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Accuracy of predictions

Started by Winner, May 12, 08:00 AM 2018

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0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Roulettebeater

Quote from: Mortagon on May 18, 03:05 AM 2018
Food for cogitation... ;)
Quot:
link:s://:.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=15536.15

"You will never hear of anyone who has learned GPM from me privately speaking about what they have learned because they are on non-disclosure agreements, besides they paid for that information."


"One of the first things you need to do is establish a bankroll. Can it sustain a 12 number betting strategy? What is your target goal?, how much money do you want to make? If you go into a game just to see how many times you can hit, you may as well consider roulette to be entertainment. The key to winning is when you do hit, are you in profit?

Using your example:

N(nuke)  xx
B(bow)    xxxxxxxxxxxx
H(hemi)   xxxx

This means to me that I will be making a lot of money. The question is how?
If you are tracking 12 numbers, you have to hit within two spins to make a profit, three will break you even. So you have to think in terms of three spin increments.

You have 2 (N), 12 (B), and 4 (H). It may look something like the following. This is how it should be tracked in sets of 3, because 12 x 3 equals 36.

HNB 1
BBH 2
NBB 3
BBB 4
BHB 5
BBH 6

So now set 1, win on third spin, flat bet breakeven, with proper progression profit.
set 2 win on first spin
set 3 win on second spin
set 4 win on first spin
set 5 win on first spin
set 6 win on first spin

Everything is based on probability and return on investment (ROI). Notice, I did not have to hit every Bowtie, just one in three spins. This will hold true with your second example. Of course you will encounter a miss or several misses, but that is another topic.
This is a basic way of tracking movements, nine numbers sets of 4 (9 x 4), six numbers sets of 6 (6 x 6)."


''If the ball is hitting one side of the wheel 75 percent of the time within a set, where would you put you money? I can play 18 numbers on sections 1, 5, 3 and profit. You are asking, "How the hell do you do that?" The question to ask yourself is "How do I do that?" Surprisingly the answer will come.''


''For those who are not familiar with the ball movement concepts on this thread, here is a brief explanation:

Bowtie
Nuke
Hemi

These are three ball movements described in my books. The roulette wheel is divided into 6 sections, labeled (American) 1 5 3 2 6 4, (European) 4 6 8 5 9 7.

Bowtie movement happens when a ball repeats the same section or moves to the opposite section. So, Bowtie 12, for example, if the ball movement repeats from same section (1 to 1 or 2 to 2) or move across from the previous section (1 to 2 or 2 to 1), the ball movement is said to have “Bowtied.”

Hemi movement occurs when a ball moves one section left or right of the previous section. For example, if the last spin was in section 3 (A) the ball falls in either section 5 or 2, the ball is said to have made a Hemi movement.

Nuke movement occurs when a ball moves two sections left or right of the previous section. For example, if the last spin was in section 3 (A) the ball falls in either section 1 or 6, the ball is said to have made a Nuke movement.''


''I do take the dealer as part of the game, “new dealer, new game.” But something simple as dividing the wheel in half and noticing ratios is just an exercise of ball movement. Betting strategy and applications are dependent on dealer spin patterns and tendencies, especially if one is tracking a specific group of numbers.

Take for example, from the post that describes ball movement of N, H, or B, if a dealer has a tendency to make Hemi movements, then that would be the target. During this observation you notice that the Nuke movement is not occurring as frequently, but as soon as the dealer changes, the Nuke movement begins to show up. That particular dealer, therefore, will yield profits from betting Nuke ball movement.''


''There is more than one way to use dealer signature using a highly sophisticated measurement  that is never been written about. So, dealer signature is not antiquated, it has evolved and synthesized into a new species. Please don't ask me to explain. tI took 10 years for players to understand the Global Pie concept. It will probably take another 10 years before I even think about posting this new concept, maybe never. However, dealer signature does exist, if you know what and where to look.''


''My style of play is rather eclectic, depending on how much money I need to make. Sometimes I will flat bet, other times I will employ a specific progression to attain what I need. I will play no more than 12 spins per session.

What is interesting is I just move on the next nearest table and start a new process, depending on what is trending, nevertheless, 12 spins only, why, because that is what I only need to win or lose. Yes, lose, it will happen, stop loss. Sounds simple, win more than you will lose. But, such a difficult concept to grasp, especially roulette players whose mission is to seek action with no specific goal in sight.''


link:s://:.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=16274.15
''A set of six numbers of 36 numbers, excluding zeros, should come in, based on the laws of averages, once every six spins. So, the probability of a set of six numbers should come in within six spins.

We all know that it is highly unlikely that six sets of six numbers will behave in accordance to the law of averages on only six spins. So, how does one extract the essence of probability? Using the Global Star principles and implementing the Pinwheel Strategy (stars 14, 25, 36), the tracking looks like this.

Sets of 3 spins â€" why because twelve numbers sets should come in at least once every three spins; but it don’t, it looks more like the following:

3 SPIN SETS - PINWHEEL 14 25 36

10 01 03 - 0 2 1
19 13 35 - 2 1 0
06 01 08 - 1 0 2
33 02 02 - 0 0 3
25 17 29 â€" 1 0 2
12 22 34 â€" 0 2 1
06 10 21 â€" 1 2 0
25 22 36 â€" 1 1 1 Hit - This is an actual betting point playing live. Pinwheel 36 was wagered and repeated.
18 00 16 â€" 1 0 1 Hit
0 33 13 â€" 0 1 1 Hit
0 36 18 â€" 1 0 1 Hit
23 29 03 â€" 1 1 1 Hit
28 36 10 â€" 2 1 0 Miss, switch to Pinwheel 14 and repeat, because 14 is on a run.
07 29 0 - 1 0 1 Hit
16 19 16 â€" 3 0 0 Hit
20 24 31 â€" 1 1 1 Hit
07 31 22 â€" 0 2 1 Miss, switch to Pinwheel 25 and repeat. Could have played 36 and still would have won.
10 27 23 â€" 1 1 1 Hit
14 08 09 - 0 2 1 Hit
31 23 35 â€" 1 1 1 Hit and stopped. Reached money target. $1,400.00

Recap:

Play 3 spin sets. Once number hits, stop and wait for next three spins. Spin one hits, wait two spins to play again. Spin one misses and spin two hits, wait one spin and play again. Spins one and two misses and spin three hits. Start next three spins.

Miss your three sets, switch to a running trend. Money management is a key factor behind this strategy. That is a different story.

The Money Management wasnt explained. According to Kimo, this makes it a winning strategy.''

etc...


Fck!

That’s too much good talk
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Herby

I admit to take a sentence totally out of context.

Quote from: Mortagon on May 18, 03:05 AM 2018
''A set of six numbers of 36 numbers, excluding zeros, should come in, based on the laws of averages, once every six spins. "

KIMO NO

This is beginners believing.
Calculate the binomial coefficients for the possible outcomes and you see the truth.

ego


Problem is that you get opinions about how to play Kimo Li methods where inspirations come from topics and his book.
That is not how Kimo Li play and you need to talk to him and take lessons to fully understand his methodology.

What I hear and read so does Kimo Li know how to win on regular basis and I assume he does very well. also giving away money to charity.
I once had contact with Kimo Li and was prepared to become a student and give it 100%. but the price plan for the different levels of teaching lessons was too expensive for my wallet.

Is just boring to read about pretenders who use his methodology with their own solutions and drag Kimo Li name into the situation.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Winner

Quote from: Kimo Li on May 17, 06:01 PM 2018
I am not familiar with the post or forum you are referring to, but you will never see, like you said, "any better public explanation."

Even chances is probably the most boring betting option used by players today. I say this because it takes a very patience player to use even chances as their primary strategy. My hats to those who play this way. As far as accuracy of predictions, if you know how to track trends to your advantage, it is a sound strategy.
Patience is correct and difficult

Winner

50/50 bet. 20 in a row happens I'm sure we've all seen this .many years ago ther was a guy that had a team that tracked all the even money  on screens from the German casino he was staying in.
I don't remember the one he was staying at but there were  20 30 tables  and they all had  screens that you can track while sitting in the lounge ,he would start a Marty at 10 in a row of the same even chance  bet  and bet against it he won around a 100 000 playing this way .
Any way long story short  .someone can do a test if they want it was done years ago on a million spins . You take the last 10 results any 50/50 bet and you wait for 3 losses or 3 wins in a row and bet against it  .20 in a row is rare .
Personally I would not wait for 10 in  a row I would track 10 and bet the next 10 after 3 misses or hits and continue by knocking off old numbers and adding new ones .

Kimo Li

This is how you track Even Chances. It's a visual. Figure it out.
This is my contribution to the Accuracy of Predictions, basic tracking.

Winner

Quote from: Kimo Li on May 20, 10:33 AM 2018
This is how you track Even Chances. It's a visual. Figure it out.
This is my contribution to the Accuracy of Predictions, basic tracking.
[/quote
Thanks Kimo I will look it over

Winner

Quote from: Winner on May 20, 01:24 PM 2018
Quote from: Kimo Li on May 20, 10:33 AM 2018
This is how you track Even Chances. It's a visual. Figure it out.
This is my contribution to the Accuracy of Predictions, basic tracking.
[/quote
Thanks Kimo I will look it over
[/quote
The probability of 20 reds in a row ?

Kimo Li

Sophistication is manifested in the flow of simplicity and accuracy.
Simplicity is the organization of complex thought.
Accuracy is the result of simplicity.

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