I'm assuming that this is the correct forum... So here goes...
I have an idea for the casino I go to.. The one of the wheels, European to be exact, is showing wear and tear on it and I didn't notice until the last time I went and was playing. Of course, let me add that it IS a machine but I can see the ball spin and all then it drops into the machine and all...
My idea is that I sat the last time I went and wrote down nearly 400 spins as to where the ball landed after it hit each number, KNOWING that each spin has nothing to do with the previous or next. Now MY QUESTION is IF the machine is showing wear and BEFORE they either "catch on" and swap it out, does anyone think that the numbers, the ones I have the most of, I have wrote down are "biased" or is it just a figment of my imagination?
My bet is as follows:
$10 on one color
$10 on 10 different numbers of the opposite color...
I feel like I'm crazy when thinking that simply bc its a machine and it is probably a bogus idea but I can upload the stats if anyone wants to take a look and give a reply or 50... (lol)
Here is the stats in the attachment
It's not clear how you organized your data. Please explain it. Keep in mind tracking recent hot numbers is different to proper bias analysis.
See link:s://:.roulettephysics.com/roulette-wheel-bias/
Currently at the casino testing it and so far I'm kinda right at least in the moment.
Basically I'm tracking 30 rounds on top. The left side is the wheel itself. As it hits so many numbers I bet a range of each numbers to cover and if it hits red I bet in that range of numbers I have wrote down. I'm basically betting the range that the numbers hit previously. If that makes sense... I may have to wait till I get home to explain it better.
The little that I skimmed the link you sent is exactly what is happening lol so you are right again.
You are observing a roulette wheel in a casino and notice that one of its wheels is worn. I understand that you are trying to find ways to use this observation to place bets. However, there are a few key things to consider: Randomness: Despite the wear and tear on the wheel, roulette results remain random. Each spin of the wheel is independent of the previous and subsequent spins.
Casino math: The casino always has a certain advantage in its favor. In European Roulette, there is a green field with one or two zeros, which reduces the player's chances of winning. From a technical point of view, a casino will always make more money than it pays out to players.
Betting systems: If you are planning to use a certain betting system, such as your idea of betting on color and ten numbers, it is worth remembering that no betting system can guarantee a win in the long run. Responsibility: The most important thing is to play responsibly. It is not recommended to consider playing in a casino as a way to solve financial problems. It is important to set spending limits and be prepared for possible losses. Consider these factors in your approach to casino gambling. If roulette is a form of entertainment for you, then you can gamble, but always keep in mind the risks and probabilities. If you feel that your casino gambling is becoming a problem or that you are becoming addicted to gambling, I recommend that you seek support.