So the probability of 13 random numbers is 13/37 =35.1
Now I have a system that giving me the probability of 13 numbers (not picked randomly) = 35.8 %
Is this an advantage ?
Quote from: Roulettebeater on Nov 20, 09:32 AM 2019Is this an advantage ?
I need the sample size before I can give you an answer. ie the number of bets placed from which you got that %.
Quote from: Joe on Nov 20, 09:38 AM 2019
I need the sample size before I can give you an answer. ie the number of bets placed from which you got that %.
Well, I have 20k spins so sample size is 20k spins.
The probability of hit obtained from betting 13 numbers is 35.8 %
0.7% isn’t enough to win flatbetting
Your results are significant at the 5% level. It doesn't mean you definitely have an edge, but you are 'probably' onto something.
Null hypothesis: population proportion = 0.351
Sample size: n = 20000
Sample proportion = 0.358
Test statistic: z = (0.358 - 0.351)/0.0033749 = 2.07414
Two-tailed p-value = 0.03807
(one-tailed = 0.01903)
The two-tailed p-value is what you're interested in. It means there is a 3.8% chance that you got those results by chance. Because this is a pretty low probability, it suggests that they are not due to chance, but you should really get some more data and test again to confirm it.
(link:s://img.techpowerup.org/191120/screenshot.png)
Quote from: Joe on Nov 20, 11:59 AM 2019
Your results are significant at the 5% level. It doesn't mean you definitely have an edge, but you are 'probably' onto something.
Null hypothesis: population proportion = 0.351
Sample size: n = 20000
Sample proportion = 0.358
Test statistic: z = (0.358 - 0.351)/0.0033749 = 2.07414
Two-tailed p-value = 0.03807
(one-tailed = 0.01903)
The two-tailed p-value is what you're interested in. It means there is a 3.8% chance that you got those results by chance. Because this is a pretty low probability, it suggests that they are not due to chance, but you should really get some more data and test again to confirm it.
(link:s://img.techpowerup.org/191120/screenshot.png)
Cool !
You know that even with this slight advantage I can’t win flatbet, the idea to apply a progression is also risky
I ran out of ideas !
Can you not use Paroli up as you win ? will this work on that bell curve , I suppose it depends on how far that bell curve reaches before the inevitable down curve!
Quote from: 2BobBet on Nov 21, 03:35 PM 2019
Can you not use Paroli up as you win ? will this work on that bell curve , I suppose it depends on how far that bell curve reaches before the inevitable down curve!
i never tought of it!
can you give us an example
RB; what you are showing for 13’s, is in-line with data for random.org spins.
This is a question from Priyanka.
Notto - One question for you.
Why wait for non hitting 9 spins and waste your precious time. I have done some tests on picking numbers 7, 14, 16, 18, 21, 23, 27, 32, 36, even last night's 55 spins aired and start betting from spin 1 itself. Flat bet and take off the number that hits going 8 numbers, 7 numbers upto 4 numbers. What do you think?
Pry’s answer is on page 2 of ROTT in note pad.
Is your 13 #’s better than 9 #’s ?
Quote from: Roulettebeater on Nov 20, 09:32 AM 2019
So the probability of 13 random numbers is 13/37 =35.1
Now I have a system that giving me the probability of 13 numbers (not picked randomly) = 35.8 %
Is this an advantage ?
You agree: On a win, you get (36-13=23) points. On a loss: -13 points.
35.8% wins x 23 = 823.4 points
64.2% (100-35.8 ) x 13= 834.6 points.
Difference: 823.4 win- 834.6 loss = -11.2 points in 100 spins.
-11.2 in 1300 (100x 13) units laid = -0.86% edge.
Looks like not enough....
You need 36.115% to break even.
Quote from: Bigbroben on Nov 24, 05:00 PM 2019
You need 36.115% to break even.
you right!
but dont you think there is a way to come ahead with such bet selection?
I read this somewhere on this site:
Increase the accuracy of your predictions!
Quote from: Bigbroben on Nov 25, 08:12 AM 2019
I read this somewhere on this site:
Increase the accuracy of your predictions!
its already increased! :thumbsup:
Sorry for the late reply RB
Paroli up as you win progression
1 unit if win, next bet 2 units, if win, next bet 3 units ect
There are many ways to play this . You could hold at a unit stage for 2 wins in a row or if you are in a win, loss situation you could bet the same stage twice
Heres an example
bet 1 unit , win bet 2 units , win bet 3 units, win bet 4 units , lose bet 4 units win
You could work out your 36.6% edge into this progression . Im not sure how but Kelly citeron may help you with this.