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Will it make corrections?

Started by Ralph, Aug 28, 04:07 AM 2012

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0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Ralph

In GLC's post Due, is discussed if we can make use of trends and the phenomena the numbers, and bets will correct themself to even out.  It is contradiction  from that all spins are independent events, the random is without memory. Despite the former statement, you can see events even out.

Will it do it in a time so we can use it?  That's something I am not so sure of.

A method which works well if events goes against even, and the longer run at last will have about the same frequencies is D'Alembertbert. We should know, it can go out of hands, one of the chances can hit much more in the shorter run, or perhaps forever.

If we are 100 back, we must have a very large bankroll, the total bet is 100 * (100-1) around 10000 units. If the bet returns to one, it can be a profit of 1 unit per spin.
Sometimes, we are on profit before we come back to one, and can in such case reduce the bets more, so to protect the betsize.

So 10000 bankroll are probably not to make it safe, but if we us a million chips or ten million chips?
Some on line casinos you can have bets from 1 to 10000 units, which will bust if the bankroll is less than  10000 * (10000-1) about  100 million bankroll.

It will in case of the chances not even the game can take years or more, maybe close to infinity.
The  winning will be large only if the events come close so it will end.

The 1/37 zeros, will make an obstacle, the EC we bet, must not only even out, it must be stronger.
A way to even out the outcome should be to change the bet from time to time.

I have start an maybe never ending session on BV in fun mode, with 10 million units bankroll, to make a test. This is my second test, the former some years ago last two month.

I will publish the result, pictures from the casino history.
The first spins (542) is published on  link:://friwebb.se/spel/spel.html and I will continue update until I am feed up with this experiment. This first 542 spins gave 321 units.

I play 0.01 in case of I will need a bankroll of millions. I got more tan 10 million  units in the fun mode (you never withdraw there).
The best way to fail, is not to try!

Ralph

283 more spins up  105 total 426.  About 15 a bet at most.

link:://friwebb.se/spel/spel2.html
The best way to fail, is not to try!

TwoCatSam

 **If the bet returns to one, it can be a profit of 1 unit per spin.**

Ralph

The words "can be" in your statement puzzle me.  For clarification, if we are talking +1 on a loss and -1 on a win, I use that progression daily.  When you get the "hiccups" wlwlwlwl, you are winning one unit each time.  So, theoretically, you can hiccup your way to profit long before you inch your way back to a one-unit bet.  No, not theoretically, I've done it many times.

I use this system on back-a-rat and BVNZ which I play the same as rat.

Not wanting to argue or sling mud.  If I'm missing something, please enlighten me!

Sam
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.  ...Will Rogers

Ralph

Yes you can play it so you get exactly on unit for every spin, but then you return back to one. That is sometimes not possible, or will take very long time. So you may stop at plus and start again at a lower stake.

If you start with one, win 10 in a row you win one at the time all 10.
If you start with 10 and win 10 in a row, you win 10+9+8+7+6+5+4+3+2+1= 55.
It is often good to not start one one, it becomes a "ladder" if you start with a few more.

Some change the Ec it they are on one bet and win, call it zero and spin one spin whitout a bet, it win again it is -1, which is the opposite EC. I do not do it, as you will change the EC in a winning streak.

This can go out of control, a losing streak can be difficult to catch up,take long time.

Are you playing differential, it is like play 2 up 2 down, and sometimes the EC will change due to the outcome.

The best way to fail, is not to try!

Ralph

Did 1118 more spins, the betsize has grown to 40, some longer losing streaks, but anyhow

646  more units, drawback about 250 before went up.(This should be much more if the losses were in a row)

Total now: 1072,  Have not got time to make pictures, too many may just save the last.
The best way to fail, is not to try!

Ralph

Still running not so good the stake is going up, I had 60 and that's a signal it may not be easy to recover, long game.  I have anyhow plus, some winnings comes on the way. The million chips is for winnings in a theoretical run of 1000 losses in a row. This should be a safe winning method???
Yes I think so, but it can be very boring, a clever bot should do the job.

I am now on  414 more plus.

total  1486

The reason I am on plus every end of session is I end on plus, momentarily I am on near to total minus.
The best way to fail, is not to try!

Ralph

A shorter run before breakfast, 73 spins.  124 plus started at 30 a bet ended 29 a bet.

Total 1610 units
The best way to fail, is not to try!

Ralph

503 more spins. Did spme misstakes putting wrong and higher stakes (0.1 instead of 0.01 using rebet). This did not make the result worse, it won some more. It becomes easy mechanical betting.

Won 1325 units.

Total  2935 units.

The best way to fail, is not to try!

Ralph

Just 141 more spins. I saw very much of zeros, 4 at the marque all the time. It is better to wait until the outcome suits the method, should have been betting zeros.

34 plus (was 102).

Total 2966
The best way to fail, is not to try!

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