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Birthday paradox

Started by Priyanka, Jan 11, 04:46 PM 2017

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0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

nottophammer

Fancy name for trying to find a repeat.
Plenty known on where it might appear, or when could/should appear, so math ain't going to beat this game,too many variables. At best your chance comes from your,repeat,your knowledge of the game.

Good knowledge, example Celticknits studied and knew his game, some idiot like General just said curve fitting, but i'd say go read Celtic's comments again, you might just missed something the 1st time around.
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

Priyanka

Thanks for all the ideas so far. I have been working on an idea to see whether it is even possible to overcome the repeater odds and eliminate some apples based on stats that repeat happens in the recent numbers. Will appreciate any help in sharpening this and testing it further.

So basically it goes like this. One event is a combination of two spins. The first spin takes into consideration High and Low and the second spin takes into consideration the dozens. So there are six events possible in total.

Event 1 â€" Low and Dozen 1
2 â€" Low and Dz2
3 â€" Low and Dz3
4 â€" High and Dz1
5 â€" High and Dz2
6 â€" High and Dz3

The play is going to be playing for a repeat happens. As soon as one of the events repeat, we restart. Also on a win, we go back three spins without a repeater to look for events to bet on.  A bit difficult to explain, but playing wise it goes like below.

15
32   - Event 3. Event 3 cannot occur in the next spin. So no bet on next spin.
6     - Event 4. Event 3 is possible in next spin. Bet on 3rd dozen.
21 â€" Event 2. Lost -1
22 â€" Event 5. Lost. -2
22 â€" Event 5. Won. -1
18 â€" Event 5. +1
7 â€"Event 1. +1
26 â€" Event 3. 0
16 â€" Event 5. +2
29 â€" Event 3. +3
28 â€" Event 6. +2
8 â€" Event 4. 0
9 â€" Event 1. -1
14 â€" Event 2. -2
11 â€" Event 1. -1
3 â€" Event 1. +1
Disclaimer : Roulette systems are subject to laws of probability. If you are not sure about the effects of it, please refer to link:://:.genuinewinner.com/truth. Don't get robbed by scammers.

Priyanka

Just tried Mortagon spins from dublin bet.

First file +13[reveal]
[/reveal]

Second file +19
[reveal][/reveal]
Disclaimer : Roulette systems are subject to laws of probability. If you are not sure about the effects of it, please refer to link:://:.genuinewinner.com/truth. Don't get robbed by scammers.

falkor2k15

I think that's probably Pri's best post since 2015! Some really good ideas there that I never thought of before... could come in useful.  :thumbsup:
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

Turner

Priyanka

I actually get something you posted  :thumbsup:


Priyanka

Disclaimer : Roulette systems are subject to laws of probability. If you are not sure about the effects of it, please refer to link:://:.genuinewinner.com/truth. Don't get robbed by scammers.

nottophammer

as your here goldrosen i'll give you the finger as you dont post, Wa
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

RouletteGhost

Quote from: nottophammer on Jan 17, 11:51 AM 2017
as your here goldrosen i'll give you the finger as you dont post, Wa

It's someone we know who is a dual poster and pretends to have bad English and sticks around to be annoying

Just ignore it
the key to winning with systems : play for a statistically irrelevant number of spins

link:[url="s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o"]s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o[/url]

falkor2k15

Quote from: RouletteGhost on Jan 17, 11:54 AM 2017
It's someone we know who is a dual poster and pretends to have bad English and sticks around to be annoying

Just ignore it
I went to a conspiracy event once. Many average British guys all queued up to take turns asking questions. Surprisingly, each of them was totally incoherent! Small wonder that Q&A session was never released. And the conspiracy happened to be dead true - yet it's unlikely most of these guys could tell either way - they were just there for the sake of any conspiracy regardless of the ones that they really understand or not.
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

RouletteGhost

Many conspiracies hold true.

Just one I can't seem to level with.....
the key to winning with systems : play for a statistically irrelevant number of spins

link:[url="s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o"]s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o[/url]

goldrosen

Quote from: Priyanka on Jan 17, 06:54 AM 2017

15
32   - Event 3. Event 3 cannot occur in the next spin. So no bet on next spin.
6     - Event 4. Event 3 is possible in next spin. Bet on 3rd dozen.
21 â€" Event 2. Lost -1
22 â€" Event 5. Lost. -2
22 â€" Event 5. Won. -1
18 â€" Event 5. +1
7 â€"Event 1. +1
26 â€" Event 3. 0
16 â€" Event 5. +2
29 â€" Event 3. +3
28 â€" Event 6. +2
8 â€" Event 4. 0
9 â€" Event 1. -1
14 â€" Event 2. -2
11 â€" Event 1. -1
3 â€" Event 1. +1 < Hi Priyanka, sorry but this should be 0 I think? Thanks.   :)

Priyanka

Quote from: goldrosen on Jan 17, 02:21 PM 2017Hi Priyanka, sorry but this should be 0 I think? Thanks.   :)
Yup
Disclaimer : Roulette systems are subject to laws of probability. If you are not sure about the effects of it, please refer to link:://:.genuinewinner.com/truth. Don't get robbed by scammers.

nottophammer

Quote from: Priyanka on Jan 11, 04:46 PM 2017
Most of you know birthday paradox. And most of you might have dismissed its application in roulette.

Does anyone know what is the most popular birthday in europe and US? October 1st week. Why? Because hmm, christmas and new years eve. So something strange happening on new years eve which is making the odds tilt and make it better than 1/365 for days in october 1st week. So going back to the birthday paradox, does it tilt the odds of two people having the birthdays on October 1st week? I dont know the answer, but an interesting question to ask and think about. Where's Bayes. I could use his help.

Changing this to roulette, if there is a particular event out of a set of events that occurs in a higher frequency, is it highly likely that we are able to find a repeat of that event faster than expectation? Hmm.. good to think and thats what am thinking right now. Trying to find an event in a set of events that is highly likely to happen.

:yawn: :-\ :-\
Is this 2 events? Bit of a Turbo, 2 players sit down, player one is Priyanka with 9 random numbers, that she spaced 3#'s apart, then theres Notto waiting for the remaining 9 non-hit, that happen at spin 45. Notto has 2 bets and is +18, he could be +38, but he remembers what RG said, as soon as in profit stop. So Notto's won.
Looking at the spins Pri could have walked +27,1st spin.
All 60 spins +108, using the random 9#'s. So in ROTT( riddle of the trot) these random 9#'s lost. On the sheet the 3 individual games end +63, these games are supposed to be live spins on MPR
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

nottophammer

Remember these #'s are used in interblock, and that you can walk with + units, so Goldrosen again you can F--- o-- >:D
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

nottophammer

Why go to so much trouble looking for events. Here's today on jackpot, out of interest the presenter of the show gave cold number, zero 263 spins, 11 spins later zero, quiet a few won on it, came out 3 times in 81 spins.
So KTF wins, Flatbet last remaining 9 non-hit wins.
? on minimum bet for E/C +4 on remaining non-hit colours, if you cover Mr G +10.

It's easy, no maths


How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

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