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Narrowing down my search

Started by ignatus, Jan 17, 08:27 PM 2013

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0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Timo

Quote from: Blood Angel on Jan 18, 10:46 AM 2013

yes it is blocked and has been for sometime...well certainly from the UK.
Use this then it works.  :)


Regards Timo

ignatus

STATA is the best statistical software there is. But it's pretty advanced.

I haven't figure out how to use it yet. Only imported a list of spins (only thing I could do)... :S

link:://thepiratebay.se/torrent/6982310/Stata_12_(Windows__all_versions)_-_FULL_INSTALL
If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

Timo

Quote from: Mattias on Jan 18, 11:36 AM 2013
Hi,

Strange how it could work in Sweden if it's not allowed in UK?
Also in Finland some operators block sides like piratebay but not all of them. Quite strange.


Regards Timo

Mattias

Ok, so it's the Internet Service Provider decision due to ethics, not the law I assume!
I know that Roulette has a negative expected value - I play for fun!

Blood Angel

Thank you to you all for your help.

ignatus

I have the Zip file. But it's 273 MB

Figure out a way I'll send it. (with serials etc)

Still haven't figured out how to use this software. :S You must be a rocket scientist to use it!  ;D
If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

ignatus

Since I can't figure out how STATA works, I had to to do some manual statistics. It has already been established that the 2-step movement (doublestreets) is most common, I only to explored 2 movements: (by the way. I forgot about step 5!) More testing is needed!

This is playing with 2 streets: (6 numbers) I used a list of live spins


3-steps

LLLLLLWWLWLWLLLLWLLWLLWLLWLLLWLWLLLLLLLLWLLLWLLLWLLWWLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLLW = 18 wins

4-steps

wLLLLLWLLWLWLLWLLLLLLLLWLLWLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLWWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLW = 11 wins


From this short test, the 3-step movement is the winner. I'm impressed by these results. Playing with 6 numbers is better in every way.  It's a little tricky doing statistics/playing this live. Because sometime it can take time to locate the numbers etc. (see pic)

How it's done: From the number calculate the 2 streets on each side in a 3 step distance.

Example: 14 hits (street 9)= Street 6 & 12 is bet. (That will not be actual streets on the real carpet, but 6 numbers)

Reverse calculation is used (wheel is round): 7 hits (street 11)= Street 2 & 8 is bet

Zero belongs to street 1.

Would be great if someone could help out doing some more statistics/playing this (for fun, live) OR if someone can figure out how to use a statistical program and enter lots of spins etc. Right now i can only do manual testing

When the most hit street-distance has been established (on the wheel, not ordinary carpet) through testing/statistics, I'll do a new tracker for this.

The more help I get, the quicker the end result.
If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

ignatus

Quote from: Orochi on Jan 17, 09:38 PM 2013
Stay tuned in a few days i will release my current project. A full data roulette tracker & analizer and bet helper.

Thanks  :) Yes, that could be useful!
If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

Orochi

Quote from: ignatus on Jan 18, 09:44 PM 2013
Thanks  :) Yes, that could be useful!


Check the topic, i just release the software, make a request to add the function u desire.

link:://:.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=11918.0

Cheers
Nikola Tesla was once quoted as saying: “If you only knew the magnificence of the 3, 6 and 9, then you would have a key to the universe.”

ignatus

Progress, I came this far. (see pic) it's 2439 spins. The spin are sorted out: each street hit. (Wheel street, that is)

Now, how the f**k to calculate distance of the streets??

I need a command in STATA to compare two data in a sequence...


Seems like no one is interested in helping out. That's too bad.
If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

ignatus

I did 500 spins, enter the distance for each spin. These are my results.

I don't know why I'm sharing this with you? I'm so f*king sad of your total lack of interest in what I'm doing. I doubt I will share anymore results.

I'm working alone. (since no one is willing to help) You know how many hours and days I spent working on this?


If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

Orochi

Quote from: ignatus on Jan 19, 10:00 PM 2013
I did 500 spins, enter the distance for each spin. These are my results.

I don't know why I'm sharing this with you? I'm so f*king sad of your total lack of interest in what I'm doing. I doubt I will share anymore results.

I'm working alone. (since no one is willing to help) You know how many hours and days I spent working on this?


That is a very small sample.

Analize a benchmark of 130k spins (for 3 numbers bet). Calculate the standard deviation, and u get the results.
Nikola Tesla was once quoted as saying: “If you only knew the magnificence of the 3, 6 and 9, then you would have a key to the universe.”

ignatus

Quote from: Orochi on Jan 19, 10:45 PM 2013

That is a very small sample.

Analize a benchmark of 130k spins (for 3 numbers bet). Calculate the standard deviation, and u get the results.

Yes, I know. I must figure out how to do this using a statistical software. I'm using STATA. I'm on a statistical forum now and asked question how to do it. It's not 3 numbers, it's 6 (one street on each side)

I just need a command or function (in STATA) to compare two variables in a sequence, then everything will be done.

Like this:

Sequence1: street1 1
Sequence2: street7 1

== TRUE than I can calculate the distance. (see pic)

Or

Sequence1: street1 1
Sequence2: street7 0

== FALSE


Street1 Street3
0 0
1 0 <--- This is what i'm looking for (sequence1)
0 1 <--- (sequence2)
0 0
0 0
1 0 <--- How to compare these data?
0 1 <--- In a matrix like this??

I'm sorry for being upset. I hope this works out, and I get the help I need. OR figure this out somehow.  :-\
If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

maestro

would be very nice to go and work on your own so not spaming any more and when you fail you know who you can blame...good luck :thumbsup:
Law of the sixth...<when you play roulette there will always be a moron tells you that you will lose to the house edge>

Mattias

Data can be analyzed in a lot different ways, you can always use the data amount you have (but with less data the uncertainty will increase i.e a wider confidence interval). The problem using statistics is that you can never be 100 % sure! That's way we use confidence interval - to say how sure data will be in certain interval. In statistics 1 Sigma (standard deviation) corresponds to 68 % certainty, 2 Sigma  95 % and 3 Sigma to 99 % etc.. you can never be 100 % sure!

The picture where you showed the distribution of the hit-frekvency, it looks like sector 3 is the most probable sector to hit, can we say that it's the most probable sector  - No!

I will "cheat" a little and assuming that the outcom is Poisson-distributed then we can say that sector [3,4,5] have a significantly higher hit-frekvency with a confidence of 68 % or sector [1,2,3,4,5] have a significantly higher hit-frekvency with a confidence of 95 %.

If you would play on flat betting on sector [1,2,3,4,5] you will have an edge of ~2%-unit with a confidens of 95 %, but there is a chance of 5 % that it's not true!
I know that Roulette has a negative expected value - I play for fun!

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