The "Statistical Imbalance" fallacy

[Moxy]

This is theoretically wrong.
Most people who don't understand statistics get this wrong.

Joe, pls explain the statistics math.
I understand but I can't explain it properly.
Other than post the relevant videos on this topic.

Wha?!!  The chasm is of the desperate gambler looking for a hail mary but usually has a few grand or so to part with ends up dealing with the devil who sees a grift in his sight and gives the player an offer they can't refuse:  the "real McCoy" for aforementioned few grand.

It's the perpetual song and dance between the hustler and the wishful thinker.  To them a few k is a lot of money already and they'll convince themselves that said hustler is really a nice chum doing you a solid. 

But in reality, the market value of said real McCoy is out of their means for good reason that one can ponder on if they can come to their senses.  Got it?

[cht]

This is theoretically wrong.
Most people who don't understand statistics get this wrong.

Joe, pls explain the statistics math.
I understand but I can't explain it properly.
Other than post the relevant videos on this topic.

Watch this video for a good explanation about the math.
That's why it's important to learn the math instead of simply quoting the usual millions of spins that you read on forums.
link:s://youtu.be/VK-rnA3-41c

[cht]

Joe posted the calculator here.

link:s://:.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=27403.msg244405#msg244405

[cht]

Large is relative.  Me personally 5-10 mil or so.  For people on here 1k.  It's the forever tango of the hustler and the wishful thinkers.  Give them an offer they can't refuse.

I'm actually surprised that some notables on here took the bait.

I misread your post, my fault. You meant pay $5-10million.

If you're the seller, you have this $5-10mil in your head.

When you're the buyer you demand it for free, you lying scammer.

[Moxy]

I misread your post, my fault. You meant pay $5-10million.

If you're the seller, you have this $5-10mil in your head.

When you're the buyer you demand it for free, you lying scammer.

Thank you.  It's bizarre.  So if they say... 50 bucks, they're clearly a hustler/scammer.   

BUT, inexplicably, if they say it's free(!), then the dynamic changes completely.  Ex: "Oh, this guy could be the real deal, folks."

We need a Freudian or Yungian expert or Steve on here to figure this one out:

Why do folks believe a seller has the real McCoy all of a sudden when he offers it for free but when the very same seller offers it for 50 bucks instead they completely switch stance and thinks he's just a hustler/scammer?

[cht]

Why do folks believe a seller has the real McCoy all of a sudden when he offers it for free but when the very same seller offers it for 50 bucks instead they completely switch stance and thinks he's just a hustler/scammer?

50 bucks for the hg?
You're kidding.
I've got lots of 50 bucks hg.
Shall I put these hard work tits up hg for sale?😂

Anyway, tired of hg talk.
There's no hg out there. None.

There're only 2 kinds of people,

Desperate people.
Naive, stupid and greedy folks.

AP or RC is your HG.
Says Joe. 😂

[cht]

Thank you.  It's bizarre.  So if they say... 50 bucks, they're clearly a hustler/scammer.   

BUT, inexplicably, if they say it's free(!), then the dynamic changes completely.  Ex: "Oh, this guy could be the real deal, folks."

We need a Freudian or Yungian expert or Steve on here to figure this one out:

Why do folks believe a seller has the real McCoy all of a sudden when he offers it for free but when the very same seller offers it for 50 bucks instead they completely switch stance and thinks he's just a hustler/scammer?

Kimo has the real McCoy. He's banked the money.🤑🤑🤑
We're too dumb, admit it.

[cht]

But in reality, the market value of said real McCoy is out of their means for good reason that one can ponder on if they can come to their senses.  Got it?

You believe this McCoy exist?

That's crap you believe.

There 80k Steve's RC, go get it tiger. 😂

[Mean]

Why do folks believe a seller has the real McCoy all of a sudden when he offers it for free but when the very same seller offers it for 50 bucks instead they completely switch stance and thinks he's just a hustler/scammer?

Because some people are simple minded sheep.

[Mean]

the market value of said real McCoy is out of their means

Not to a rich person who can make the money back.

[Moxy]

You believe this McCoy exist?

That's crap you believe.

There 80k Steve's RC, go get it tiger. 😂

I can't put a finger on you.  You're a slippery one. 

[Moxy]

Not to a rich person who can make the money back.

Ding ding ding ding ding.   

[cht]

Not to a rich person who can make the money back.

A rich person gambles to lose millions for the fun of it.

The money launderer uses the casino to wash his dirty millions.

Rich person don't do stupid hard work in casino to make his millions.

[cht]

I can't put a finger on you.  You're a slippery one.

No chance to sell your HG for 5-10mil even if its real.

That's why Steve the smart one sells his RC for 80k to not rich, desperate and hate/lose his job middle class folks.

Ruthless Kimo sells to poor folks who borrowed to pay the 2k for useless lessons.

The hg is the ability to sell.
Like I said, you and I are the dumb ones who can't sell nothing even for a buck.

Give credit to Steve, Kimo and others. They're the genius. 👏👏👏

[Moxy]

No chance to sell your HG for 5-10mil even if its real.

That's why Steve the smart one sells his RC for 80k to not rich, desperate and hate/lose his job middle class folks.

Ruthless Kimo sells to poor folks who borrowed to pay the 2k for useless lessons.

The hg is the ability to sell.
Like I said, you and I are the dumb ones who can't sell nothing even for a buck.

Give credit to Steve, Kimo and others. They're the genius. 👏👏👏

No worries.  In fact, I would advise folks to avoid the hustlers and give Steve's VB and RC serious considerations.  Lili just threw 17k down the hatch.  Tough pill to swallow.

She/he has/had the means for one of Steve's lower tier RC's. 

I mean, like you said, there is no real McCoy.  Right?