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The Eggleston Betting System

Started by Colbster, Jan 19, 02:25 PM 2011

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0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

frost

also...

Quote from: Colbster on Jun 24, 08:58 AM 2011
What can we expect from typical returns from the 2nd dozen?  Since we won (+1) unit already with a repeat in the 2nd dozen, our next totally random spin has 1/12/12/12 out of 37 spins likelihood of hitting each position on the table again.    Ignoring the 0 here (just for the sake of easing the calculations), rather than the +1/+1/-2 results we would expect from covering 2 dozens, our new expectations are +2/+2/-1, or a grand total of +3.    Divided by the three possible outcomes, the average spin at this level is +1, exactly matching our usual expectations of the +1/+1/-2 2-dozen bet payouts.

wouldnt betting on the new "cold" dozens increase our chances of actually getting our expectations of +2/+2/-1, or a grand total of +3? i say this because if we have alread hit the 1st dozen wouldnt probability work against us?

im not a maths guy just a logical thinker so please ignore my ignorance

Colbster

While streaks, for or against us, are a part of the roulette playing experience, there is no reason to expect a "hot" sector to suddenly cool or a "cold" sector to heat up.  Each spin is an independent event, and there is no result that is any more or less likely than another.  Regardless of the previous 60 spins, the chances of the dozens hitting are exactly 1/3 (zero not considered for simplicity).

What is interesting about the Eggleston method, however, is that it takes advantage of both "hot" and "cold" sectors without trying to.  If our last bets were 2nd dozen, followed by 1st dozen, the Eggleston method shows this as a move to the left.  The expected next movement would again be to the left, meaning we would cover the 1st dozen and the 3rd dozen.  Note that since our last spin was 1st dozen, by covering the 1st dozen again, we are automatically covering the most recent "hot" dozen.  Also, the 3rd dozen is the "coldest" dozen, since we went from 2nd to 1st, meaning we haven't seen the 3rd since at least 3 spins ago.  Both "hot" and "cold" are already taken care of by my method.

Colbster

I also strongly recommend you look at my updated playing method of this system on this forum at
link:://rouletteforum.cc/full-systems/eggleston-betting-method-2-0/msg40699/#msg40699.

know when to quit

You have to pay closer attention to the exponential curve to have success.

KWTQ

RouletteGhost

sorry to revive

colbster....any update on this? tweaks?

I'm also interested in signum system as well as 4selectA but his links no longer work

thanks
the key to winning with systems : play for a statistically irrelevant number of spins

link:[url="s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o"]s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o[/url]

jbudd32

Interesting Thread. Greatly worded.

A system i made before was a little similair to this.

Basically
if Dozen 1 appears Bet on Dozen 2
If Dozen 2 appears Bet on Dozen 3
If Dozen 3 appears Bet on Dozen 1

If a repeat Dozen appears stop and wait til it stops repeating.



RouletteGhost

Quote from: jbudd32 on Sep 21, 02:42 AM 2015
Interesting Thread. Greatly worded.

A system i made before was a little similair to this.

Basically
if Dozen 1 appears Bet on Dozen 2
If Dozen 2 appears Bet on Dozen 3
If Dozen 3 appears Bet on Dozen 1

If a repeat Dozen appears stop and wait til it stops repeating.

I thought this thread was good to

Still trying to grasp colbsters original post

Very interested

Also the mr chips dude

If someone could help me understand id be grateful. Threads like this are what the forum should be about
the key to winning with systems : play for a statistically irrelevant number of spins

link:[url="s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o"]s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o[/url]

falkor2k15

I would be interested to hear any updates on this, too. Was it ever extensively tested or promoted to version 3?
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

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