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Roulette-focused => General Discussion => Topic started by: FreeRoulette on Mar 31, 10:39 PM 2011

Title: Do you believe in gambler fallacy?
Post by: FreeRoulette on Mar 31, 10:39 PM 2011
Do you believe that the unverse evens out and your cold numbers are due to hit?

Some people believe that your number could never hit, but at the same time, they have a hard time believing that 20 zeros could come up in a row.

Where does someone stand who doesn't believe the world is lopsided or evens out?

I wanted to try and see if I could play roulette and never hit a number. In every example, my number hit.

link:://:.loothog.com/Systems/PHP/coldNumbers.php (link:://:.loothog.com/Systems/PHP/coldNumbers.php)

Maybe you will have better luck in explaining how it's not true that cold numbers will hit.
Title: Re: Do you believe in gambler fallacy?
Post by: Kav on Apr 02, 10:35 AM 2011
If I understand your point correctly, I do agree with you.
Also, in your example, note that the last 4 numbers that were cold (3, 22, 35, 0) made a comeback with at least two hits each, till 36 hit.
Probability expectations are not a fallacy.

PS: All of MrJs early successful systems are based on the expectation of cold numbers (splits etc.) appearing in some point. This is no fiction, nor fallacy; it's calculated and real world observed expectation.