Catching the Heat EC method

[buffalowizard]

George,

That's a good shout...individual marty's for each step.

Takes a bit of time to get my head round it...but I like it! I think it could work actually. I know everyone isn't a fan of the marty but for this method, I tend to think it is the best way.

The fact that it isn't a prolonged marty gives it more weight. A three stage (9 individual steps) loss would be very rare, so I am inclined to stick with it and give your cunning version a test.

Perhaps if I post up 50 spins or so, we could go through it?

BW

[GLC]

Correctamundo AD.

Chris, with BW's system, we wait for 3 in a row and then we bet for 3 more times if needed that his color will hit again.  With your 11 reds, we win on the 1st bet which would be the 4th red.  At that point, if we keep betting that the reds would continue, we'd catch 7 more wins and be smiling all the way to the bank.

Cheers,

G

[GLC]

George,

That's a good shout...individual marty's for each step.

Takes a bit of time to get my head round it...but I like it! I think it could work actually. I know everyone isn't a fan of the marty but for this method, I tend to think it is the best way.

The fact that it isn't a prolonged marty gives it more weight. A three stage (9 individual steps) loss would be very rare, so I am inclined to stick with it and give your cunning version a test.

Perhaps if I post up 50 spins or so, we could go through it?

BW

OK BW,

It is just a thought.  I haven't tested it at all.  Let's see what happens with your spins.

G

[buffalowizard]

Would it go something like this?

I wonder if you could work out the profit/loss from this small sample?

4     
31     
    30
15     
    16
26     
29     
8     
  0        win on zero  1st
    23
    23
6     
    14
    12
13     
33     
8     
29         win on 1st
15     
    14
     14
-- -- --
    25
    3       win on 1st
    21
    23
    1
    23     win on 1st
31     
    7
    34
    27
35     
  0        win on zero 2nd
4     
10     
    7
    23
26     
10     
     21
    36
    23
-- -- --
  0          win on zero 1st
    3
    19
13     
6     
    30
15     
4     
    1
    32
    5
    34      win on 1st
    16
    18
    32
35     
13     
-- -- --
20          1st round loss on A B C
    25
    36
    7
    32      Win on A
    7
    16
    27
10     
33     
24          1st round loss on A B C
    7
    3
    3
20     
11     
    19     Win on C
4     

[GLC]

Would it go something like this?

I wonder if you could work out the profit/loss from this small sample?

4     
31     
    30
15     
    16
26     
29     
8     
  0        win on zero  1st  I don't know what you bet on zero
    23
    23
6     
    14
    12
13     
33     
8     
29         win on 1st  A Marty = +1
15     
    14
     14
-- -- --
    25
    3       win on 1st  B Marty = +1
    21
    23
    1
    23     win on 1st  C Marty = +1
31     
    7
    34
    27
35        A Marty = -1
  0        win on zero 2nd   ??
4     
10     
    7
    23
26     
10     
     21
    36
    23
-- -- --
  0          win on zero 1st ??
    3
    19
13     
6     
    30
15     
4     
    1
    32
    5
    34      win on 1st    B Marty +1
    16
    18
    32
35         C Marty -1     
13        A Marty -2
-- -- --
20          1st round loss on A B C  B Marty -1
    25
    36
    7
    32      C Marty +2
    7
    16
    27
10            A Marty  -4  (-1-2-4=-7)       
33            B Marty  -2
24            C Marty -1
    7
    3
    3
20             A Marty -2  (1st bet of 2nd level 2-4-8)    
11             B Marty -4
    19         C Marty +2
4     

It looks like A marty ended at -8  (+1-1-2-4-2=-8)
B Marty ended at -5 (+1+1-1-2-4=-5)
C Marty ended at +3 (+1-1+2-1+2=+3)

As we can see from this, the problem we have is that the martys are at different levels of completion and it's hard to find a good stopping place.  From this sequence, I'm not sure this method is a good idea.

Maybe we could tweak it to make it better.  Or we could end each Marty at a plus and not start it when getting to a point where we want to quit.

I don't know.

George

[buffalowizard]

I still have faith in this method and will probably do some more testing of this and report back the findings. I'm thinking of using a less aggressive progression, like

1 1 2

3 4 8

12, 20, 40 

BW