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Topics - beretta28

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1
Mathematics / 3 spins out of 7/probability
« on: July 07, 2014, 09:04:41 PM »
I have some difficulties to find out the probability of winning 3 spins minimum out of 7 spin.
It's an interesting money management:bkr 99 units,win 29 units, if at least 3 W out of 7 spins.

Who has the answer?

I'll illustrate some details about it later on.

2
Main Roulette Board / A simple system that works
« on: October 07, 2013, 12:14:37 PM »
Everyone knows that deviation(ecart) is the rule and the balance(equilibrium) is the exception.
In 100 spins the most likely ecart between 2 chances is 10!
Everyone knows also that playing ALL the spins for hours is a suicide.
So I suggest:when an even chance has 5 outcomes more than the opposite,I play in order to reach an ecart of 10 outcomes
Example:15 Black,20 Red......I play Red.
If I lose,I stop playing and I wait for another difference of 5, if I win,I can continue to reach  10 or I stop playing,if my win goal is +1.
Play flat bet(boring) or smooth progression


Personally I play with a bankroll of 10000 € and a 50 € unit and a win goal of 2 units per day.Bread winner progression or 10 times 1 unit,10 times 2 units etc
Never bust after 94 sessions.

Golden rules:
--To play this system on classic even chances is not suitable,the killer session could happen.
Much better to create YOUR even chances(3 double streets vs other 3s,agglomeration vs isolated spin,half roulette on the right vs half on the left,etc)
In this way the permanence is more stable.

--Try to obtain your goal(ecart between 6 and 10) in 100 spins minimum,not less.


3
Mathematics / Probability
« on: July 10, 2012, 12:07:03 PM »
What the probability that in 20 spins Red and Black,for instace ,hit exactly ten times each?
See my new topic in Money Management section

4
Money management / Has it any interest?
« on: July 10, 2012, 12:00:33 PM »
I have found in an Italian Forum a money management for ECs,that makes you win 20 % of your bkr,if an EC hits at least 11 times in 20 spins.
If the 2 ECs hit 10 times each,perfect equilibrium,you lose all you bkr.
Because the perfect equilibrium(10 R and 10 B,for example) is quite rare in 20 spins, and the unbalance/deviation is almost the rule,I was wondering if anyone has some ideas for exploiting it in the best possible way.


It would be also very interesting that Mr.Ore,EGO or orher could calculate the probabilities of 10/10 in 20 spins for an Ec

5
Main Roulette Board / New method on Dozen/Columns
« on: May 09, 2012, 05:19:55 PM »
I know two friends that are playing  the following method with a bankroll of 100 units.
They play four days a week in Venice Casino,in Italy!
The unit is(their choice) 20 or ,better 50 €.
Stopwin 7-11 units per session,but very often they earn more than that,and you will understand that later.
After three months they have won 18000 €.
I'm very pessimistic about roulette methods ,but so far it works very well and I made a lot succesfull tests-
Math and statistics are against their approach,but,once again,it works until now.


METHOD:
First part:wait until a Dozen or a Column repeats and play 1 unit,flat bet on the same D or C.
Example:3,23,4,17,21 (2nd dozen repeats,so I play 1 unit on second dozen)
If I lose ,I stop and wait again a double D or C for playing
If I win,I continue to play the same D or C
So my balance could be +2, 0,+1,-1 etc
Very often they win 7/8 units(50 € each) without the second part of the method.
But if your balance reaches - 6/-8.......


Second part:Once again wait fot a D or C repeat and play with a winning progression(parlay) 1,3,9,27,81,243 until you have ricovered your negative balance.
If you lose the parlay(all terms) you add -1 to your balance,but if you win the second ,third, fourth, fifth or sixth term,you stop because you have recovered the previous losses.


Only the braves....
Risk of heart attack,but try and,please,give me your opinion bck
Thanks


6
Main Roulette Board / How to gamble ,if you must
« on: May 04, 2011, 10:21:32 AM »
This is the title of a very famous book,written in 1960,that's ,in my opinion, the Bible of a roulette player.
DON'T PLAY,but if you must(or if you like) follow these simple rules:

European Roulette:if you have acces to "one Zero" roulette with "en prison" rule play only ECs,with a "bold strategy".
It means to reach your win goal with the lowest possible number of spins.
If you want to win 10% of your Bankroll,double it or multiply it by ten times follow the rule above and ,on a yearly basis,you have a great chance to earn money(only a few units,but it depends how much is  "a unit")

American roulette:Play whatever you like(splits,streets,lines,dozens),but with the same principle,even if 5,40%is very hard to beat!

Of course you need discipline,to be ready to stop playing after 3 or 5 spins(10 at the most).
Who is able to enter a Casino and to behave like that?
Speculaters are able and could win,most of players are not and they 'll lose for sure in medium/long term.

All systems,even the most complicated or sophisticated are useless if they don't fullfill the rule hereabove.
Of course I also enjoy to create new systems,new strategies,new bet selection.
I perfectly know that is just for fun,an hobby,but the ONLY way of playing roulette is what I said before.
Casino don't like at all players that use "bold strategy"!


7
It's useless to study both bet selection and progressions.
If you have a good bet selection,you earn money even with flat bet,but because bet selection is a dream. . . . . . . . .
If you have a very solid progression,it's a matter of time but in a not so long run you'll be ruined.
Math is against us!
Soto study both, mean losing time.

The only topics to develop are in my opinion:
-Bankroll
-Money management
-stop-win and stop-loss
-max number of spins per sessions-
-number of days per year,spent in a casino
-only hit and run strategies

Discussing about these items ,we can find something new, help each other and decide a simple way of playing different for all players,according with  the  list above,different for each player too.
Roulette is a simple and SYMMETRIC game.

Studying bet selection an progressions is like an alcohol addiction.  .  .  .  . 

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