ego's march

[denzie]

Doz 1 = single
Doz 2 = serie of 2
Doz 3 = serie of 3 or more

[ego]

Gentlemen,
Single vs series, will have 50/50 minus edge,
just like betting P/B, or any EC game.

Sputnik, try to bet
single, vs series of two, vs series of three.

p/b/p/b=single/single/single/
pp/bb/pp/bb=series2/series2/series2
ppp/bbbb/ppppp=series3/series3/

[three repeat, and/or more=series3]

Sputnik believe that single vs series2 vs series3,
have the same probability as DOZEN bet!
Thus he believe that , betting dozen one two three,
same as betting single vs series2,vs series 3.

Thus he believe...
that the chances of
dozen 1/dozen2/dozen3, permutation=

123=33%, minus edge.

he believe that
the chance of
single/series[123123] permutation,

all three hit twice in six spins,
same as

[dz1,dz2,dz3,dz1,dz2,dz3],permutation
three different dozens, each hit twice,
  in six spins,


Thus he believe when
single 1 and series3 hit,
then the chances of series 2,
will less likely.

eg.
pbpb=single, then

ppp=series 3, then

b=he believe, b will not become series,
thus he will bet that  it will not repeat.

if it repeat, then he bet it will become 'series three'.
as series2 hit will less.
==============================

eg
pbpb/ppp/b

pbpb/single
ppp/ series3.
b-new hit, bet will not series2.
b-oops! become series2, bet will series 3.
p-damn! lose

==============================
pbpb/=single
ppp/ =series3.
b-new hit, bet will not series2.
b-oops! become series2, bet will series 3.
b-win! become series3!

thus single/series3/series3.=no win, no loss,
as he try to catch the SINGLE MARCH!

eg pbpbpbpbpbpb...where the Majority OF PROFIT COME!

thus if single/series3/series2=LOSE!

============

My thinking is,
u will win/ and will lose, if u play flat.
but the chart line of profit/loss, will
oscillating up and down like a stable wave,
thus u need a mild progression,
and variance avoidance strategy to win,
which Sputnik realized, and keep  close to his chest.

explination from beat the wheel

[ego]

 
I test the second march during 300 trails - the highest bet was 2 units - wow ...
I use this smooth progression 11 - 12 - 23 - and so on ...
Highest win was 6 units once and after that i break even several times and many times up 234 units several times - see video ...



link:s://youtu.be/Sk1auM5CQjg

[ego]

I show you bad session with 3.0 SD - variance and fluctation.
You can hit 3.0 SD and still win using this march - 15 loses contra 2 wins.
Highest winning peak +9 units and biggest drawdown -9 units and highest placed bet size 6 units.

2
2
2
1
2 W 1 +1
1 W 1 +2
1 L 1 +1
2 L 1 +0
1 W 1 +1
2 W 1 +2
2 L 1 +1
1 W 1 +2
1 L 1 +1
2 W 1 +2
1 W 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
1 W 1 +4
1 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
1
2
1 W 1 +3
2 W 1 +4
2 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +4
1
2 W 1 +5
2 L 1 +4
1 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
1 W 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
2 L 1 +4
2 L 1 +3
1
2 W 1 +4
2 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
2 L 1 +2
1 W 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
2 L 1 +2
1 W 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 W 1 +3
1 W 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
1 W 1 +6
2 W 1 +7
2 L 1 +6
2 L 1 +5
2
2
2
1
1 L 1 +4
1 W 1 +5
1
2
2 L 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
1
2 W 1 +6
2 L 1 +5
2 W 1 +6
2
2
1
2 W 1 +7
1 W 1 +8
2 W 1 +9
2 L 1 +8
1 L 1 +7
1 L 1 +6
2 W 1 +7
2 L 1 +6
1 W 1 +7
1 L 1 +6
1 L 1 +5
2
1 L 1 +4
2 W 1 +5
1 W 1 +6
2 W 1 +7
2 L 1 +6 Negative variance and fluctation
1 L 1 +5
1 L 1 +4
1
2
1 L 1 +3
1 L 1 +2
2 L 1 +1
2 L 1 +0
2 L 1 -1
1
1 W 1 +0
2 L 1 -1
1 L 1 -2
1 L 1 -3 You lose 111 and are at -3 units next is 122
1
2
2 L 1 -4
2 W 2 -2
1
1 L 1 -3
2 L 2 -5
1 L 2 -7 You lose 122 and are at -7 units next is 136 (15 loses contra 2 wins = 3.0 SD
2 W 1 -6
1 W 1 -5
1 L 1 -6
2 W 3 -3 You are at -3 units go back to 122
1 W 1 -2
1 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
1
1
2
2 L 2 -7 You are -7 units and next is 136
1 L 1 -8
1 W 3 -5
2 L 1 -6
1 L 3 -9
2 W 6 -3 You are -3 units and next is 122
1 W 1 -2
1 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
2
1 W 2 -3
2 W 1 -2
2 L 1 -3
2 W 1 -2
2
2
2
1
1 L 1 -3
1 W 1 -2
2
2 L 1 -3
1 L 2 -5
1 W 2 -3
1
1
2
2 W 1 -2
1
1 W 1 -1
2
2 W 1 +0 You break even 29 loses and 17 wins
1
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1

[ego]

Highets bet during 300 trials - 2 units.
Peak at +9 units flat betting.

link:s://youtu.be/LbvOG8HuRNM

[mogul397]

Doz 1 = single
Doz 2 = serie of 2
Doz 3 = serie of 3 or more

So let me take a stab.  Are we betting dozens? Or red/black?
All I see in the list is 1's and 2's.

If something happens one time in a row, you bet dozen1? (1-12?)
If something happens twice in a row you bet doz 2?
Etc?

Doesn't look like I'm the only one confused.

[mogul397]

Doz 1 = single
Doz 2 = serie of 2
Doz 3 = serie of 3 or more

3 or more what?  And if we get it, what are we betting on?

[BellagioOwner]

3 or more what?  And if we get it, what are we betting on?

He actually translates EC bets into dozen bets. 1 and 2 are the 2 possible outcomes of the EC bet. It could be R/B or H/L or O/E. In the video he chooses R/B as most of us.

Single outcome of the EC translates into dozen 1.(eg R or B)
Serie of 2 of the same EC translates into dozen 2 (eg RR or BB)
Serie of 3 or more of the same EC translates into dozen 3 ( eg RRR or BBB or RRRRRRR or BBBB)

Then as he states in reply#9 on this thread he uses one of these 2 marches. Mainly the 2nd one I think.


2 things I haven't fully understand are:
1)  how the progression is used and why is it separated every 2 steps? 11-12-23-34 etc Do we move a step after a loss? Do we return to step 1 after a win?

2) Why series of 3 AND MORE still counts as dozen 3? This will give more chance to bets being translated into dozen 3 than the other 2 dozens. Shouldn't it be only series of 3 to be translated into dozen 3? And if a serie of 3 continues to grow we start tracking again.

So if RRRRRBB happens shouldn't better be "translated" as RRR,RR,BB so dozen3,dozen2,dozen2? Ego's way would have translated it into  RRRRR,BB so dozen3,dozen2 

[mogul397]

Still looking at this old one. It looks like it works, but fell dead cause people
couldn't understand it.

[mogul397]

The video example just shows betting r/b/r/b/r/b/r/b

[atlantis]

The video example just shows betting r/b/r/b/r/b/r/b

Seems this is the same idea that was posted on the other forum...
link:://betselection.cc/baccarat-forum/sputniks-march/

Regards,
A.

[mogul397]

If, in fact, it is correct.

If you look at the beginning of the thread it's a mish mash.

I sent ego a pm asking him to explain it, referring to the r/b
and he said he'd explain it to me today or tomorrow, with no refrernce
to the r/b.  (But that's what he does in the videos)

[mogul397]

Seems this is the same idea that was posted on the other forum...
link:://betselection.cc/baccarat-forum/sputniks-march/

Regards,
A.

Funny that reply 1 here is identical to the opening reply there.

(Not funny "ha ha")

[RouletteGhost]

Who is Sputnik

Duh

[RouletteGhost]

I meant to say

**ego is Sputnik