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Roulette-focused => Bet selection => Topic started by: Apolloo on Feb 01, 03:58 PM 2018

Title: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 01, 03:58 PM 2018
We are 99% sure going too see runs of 4 ECs in a row within a session.

Pick one of each
R/B
O/E
H/L

bet every spin.
Positive progression on each separately.

If after 20 spins we have no win of 4 on our choices repeating then double the stakes on all EC choice's.

1,2,4,8 prog if win so a 4 streak we
Win +15u

Example

MY CHOICE'S

RRRR
OOOO
LLLL

Efbet Hemus Europe/Sofia time (07:05 - 09:00)

36 1 30 15 27 7 29((O))34 15 4 7 22 6 6 12 10((L)) 4 18 12 27 6 18 17 12((L)) 32 28 23 22 13 17 1 31((O)) 28 1 17 19 4((L)) 31 26 3 13 35 19((O)) 1 21 9 23((O))((R)) 36 18 21 34((R)) 22 31 2 8 23 28 11 30 3 1 22 0 6 23 2 22 17 32 10 4 ((**2)) 4 1((L*2)) 25 21 24 2 33 20 32 6 25 1 20 7 30 34 16((R)) 27 30 27 27((R)) 17((O)) 11 19 24 35 0 13

RRRR   +15*4.   =60W  -47L.  +13
OOOO +15*6.   =90W   -48L +42
LLLL.    +15*4.   =60W  -48L  +12


Profit = +67u

Think i have worked it out correctly.


Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 01, 05:07 PM 2018
Todays efbet results from Morton.


Efbet Hemus Europe/Sofia time (07:35 - 09:30)

19 5 9 30((R)) 0 23 9 32 33 27 26 23 21 10 7 11 9((L)) 35((O)) 27 17 16 25 11 18 35 23 4 4 20 32 22 5 36 15 11 14 17((L)) 3 12 7 36((R)) 16 25 19 27((R)) 33((O)) 33 24 25 0 12 5 0 1 0 5 26 9 2 17 12((L)) 1 15 3 1((O))((L)) 17 12 36 29 8 0 35 21 27 4 10 23 3 13 34 23 33 3 27((O)) 27 30((R)) 22 32 9 7 22 9 32 5 32((R)) 22 31 13


RRRR  +15*5   =75W   -40L.  +35
OOOO +15*4.   =60W   -39L +21
LLLL   +15*4   =60W   -49L  +11

+67u
Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 04, 11:08 AM 2018
If no win in 18 double the stakes.
Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 04, 11:55 AM 2018
Todays efbet mortons spins!

Efbet Hemus Europe/Sofia time (06:30 - 08:40)

RRRR
OOOO
LLLL

2 19 24 29 5 35 34 ((4 17 15 8 ))L) 22 ((1 14 27 9))R) ((34 3 34 19))R) 2 31 36 22 3 11 28 ((12 7 14 23))R) 24 29 25 2 9 29 ((15 6 13 10))L) ((23 1 19 ((5 ))R)O) 5 1 16))L) 28 31 12 8 5 30 26 27 33 22 5 15 28 17 24 29 36 13((*2 )) 1 24 24 10 24 4 4 25 18 31 35 18 29 18 19 29 ((12 13 ((5 9))*2L ) ((5 14 ))R) 2 8 ))L) 8 24 36 12 24 36 29 29 26 13 4 31 34 ((33 23 ((9 5))O) 16 25))R) 35 35


RRRR   +15*6.   =90W  -58L.  +32
OOOO  +15*2.   =30W   -52L   -22
LLLL.    +15*6   =90W  -55L   +35


+45u
__________
Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 04, 12:56 PM 2018
Sorry above session was actually...


RRRR   +15*6.   =90W  -69L.  +21
OOOO  +15*2.   =30W   -60L   -30
LLLL.    +15*6   =90W  -64L   +26


+17u
_______

Forgot to put double losses when we doubled the stakes after 18 losses
Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 04, 12:57 PM 2018
Yesterdays mortagons efbets spins.

Efbet Hemus Europe/Sofia time (06:30 - 08:30)

RRRR
OOOO
LLLL


26 14 8 7 27 8 32 2 10 ((((23 18 19 12))R) 22 16 36 0 35 ((2 7 7 10))L) 36 7 35 33 28 16 13 7 0 ((13 9 11 15))L)O) 32 35 30 24 36 13 16 9 24 22 4 13 23 4 14 11 27 28 (*2) ((7 3 31 ((9))O*2) 21 23 12))R) 32 11 33 8 7 5 35 4 23 32 33 15 23 ((18 5 6 7))O) 34 17 0 19 19 12 8 25 22 ((15 33 17 ((((9))O) 16 16 19))L)R) 10 35 27 15 0 35 4 2 6

RRRR   +15*3   =45W  -45L.  +0
OOOO  +15*5   =75W   -41L   +34
LLLL.    +15*3  =45W  -46L   -1

+33u
Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: ego on Feb 04, 01:07 PM 2018

I can not say you are a dork as i would never offend you, but you know to little about EC ...
You can use series of two versus series of four using following playing model with math and probability calculations.
No need to have math skills i have the charts to follow and understand the strength behind variance.

Series of two has the value of 1
Series of three has the value of 0
Series of four has the value of 1

There you have a 50/50 situation based upon Marigny De Grilleau methodology
Here you can see the Z-Score for measuring the strength behind the imbalance or variance.

The chart show singles versus series of three and is the same thing as series of two versus series of four.

1. Z-Score 0,02 -  1 singles contra 1 serie of three
2. Z-Score 0,73 -  2 singles contra 1 serie of three
3. Z-Score 1,18 -  3 singles contra 1 serie of three
4. Z-Score 1,53 -  4 singles contra 1 serie of three
5. Z-Score 1,82 -  5 singles contra 1 serie of three
6. Z-Score 2,07 -  6 singles contra 1 serie of three
7. Z-Score 2,30 -  7 singles contra 1 serie of three
8. Z-Score 2,51 -  8 singles contra 1 serie of three
9. Z-Score 2.58    9 singles contra 1 serie of three
10. Z-Score 2,70 - 10 singles contra 1 serie of three
11. Z-Score 2,89 - 11 singles contra 1 serie of three
12. Z-Score 3,06 - 12 singles contra 1 serie of three
13. Z-Score 3,22 - 13 singles contra 1 serie of three
14. Z-Score 3,37 - 14 singles contra 1 serie of three
15. Z-Score 3,52 - 15 singles contra 1 serie of three
16. Z-Score 3,66 - 16 singles contra 1 serie of three
17. Z-Score 3,80 - 17 singles contra 1 serie of three
18. Z-Score 3,93 - 18 singles contra 1 serie of three
19. Z-Score 4,06 - 19 singles contra 1 serie of three
20. Z-Score 4,18 - 20 singles contra 1 serie of three
21. Z-Score 4,30 - 21 singles contra 1 serie of three
22. Z-Score 4,42 - 22 singles contra 1 serie of three
23. Z-Score 4,53 - 23 singles contra 1 serie of three
24. Z-Score 4,64 - 24 singles contra 1 serie of three
25. Z-Score 4,75 - 25 singles contra 1 serie of three
26. Z-Score 4,86 - 26 singles contra 1 serie of three
27. Z-Score 4,96 - 27 singles contra 1 serie of three
28. Z-Score 5,07 - 28 singles contra 1 serie of three
29. Z-Score 5,17 - 29 singles contra 1 serie of three
30. Z-Score 5,26 - 30 singles contra 1 serie of three
31. Z-Score 5,36 - 31 singles contra 1 serie of three
32. Z-Score 5,45 - 32 singles contra 1 serie of three
33. Z-Score 5,55 - 33 singles contra 1 serie of three
34. Z-Score 5,64 - 34 singles contra 1 serie of three
35. Z-Score 5,73 - 35 singles contra 1 serie of three
36. Z-Score 5,82 - 36 singles contra 1 serie of three
37. Z-Score 5,90 - 37 singles contra 1 serie of three
38. Z-Score 5,99 - 38 singles contra 1 serie of three
39. Z-Score 6,07 - 39 singles contra 1 serie of three

68.3% of the time the divergence would be one SD or less.
Either side of the MEAN.   

95% of the time the divergence would be  2 SD's or less. 
Either side of the MEAN.   

99.7% of the time the divergence would be 3 SD's or less.
Either side of the MEAN.   

That only 0.3% of the time would the divergence exceed 3 SD's

Cheers



Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 04, 01:56 PM 2018
Quote from: ego on Feb 04, 01:07 PM 2018
I can not say you are a dork as i would never offend you, but you know to little about EC ...
You can use series of two versus series of four using following playing model with math and probability calculations.
No need to have math skills i have the charts to follow and understand the strength behind variance.

Series of two has the value of 1
Series of three has the value of 0
Series of four has the value of 1

There you have a 50/50 situation based upon Marigny De Grilleau methodology
Here you can see the Z-Score for measuring the strength behind the imbalance or variance.

The chart show singles versus series of three and is the same thing as series of two versus series of four.

1. Z-Score 0,02 -  1 singles contra 1 serie of three
2. Z-Score 0,73 -  2 singles contra 1 serie of three
3. Z-Score 1,18 -  3 singles contra 1 serie of three
4. Z-Score 1,53 -  4 singles contra 1 serie of three
5. Z-Score 1,82 -  5 singles contra 1 serie of three
6. Z-Score 2,07 -  6 singles contra 1 serie of three
7. Z-Score 2,30 -  7 singles contra 1 serie of three
8. Z-Score 2,51 -  8 singles contra 1 serie of three
9. Z-Score 2.58    9 singles contra 1 serie of three
10. Z-Score 2,70 - 10 singles contra 1 serie of three
11. Z-Score 2,89 - 11 singles contra 1 serie of three
12. Z-Score 3,06 - 12 singles contra 1 serie of three
13. Z-Score 3,22 - 13 singles contra 1 serie of three
14. Z-Score 3,37 - 14 singles contra 1 serie of three
15. Z-Score 3,52 - 15 singles contra 1 serie of three
16. Z-Score 3,66 - 16 singles contra 1 serie of three
17. Z-Score 3,80 - 17 singles contra 1 serie of three
18. Z-Score 3,93 - 18 singles contra 1 serie of three
19. Z-Score 4,06 - 19 singles contra 1 serie of three
20. Z-Score 4,18 - 20 singles contra 1 serie of three
21. Z-Score 4,30 - 21 singles contra 1 serie of three
22. Z-Score 4,42 - 22 singles contra 1 serie of three
23. Z-Score 4,53 - 23 singles contra 1 serie of three
24. Z-Score 4,64 - 24 singles contra 1 serie of three
25. Z-Score 4,75 - 25 singles contra 1 serie of three
26. Z-Score 4,86 - 26 singles contra 1 serie of three
27. Z-Score 4,96 - 27 singles contra 1 serie of three
28. Z-Score 5,07 - 28 singles contra 1 serie of three
29. Z-Score 5,17 - 29 singles contra 1 serie of three
30. Z-Score 5,26 - 30 singles contra 1 serie of three
31. Z-Score 5,36 - 31 singles contra 1 serie of three
32. Z-Score 5,45 - 32 singles contra 1 serie of three
33. Z-Score 5,55 - 33 singles contra 1 serie of three
34. Z-Score 5,64 - 34 singles contra 1 serie of three
35. Z-Score 5,73 - 35 singles contra 1 serie of three
36. Z-Score 5,82 - 36 singles contra 1 serie of three
37. Z-Score 5,90 - 37 singles contra 1 serie of three
38. Z-Score 5,99 - 38 singles contra 1 serie of three
39. Z-Score 6,07 - 39 singles contra 1 serie of three

68.3% of the time the divergence would be one SD or less.
Either side of the MEAN.   

95% of the time the divergence would be  2 SD's or less. 
Either side of the MEAN.   

99.7% of the time the divergence would be 3 SD's or less.
Either side of the MEAN.   

That only 0.3% of the time would the divergence exceed 3 SD's

Cheers

???   Yes i completely no idea what your stats mean.

All i know is 80u stop loss and play this style of play for average 100 spins... Should give consistent profitable sessions.

Cheers
Title: Re: Inevitable streaks
Post by: Apolloo on Feb 05, 03:10 AM 2018
Positive progression on the dozens repeating its previous pattern of 3.

1. Win 3
3. Win 9
9. Win 27

No win in 25 bets (75spins) double the units.   (-25u)

No win in a further 25 bets (75spins)
Stop... (-50u)

*Stop no win in 150spins = -75u loss

*Stop session at first win.
_______________



#1.  Win +23u.  (15spins)

6 16 15
29 2 1
26 21 20
30 25 20
26 36 19 Win +26.   STOP WIN
28 36 22
10 0 6 29
21 20 31
28 7 14
8 10 21
25 4 12   
21 2 5.   
7 16 10         
9 17 8     
33 11 16.
32 29 13       
23 12 36
20 11 3
23 2 20
26 1 30
8 0 18 22   
11 25 21
30 31 32
18 32 11
25 33 25
20 11 25
15 23 2
2 35 6
29 11 8
12 25 8
17 35 21
6 21 7
8 20 15 0
20 25 15 
6 25 27.   
34 19 2
5 14 1   
3 6 18
31 31 12   
13 28 9   
35 35 10
23 31 8.
15 3 3
_________

#2  Win +9u.  ( 57spins)

7 16 4   
36 29 13   
19 25 27
31 16 24
22 17 24
1 34 36 
14 14 13   
30 19 34
22 8 29
10 18 9   
32 3 12 
36 21 3 
35 19 28
22 21 12   
22 11 34 
33 33 14
20 1 28. 
15 15 7
24 24 9.   Win +26.  STOP
31 28 21. 
20 1 28. 
15 15 7
24 24 9.
31 28 21   
17 18 8   
11 17 27     
29 27 26 
14 8 24
0 12 32 8
22 36 8
30 19 33
1 21 32 

_____________

#3.     Win +22u.  (18 spins)

4 4 36 
29 21 22
5 22 34
5 0 10 13
19 7 31
17 2 31  Win +26. STOP WIN
26 22 22
19 1 34
16 8 9
3 25 5
22 14 13
15 21 18
30 4 13
32 3 13.
1 21 28     
34 16 13
14 21 21
6 23 6
23 9 19
27 4 17
31 30 4
13 19 5
24 1 16 
22 10 30   
20 15 27
20 19 29.
14 28 36 
14 29 8 0
9 16 2
2 30 28
2 9 28
5 21 33
4 13 10
22 11 33
31 7 32
1 30 27
32 5 15
2 25 7.
6 35 22

_______________

#4  Win +13u.  (45 spins)

26 14 8
7 27 8
32 2 10
23 18 19
12 22 16
36 0 35 2
7 7 10
36 7 35 
33 28 16.
13 7 0 13
9 11 15
32 35 30
24 36 13
16 9 24
22 4 13 Win +26.  STOP
23 4 14.
11 27 28
7 3 31.
9 21 23
12 32 11
33 8 7
5 35 4
23 32 33
15 23 18
5 6 7
34 17 0 19
19 12 8.
25 22 15
33 17 9
16 16 19
10 35 27
15 0 35 4
2 6

_____________

#5  Win +17u.  (90 spins)

2 19 24 
29 5 35
34 4 17
15 8 22
1 14 27. 
9 34 3   
34 19 2
31 36 22
3 11 28
12 7 14
23 24 29
25 2 9
29 15 6
13 10 23 
1 19 5
5 1 16
28 31 12
8 5 30
26 27 33
22 5 15 
28 17 24
29 36 13
1 24 24
10 24 4
4 25 18
31 35 18.  (*2units next )
29 18 19
29 12 13
5 9 5
14 2 8
8 24 36
12 24 36   Win+52. STOP
29 29 26 
13 4 31
34 33 23
9 5 16
25 35 35

______________
Total Sessions = 5
Bankroll = +84u