The Geometry of Chance

[Scarface]

Has anyone here ever heard of The Geometry of Chance?  A mathematician from Brazil wrote a paper stating that certain combinations of numbers have better odds of hitting than others.  Seems complicated.
link:://:.theblaze.com/stories/2014/03/20/mathematician-thinks-theres-a-way-to-pick-your-lotto-numbers-with-a-greater-chance-to-win/

[Scarface]

Basically says picking lottery numbers his way can give you an edge.  If true, it should also work for Roulette. 

[Steve]

Looks like a paid promotional article. Where is the actual paper with any proof of concept?

[MumboJumbo]

It will not work for roulette, every number in roulette have the same chance to hit.

[Scarface]

Looks like a paid promotional article. Where is the actual paper with any proof of concept?

The author is Renato GIANELLA.  Not sure how to post the link to the paper because its a pdf

[RouletteGhost]

Thats an American conservative news source that published the article

It is real news with a conservative bias

[Scarface]

Here's a quote from the author:

While "all bets are equally likely, behaviour patterns obey different probabilities, which can make all the difference in the concept of games, benefitting gamblers that make use of the rational information."
link:s://au.pfinance.yahoo.com/fame-and-fortune/article/-/22091043/the-lottery-is-predictable-claims-mathematician/

I'll have to read more into the details of this.  But it sounds alot like what Pri has talked about, concerning the predictability of patterns or cycles.

[Steve]

Thats an American conservative news source that published the article

And I once paid $2500 for Forbes to publish an article for me.

The pdf is at link:://jaguar.fcav.unesp.br/RME/fasciculos/v31/v31_n4/A7_RGiarelli.pdf so we can have a look.

[Steve]

I read the pdf and couldnt see any "working principle", although there are references to other theories that I'll look into. In the pdf, this stood out:

although all bets are equally likely, behavior patterns obey different probabilities

It's a contradiction and the wording is poor. "Bets are equally unlikely" or "outcomes"? And there is no evidence of "different probabilities". He just said they are the same probabilities. The pdf has a lot of poor wording which makes finding the facts more difficult. Maybe someone else can see something in it, but from what I've seen so far it's a whole lot of hot air.

[Steve]

The more I look into it, the more it seems like hot air.



The balls do not care what numbers are on them, or the color they are designated.

The theories he claims apply to his method are purely statistical. Its nothing simple statistics doesnt explain. I would like this information to be a clue to something bigger, but the information is full of holes.

[Scarface]

The more I look into it, the more it seems like hot air.



The balls do not care what numbers are on them, or the color they are designated.

The theories he claims apply to his method are purely statistical. Its nothing simple statistics doesnt explain. I would like this information to be a clue to something bigger, but the information is full of holes.

I agree.  Sounds like he's saying that all color or number groups will not appear, that more than likely 1 or 2 will appear twice.  And to use this pattern when picking numbers.  But, I can't see how this offers any advantage.

Almost the same as saying in 6 spins of roulette, all 6 double streets would not appear.