• Welcome to #1 Roulette Forum & Message Board | www.RouletteForum.cc.

News:

Test the accuracy of your method to predict the winning number. If it works, then your system works. But tests over a few hundred spins tell you nothing.

Main Menu
Popular pages:

Roulette System

The Roulette Systems That Really Work

Roulette Computers

Hidden Electronics That Predict Spins

Roulette Strategy

Why Roulette Betting Strategies Lose

Roulette System

The Honest Live Online Roulette Casinos

LAW OF THE THIRD

Started by nottophammer, Nov 21, 02:12 PM 2014

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

nottophammer

Can some one give a very brief explanation on the law of the third. Thanks
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

Turner

Quote from: nottophammer on Nov 21, 02:12 PM 2014
Can some one give a very brief explanation on the law of the third. Thanks

relating to roulette, Normal distribution denotes that when  37 numbers are randomly produced 37 times, they will follow the classic distribution curve or bell curve. The most probable result in the belle curve shows that 1/3 of the numbers wont show and 2/3 will show,

Generally, 24 numbers will show and 13 wont over 37 spins, which shows that numbers have to repeat to give that result.
19 hit and 18 not hit is much less probable.

The probability of 13 hitting and 24 not hitting is incredibly low because its well to the left of the belle curve.

This seems ok to understand because you would see lots of numbers hitting 3 and 4  times, and that seems wrong but the other end of the belle curve is also least probable, i.e 32 hitting and 5 not....which is far right of the belle curve

So, 2 numbers hitting 18 times each and 35 not hitting seems ridiculous without consulting bell curves, but 35 numbers hitting and 2 not is equally impossible.

heres a nice visual

HIT   NOT HIT
20       17
21       16
22       15
23       14
24       13
25       12
26       11
27       10
28      9

nottophammer

so would we be able to say 12 spins is 1/3rd, if so, what is the law of the third,for the first 1/3rd
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

Turner

Quote from: nottophammer on Nov 21, 03:38 PM 2014
so would we be able to say 12 spins is 1/3rd, if so, what is the law of the third,for the first 1/3rd

well.....you could say there will be 2 repeats, but not really, because 12 unique numbers are common, and that ends up somewhere in my "nice visual" above after 37 spins. 12 uniques isnt an indication this is going to be a rare distribution.

for example, its less use on splits (18) less on streets (12)

Proofreaders2000

Here's an example of Law of the Third.

You have a street that just hit.  In theory the
one number that just hit should repeat within 36 spins.

Another number on the street should hit once within
36 spins and one number on the street will not hit at all.

Yet the street has hit three times within 36 spins (which is the average).

Turner

Quote from: Proofreaders2000 on Nov 21, 04:08 PM 2014
Here's an example of Law of the Third.

You have a street that just hit.  In theory the
one number that just hit should repeat within 36 spins.

Another number on the street should hit once within
36 spins and one number on the street will not hit at all.

Yet the street has hit three times within 36 spins (which is the average).

Proofy

It would be nice if normal distribution knew what the carpet looked like  :xd:    ....but I get your point. :thumbsup:

nottophammer

yes Turner be nice indeed, thanks for the replies
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

Turner

Quote from: nottophammer on Nov 21, 04:22 PM 2014
yes Turner be nice indeed, thanks for the replies
One last thing....Ive read everything "Number Six" wrote on LOTT over in VLS.

A very interesting read. I respect him greatly, and trust that if anyone could find a use for it, he could.....but looking at his later posts, he had dropped it....going more into Maths and prob

its so random within its self, i.e. which numbers will repeat? how many times?.... that I am not sure what use it is.

It always reveals its self after the event. Hindsight is a wonderful thing isnt it?

Dane

Quote from: Turner on Nov 21, 04:42 PM 2014
One last thing....Ive read everything "Number Six" wrote on LOTT over in VLS.

A very interesting read. I respect him greatly, and trust that if anyone could find a use for it, he could.....but looking at his later posts, he had dropped it....going more into Maths and prob

its so random within its self, i.e. which numbers will repeat? how many times?.... that I am not sure what use it is.

It always reveals its self after the event. Hindsight is a wonderful thing isnt it?

Is LOTT independent of Maths and probabilities?
No! But it might not even be a Law.
Decades ago I read much about in the the German roulette books,
where it it called "Zwei Drittel Gesetz".
Noone has ever seen all 37 numbers appear in 37 spins.
I remember that right after exactly "drei Rotationen" (3  x 37 spins)
IN AVERAGE TWO NUMBERS MUST STILL SLEEP.

NO NEGATIVE PROGRESSION ADDICT

TwoCatSam

Who called it "The Suggestion of the Third"? 

There is a suggestion or supposition that things will fly according to Hoyle, but--unlike the law of gravity--it is not dependable. 

If anything, it is a law of logic. 

Sam
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.  ...Will Rogers

Turner

Quote from: Dane on Nov 22, 05:53 AM 2014
Is LOTT independent of Maths and probabilities?
No! But it might not even be a Law.
Decades ago I read much about in the the German roulette books,
where it it called "Zwei Drittel Gesetz".
Noone has ever seen all 37 numbers appear in 37 spins.
I remember that right after exactly "drei Rotationen" (3  x 37 spins)
IN AVERAGE TWO NUMBERS MUST STILL SLEEP.

Its not a law at all. The fact that 2/3 show and 1/3 dont more often is just because its the mean in a normal distribution. The results can be variant and even if this highly probable outcome occurs, it doesnt suggest what will happen at a number level

The Belle curve shows that most of the results will be within 1SD from mean and nearly all will be within 2SD. Some of these outcomes are far from 2/3 vs 1/3 but may happen

Everything is HAS and not WILL
This number HAS hit
This number HAS hit more than once
This number HAS not shown

You cant replace HAS with WILL in any of these cases.



Proofreaders2000

It is gambler's fallacy.  I've seen "Law of the Third" occur at times
during the course of a session.  It doesn't mean I (or anyone else can exploit it.)

It would be the Grail if we knew if a dozen hit
back-to-back that one of the other dozens would always hit next spin.


-