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Roulette-focused => General Discussion => Topic started by: GLC on Jun 25, 08:07 PM 2013

Title: An eye-opener
Post by: GLC on Jun 25, 08:07 PM 2013
I just ran across a note I had when I was playing Blackjack about 40 years ago.

It was regarding gambler's ruin.

I had calculated that I had about a 1% advantage counting cards and playing a bet spread of 1-5 units.

A friend who was into math a little, said that in order to have a 99.5% chance of not losing my total bankroll, I needed 1,000 units.

Remember, that's with a 1% advantage over the casino.  I don't know what is needed if you're playing a single zero roulette wheel, but I'm sure it's substantially more.

Bankroll is king.

Remember, "He who has enough money is a Lion!"

Don't go into battle without enough bullets.

GLC
Title: Re: An eye-opener
Post by: Ralph on Jun 25, 09:21 PM 2013
A player having 1% advantage can in a game as blackjack play 10000 hands before he can see any result of it. The variance in some games are large, and it takes time to be on a safer side. So a decent bankroll is needed.

We can lose for month and still be plus at the end.

All players who can get a slight advantages, try to keep the variance as low as possible.

If a solo player play against a roulette table, the table can lose a lot due to variance even if they have a 1.3 to 2.7%  advantages.
The roulette table keeps the variance down if the table has many players, and may be most bets are placed.

At roulette it is not possible to get a mathematical advantage as in some card games. A large bankroll put the ruin in the future, if we are lucky we die before ::)   I've always wondered why so many shoots himself in Monaco after an unsuccessful martingale, they could die richer if they did it before the game.  ::)
The only way is die when a head or stop the game  forever when we had won. At least play less after a large win.

We should anyhow not use any money in a game we  can not effort to lose, that make the question of bankroll difficult.

We can win more in the longer run if we use cents, a way to extend the bankroll units, and effort to risk it. 100 Euro can be 10000 units.

Old Christiaan Huygens  did some work on this matter(Exercitationum mathematicarum.)
Title: Re: An eye-opener
Post by: marvin on Jul 11, 05:11 PM 2013
i understand that we need a bigger bankroll to play the game.
but how big is this big? is there a formula for it?
suppose we are flat betting on a 9 numbers per spin and you will hit on an average of 5 spins and the largest DD encountered is 20 spins.
does it mean that my expected BR is 9x20 = 180u?
Title: Re: An eye-opener
Post by: TwoCatSam on Jul 11, 06:14 PM 2013
Good question, Marvin.  How long is a rope?  How big is a bankroll?
Title: Re: An eye-opener
Post by: marvin on Jul 12, 12:24 PM 2013
sam, your one of the oldies but goodies here any idea how big s big?  :girl_to:
Title: Re: An eye-opener
Post by: TwoCatSam on Jul 12, 04:21 PM 2013
Vin Diesel is big!