Just thought I would post some of the stats from the 20,000 continuous spins recorded during a round the clock marathon session for 31 days at Casino Macau. Live dealer, single zero wheel.
Red repeated 8 or more times in a row 28 times. 12 repeats was the record.
Black repeated 8 or more times in a row 43 times. 12 repeats was the record.
Even/Odd and Hi/Lo were about the same numbers as Red and Black.
The 1st dozen repeated more than 6 times in a row 19 times. 9 in a row was the record.
2nd 20 9
3rd 17 8
The 1st column repeated more than 6 times in a row 16 times. 7 in a row was the record.
2nd 15 10
3rd 14 8
The 1st dozen slept 10 or more spins in a row 108 times. 22 spins in a row was the record.
2nd 117 37
3rd 129 22
The 1st column slept 10 or more spins in a row 118 times. 21 spins in a row was the record.
2nd 115 26
3rd 116 23
A single number slept 111 spins in a row or more 770 times. That's just over 1 per hour on average.
A single number slept 200 or more spins in a row 73 times.
A single number slept 300 or more spins in a row 8 times.
The record for a single number to sleep was 393 spins.
Each single number hit on average 543 times in 20,000 spins.
The lowest hit about 450 times.
The highest hit about 580 times.
A single number hit twice in a row 390 times.
A single number hit thrice in a row 11 times.
The most times a number hit twice in a row was 17 times.
These are some of the stats given. Since I have all 20,000 spins in order, I could theoretically calculate any statistic, but it would take way too much time to go through all the numbers for even 1 stat. So don't even ask.
At most I could take some pictures of the spins print out and upload them onto the forum. Even that would take some time.
Use this info if you can.
If you can't, it won't be the first post I've made that nobody could use :'(
GLC
Great real live stats George.
Would be good if someone with graphs software could compute these stats into a
SD output so we can 'see' all this data in one or two scaled graphs.
Thanx George. :thumbsup:
Here's the beginning of the pamphlet containing the 20,000 spins.
first half of the first day
2nd half of 1st day
1st half of 2nd day
2nd half of 2nd day
1st half of 3rd day
2nd half of 3rd day
1st half of 4th day
2nd half of 4th day
1st half of 5th day
2nd half of 5th day
Quote from: GLC on May 13, 05:48 PM 2013
Red repeated 8 or more times in a row 28 times. 12 repeats was the record.
Black repeated 8 or more times in a row 43 times. 12 13 repeats was the record. The 12 was a typo, 13 was the maximum for all the even chances.
Even/Odd and Hi/Lo were about the same numbers as Red and Black.
So, if we're saying that the above is normal for 20,000 spins (that's a big "if", but probably a reasonable risk) and 13 hits in a row is what we can expect for a max, we can create a bet method that would almost guarantee a win. Let's increase our max of 13 by 25% to give us a cushion (13 X .25 = 3.25 rounded down to 3 + 13 = 16 hits in a row). So 16 is what we're betting against. We have to play a martingale to use this information so here's the progression: 1-2-4-8-16-32-64-128-256-512-1024-2048-4096-8192-16384-32768. That's a little unrealistic for my budget. But, how much am I willing to risk if I know that I have almost absolute odds of winning? For me, 256 units is about right. That's 9 chances to win. To make this a viable bet, I have to add the other 7 possible hits in a row to the beginning of my line like this. X-X-X-X-X-X-X-1-2-4-8-16-32-64-128-256. So this means that I can't start betting on an even chance until one has hit 7 times in a row. It would have to hit 17 times in a row in order for me to lose my 511 units which is the sum of all 9 bets.
What I'm saying is that a run of more than 13 even chances in a row is all I expect to see so really all I expect to have to bet before a win is 32 units. That will cover 13 shows in a row. I have 3 more bets just for insurance.
I post this because this is a common system recommended to beat roulette. I'm not saying this will guarantee a win because we all know that the record for even chances in a row is in the 20's. I'm just saying that in 20,000 spins each even chance showed a maximum of 13 times. You have to decide if that's a safe enough bet for your risk tolerance.
Also, we all know that 7 in a row doesn't come around that often so there won't be that many betting opportunities available. That is unless you work out these same type parameters for the dozens and columns, etc...
Another option is to play a different system of your choice and when and if you see one of these betting opportunities, be ready to play it.
The 1st dozen repeated more than 6 times in a row 19 times. 9 in a row was the record.
2nd 20 9
3rd 17 8
The 1st column repeated more than 6 times in a row 16 times. 7 in a row was the record.
2nd 15 10
3rd 14 8
The 1st dozen slept 10 or more spins in a row 108 times. 22 spins in a row was the record.
2nd 117 37
3rd 129 22
The 1st column slept 10 or more spins in a row 118 times. 21 spins in a row was the record.
2nd 115 26
3rd 116 23
A single number slept 111 spins in a row or more 770 times. That's just over 1 per hour on average.
A single number slept 200 or more spins in a row 73 times.
A single number slept 300 or more spins in a row 8 times.
The record for a single number to sleep was 393 spins.
GLC
In this spins you got a max number of EC in a row, the next time we play it can be different. Waiting for a streak and then martingale the opposite is tried a lot of times, and the casinos are still there. The history of large losses due to this method is well documented, as at least about 100 years ago
it was players risking a lot, and believed it was a sure winner but ended lethal.
The losses from one bust will almost never be less than the winnings. Have a look at the streaks for a positive progression, so you progress to catch up.
We lose one chip a trail, and if we are losing up to 500 trials, it recover as soon 7 to 9 hits, depending how we select the bets. 6 in a row is almost sure in 200 spins. We can lose here as well, but we control it better, and are never in a position to risk half the bankroll in one bet, to recover the lost other half in one spin. The HE eats on the betted amount even if zero not shows a single time, and that have many players hard to believe. It is 18/37 or 18/38 chance to win even if a session never show a single zero.