Inspired by AMK s thread, I was looking at the streets instead of straight ups. (Cos I'm lazy)
I was looking at sets of 18 spins and couldn't find any that didnt have at least one triple - that being a street that hits 3 times.
So my question for the guys with clever minds is what kind of progression do we need to bet on each double that appears?
Here is an example...
12
11
8
11. Double. Bet street 11
8. Double. Best streets 11,8 -1
9. -3
10. -5
6. -7
6. Bet 8,11,6 -9
8. Win.....
11
8
8
6
10
7
4
10
Is there some way of attacking this or is it just a case of table limits winning out?
Three more goes . not saying that flat betting is gonna work here but maybe a mild type of progression will work
7
1
3
6
5
8
12
1. Bet street 1
4. -1
9. -2
11. -3
12. Bet streets 12,1 -4
12. Win
6
12
7
2
10
**********************
8
1
6
10
2
12
11
1. Bet S 1
12. Bet 12,1 -1
2. Bet. 12,1,2 -3
6. Bet 12,1,2,6 -6
6. Win
3
7
5
5
1
8
*******************
3
8
5
11
1
1. Bet street 1
1. Win
1
1
12
6
6
5
5
11
5
12
2
Hi,
you'll get no hit in 18 spins +/- 2,25% of times, according to my test (452/20000). You can expect 3 hits or more 60% of times.
Most of the time you won't need a prog to reach a positive score. Progression depends on how many streets are played.
Probably an easier game than stright-ups for tracking...
Thanks B,
so what's your opinion, does it have legs this one? Worth testing further or shall I bin it
Ok I think it's good. Not a HG, will fall to house edge, but I think it's an easier play and a good winrate when applying only a small progression.
I'll check for a positive progression aiming at 3 hits or more.
Quote from: Bigbroben on Feb 14, 12:28 PM 2019
Ok I think it's good. Not a HG, will fall to house edge, but I think it's an easier play and a good winrate when applying only a small progression.
I'll check for a positive progression aiming at 3 hits or more.
Cool, will be interested to find that out, saves me spending days testing by hand.
Saving decades of testing with a tiny ctrl+key macro!
Quote from: Bigbroben on Feb 14, 12:38 PM 2019
Saving decades of testing with a tiny ctrl+key macro!
One day when my kids aren't so time consuming, I will learn excel.
Consign my battered notebook to the dustbin
Quote from: buffalowizard on Feb 14, 12:40 PM 2019
One day when my kids aren't so time consuming, I will learn excel.
Consign my battered notebook to the dustbin
I knew almost nothing of Excel a year ago. It's feasible step by step.
Quote from: Bigbroben on Feb 14, 12:38 PM 2019
Saving decades of testing with a tiny ctrl+key macro!
It took 60 seconds and I have 1000 trials of 18 spins with an edge of 3,38%. If I had it done manually over weeks or months, I might have called Eureka on it.
... 2 minutes late: -1,75%.
Quote from: Bigbroben on Feb 14, 12:59 PM 2019
It took 60 seconds and I have 1000 trials of 18 spins with an edge of 3,38%. If I had it done manually over weeks or months, I might have called Eureka on it.
... 2 minutes late: -1,75%.
Sheeeeet!
That flatbet or with pos prog?
Brings forth the old argument that I could've spent the rest of my life playing those first 18,000 spins and on my death bed, been a true roulette winner....philosophical question, but at what point do humungous tests become inconsequential?