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XXVV- EXPLORATIONS FOR A NEW BET

Started by XXVV, Jan 07, 06:11 PM 2013

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XXVV

This is an experiment and its almost thinking aloud.


Purpose of this thread, running parallel with other threads underway, is to explore an effective flat stake bet that can win consistently. Now this is quite a challenge.


Through this process I am going to try to weave together some ideas that have been bubbling along for some months but that now seem to be ready to find expression.


I will be approaching this concept as 'quantum packets' of energy that can be strung together to form a consistent thread of mostly winning outcomes.


Risk is minimised by staying flat staking.


That leaves the door open however for compounding when a string of hits is enabled.


The triad of smart bet selection, successful money management, and effective timing is seen as the driving energy in this engine.


Overlaying this will be some other variables I can introduce later but broadly they entail intuition, focus and powerful intention to reinforce the positives.


By using these words I am trying to build a mental picture, a model of what this"bet" may become. We are in the design studio right now and combining engineering and aesthetics. Its got to be a beautiful efficient bet.


What I want to add, and this comes through an inner realisation, is that to try to find one way, one method , one approach that always works to handle randomness, is foolish and doomed to failure.


Key here is to construct some independent parcels of winning outcomes that deal with the essential nature of roulette, which is to manifest short cycles of activity, within larger cycles, within larger cycles.


So working with the triad of variables listed, my vision is to form an engine that can adapt to handle most, if not nearly all outcome sequences that randomness generates.


The short cycles may be from 7 to 100 spin or more sequences, and they may manifest to a greater or lesser degree, cycles of activity from 18 to 24 to 36 or more spins.


These winning solutions are linked together and may be spaced apart or overlap, but the model proposed can handle that. The degree of complexity is as much as one can imagine, but for practical purposes it will be wise to keep the process as simple as possible.


Some opportunities of the wheels within wheels may thus be lost, but our intention is to derive a continuous supply of winning outcomes to short cycle 'problems' that need to be solved. The problems are opportunities and nature provides an infinite array.





Skakus

Yes that's all very nice, but what are you going to bet on?

A ship moored in the harbour is safe, but that's not what ships are made for.

XXVV

Good Question.


Like any good story the answer will follow.

XXVV

The triad referred to covers some of the principles and definitions that are unfolding in parallel threads. The principle of Smart Bet Selection will be utilised to form a spread attack of between three and seven numbers straight up on the table.


I am not interested at this stage in outside table betting. I have explored and already demonstrated the value of the Reverse Bet which applies to Dozens and Columns. That is a smart bet as it identifies opportunities using overviews such as moving averages, and thus identifies trigger points of when to attack and when to stop. It is also smart in that is simple, user friendly, forgiving and shows a good return of 2:1. By 'forgiving' I mean that if you make an error in the time pressure of a live casino, then the lost opportunity or loss can be quickly recovered.


However at this time, roulette friends, we are looking to make even more money, make it faster, and keep it. We will trap bet, wait , strike and take profit, move in and out like trained professionals.


Straight up bets spread over say 3-7 targets will give a good coup and will permit in flat staking a say 5-10 spin break even figure in missed attempts.


We want our bet to be as efficient as possible. This means we want it to be lean and mean and effective in bringing in a good return, and have a high strike rate of quick success. We dont want too many false signals and missed opportunities, or worse, losses.


Already there is the need for me to define more principles on our sister thread so will do a little dance and move around, then continue the story.


This as I emphasise is an experiment. It will be an extended experiment, and there will be specific examples provided; not just words. So please be patient as the clarifications, and ordered thinking progresses, so as to paint the scene as to where and when we strike.


Part of the magic of this bet is that we will simultaneously adjust money management and timing, with the selection of the particular bet we choose from the arsenal.


This is the way to solve short term cycle problems. We will face continual change as well as some continuity, overlapping at different wavelengths. Some will be undecipherable; some will be invisible; some will be impossible to solve; some will be rough and some smooth; but most we will succeed in handling and harvesting our catch. The ocean metaphor is intentional.

XXVV

The way I am threading this is to create a strategy, a winning strategy, that utilises a bet, a flat bet, and in fact a whole variety of flat bets, an arsenal of flat bets, to be linked like pearls on a string in a potentially seamless thread of interactive choices involving selection of the smart bet, the money management applicable, and the timing of start and stop.


Overlaid upon that is the intuitive process of the Mind to work from another, higher, level, to ensure the best vision is available to navigate around this place* of roulette.


Simple.


*Refer to the sister thread defining states and principles within the sphere of roulette, including the metaphor of roulette as a known and much loved place.

XXVV

As we are 'thinking aloud' in this thread we will move ahead in clusters of activity with then 'random' * (for complex reasons yet unknown)  pauses from time to time. We will bet in clusters of 3 coups then pause. These are the 'pearls' on the string.


Some specific examples will soon follow.
Hope you enjoy the example shown in 'experimental studies'.
XXVV


* random is a very interesting subject which will be addressed in these threads soon.

XXVV

In the first example mentioned and provided, that was a fairly linear solution to a session I would rate as not helpful, fairly antagonistic. A 3 or 4 on my scale.


In some recent communications on another Forum I note some were commenting on table #2 at Dublin. The chat was superstitious nonsense. All tables are regularly serviced, aligned and balanced. No wheel is jinxed other than by the mindsets of very impressionable and inexperienced players, probably gamblers.


All wheels will have phases of random activity that range from ( in my subjective view, ie my 'universe of measuring') hot to cold in temperature metaphor for opportunity response to the player. From very favourable to warm to neutral to difficult to downright menacing and hostile. lol


So I assess the status of a session at a table. It may take 15 or it may take 75 spins. usually one can read the situation within 20 spins and pivotal I have found as a guide is how does your first bet go. If it is successful, even mildly so, its a green light. If a tough journey in steps  until a coup then may be orange signal. if a failure, consider a red light and leave.


Please note that I regularly assess in this way when playing live (internet at present) but can still make errors or lose my way. This is because the live internet game protocols are a little different from the live tables at my favourite boutique casino. Such subtle differences have to be assimilated and thoroughly understood. And if we make mistakes, or fall short; just keep repeating it, to practice good decision making, even if it means quitting at +1 unit profit. Make a statement and build on that.


But dont keep beating your head against a losing wall ( for that is a definition of insanity). All sessions are different. How you respond and act is key. Build on the statement that 'I am a winner'. This can be done in steps and will need lots of smart practice. That is not easy and may take time. Don't be too hard on yourself in this process. Just quietly and efficiently build your trust, your self trust and confidence.


So, what I am indicating here is already, on many levels, an instruction that is non linear.


Subjective assessment (which will vary from individual to individual) needs to be applied as an overlay to your play.


From this the major variable of money management will be overlaid. Aggressively attack those sessions that rate warm to hot in opportunity.


Therefore assess on a scale of 1 to 10, for opportunity temperature. 10 is very hot. 1 is cold almost freezing.  Aggressively stake the hot opportunities. Defensively stake on a small scale the temperatures below 5.


You assess the opportunities from your initial 'reading ' of the 15-25 spins truly recorded before you commence live play.


I monitor repeats, and three at least sets of nine numbers to ascertain how the sequences are flowing in statistical distribution. Are they flowing or checked and blocked. Often repeats may be a factor in this.


From this analysis, already subjective and non linear , we further lurch to the right in looking at how our intuition guides us with opportunities and even pre-designated targets that may have been presented through intuitive process.


The money management is adjusted to suit the circumstances and the bet selections which set the traps are being brought to the 'front'.


Then we may choose when to start. Timing.


We have pre-selected a goal before we arrive at the table, but live play may require this to be compromised or within reason, exceeded, given the opportunities seen and seized.


Then, especially after three coups or so, we stop and take the profit.


If its been a hard slog and we crawl to a break even we also stop.


If its a retreat we get out as fast as possible with minimal loss. But there will be losses from time to time. Even with a +15% edge over the House, from time to time there will be losses, especially as we are flat staking. Also we fall short sometimes, human error. Build this in to the realistic expectations for professional play. Ignore the advice you may have heard to play machine-like and with boring technique. That was nonsense. Have you seen the joy and passion of professional players at their best.


Money management can arrange stepping, compounding, but that is inter session. Within the session we keep the same unit value and keep flat for safety unless the opportunity scale rockets above 7, and then you can,within reason, accentuate the positives with a parlay attack.


This is a quick overview of an interactive, non linear game involving smart bets, judicious timing, and wise money control. Overlay to that is the higher level of intuitive guidance.


Its both detail part and whole package, all at once. Then its more than the sum of its parts. Its Quantum Roulette.


More detail explanation soon.
Best XXVV

XXVV

This new bet that is being formulated is a process. Its an interactive, responsive, non linear, approach with a series of selections that are smart and efficient. The scale of the bet may be composed of up to three winning coups and at that stage, the energy parcel takes a pause and a decision is made whether to cease or continue another thread to the chain.


That's the model as it is shaping at present.


Next step will be go into more detail over the smart bet selection.

XXVV

Refer to the Smart Bet definition under XXVV Roulette.
An example of application will soon follow.

XXVV

Teaching Fine Art I discovered that the collectors love Picasso and Warhol et al.


Why?  Because these great Artists found fresh ways to express their view of the world/ our time in passionate and strong forms.


How and why did they do this?   First the why. They were passionate people and just had to get the expression out from within to the world. I see it as a spiritual drive, part of the creative process that is Divine in nature.


The how was that they were like cuckoos or collectors. That which was shiny and desirable they just had to have, in the nest. In so collecting they were able to review, and extract and adapt what theyhad to their own purposes. They saw and recorded a piece that they admired, then used it and changed its context, sometimes its scale, or superficial appearance, and re-dressed it as a designer might confidently and yet blatantly 'borrow' an original idea then transpose it.


It happens in music all the time. Sometimes its obvious, sometimes less so. What amazes me is the ingenious invention that drives this process and 'creates' by adaptation.

So it is with creative adaptation in roulette.


I always acknowledge sources. Victor ( VLS) is a genius and treasure chest of knowledge and practical application in roulette. I have been recently astonished by some data he has re-released and is currently publishing.


The principle that interests me is his suggested use of triggers and filters in cluster theory, or to be more accurately descriptive, clumping theory. Not a pretty word but it is describing a process.
It is a response to the short cycle nature of roulette, and the process of forming a group, a clump, the early part of a cluster, of temporarily warm to hot target numbers, or sections of the wheel or table.


His research has overlapped some of my work, and that of my close colleagues, in targeting cycles of target number appearances, and the responsive and inter-active way we can read, target, and take advantage of the short term opportunities available.

These are very short term opportunities and cannot be measured in long term testing. they will become invisible again. What is needed is a way of measuring and recording small packets of energy imbalance. That is why this is quantum work.

More soon.
XXVV


XXVV

Will be posting again soon. Delay through travel and establishment of new website and testing procedures. Explorations will continue with application to new overlays and some weird theories which are part of a non- linear and quantum way of thinking where everything is interconnected which is the way it actually is. Depends how you see the world will determine how you apply your thinking and knowledge.
More next week.
XXVV

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