/100 to happen, so we research the worst, and learn from there..
the worst ever recorded in B&M casino is still 69red in 200spins.]

As U see the riddle stated that u could only bet and win 30hits, in 100spins, and bet any way u like.

30wins, in 100spins, will have,
I think billions of permutation.

the best is 30hit in the first 30spins, follow by 70losses, and or, first 70losses, with last 30hit streaks.
That impossible to happen, but the math boy say it the probability, so be it..we dont argue with the math genius!

So  how are u going to win ?
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Wait for next preaching.
Thanks.
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any opinion???