25% for testing Even Chance bets

[GLC]

Fellow roulette enthusiasts, here is an idea that I think will save a lot of testing time and will cut right to the heart of each system.

We all know that most progressions like D'Alembert or the cancellation system win most of the time.  It's the really low win to loss sequences that come along periodically that causes all the problems.

In my brief time studying roulette, I have come to the conclusion that there is no system that doesn't have these sequence(s) that will cause us to have to bet more than we want/have or it will at least reach the table limit.  This doesn't apply to flat betting.  What will happen with flat betting is that you will drop so deep into the hole, relatively speaking, that you can never pull back out into plus territory.

To save yourself a lot of time, I suggest that you make up a series of 100 win/loss decisions where you have only 25% wins verses 75% losses. 

I'm not referring to set bet lines like a martingale or Fibonacci progression.  You can arrange the win/loss sequence so that a martingale or fibbo will win by placing the wins so that you never have a losing streak long enough to reach your limit.  What I mean is this.  If I decide to play a 10 step martingale, as long as I don't have a streak of losses more than 10 in my test series, I can win even if the win/loss ratio is as low at 10% wins vs 90% losses.  I just place my wins every 10 bets.  This will not tell you anything you don't already know.  But we all know the 11 losses in a row can happen at any time.  The same concept for all other "set" progressions.

By using 25% vs 75%, I'm not implying that that is the worst ratio possible, I'm just using it as a baseline.  We all know that in 200 spins on even chances a 35% wins vs 65% losses is about the worse that random has revealed.  But when it comes to random, I have seen 25% wins in about 100 spins multiple times.

So, if your 100 win/loss series is to help you in deciding if your system is one you want to play, you must arrange the wins vs losses in a variety of ways.  One set should have a high win percentage early and a low win percentage toward the end of the series.  Also, the reverse, a high percentage of wins toward the end of the series with a low win percentage up front.  Then a fairly even distribution of wins vs losses throughout the series for a third test.  Just remember to keep the wins at 25% for the whole series.
By seeing how your progression performs under these extreme circumstances, you can decide how to set a stop loss and win target.  It will also reveal to you what you can expect at the most unexpected times.

By cherry-picking the win/loss series, you can determine a lot about your system and save a lot of time testing and testing until finally you get one of these system killing sequences and you realize that your Holy Grail isn't so Holy after all.

GLC

P.S.  You can adapt this concept to any of the other bet locations on the roulette table.   I have found this concept to be very useful in testing a system and if I had used it all along, I'd only have about 700 posts instead of over 3,000.