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EC/STREETS

Started by wiggy, Aug 09, 06:07 PM 2018

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wiggy

Here is something interesting that I was playing around with last night when I was experimenting with the EC's and the streets.
I was looking at LOW/HIGH as an EC bet and wondering how I could incorporate the streets so that I could reduce the bet. To be honest, it's not always a good idea because higher variance on a bad run can cause a bad loss. However, I did notice the following which might be worth a bit of further research...….

Mark the streets as they come out.
When you get down to the last 4 absent streets, check to see if more than half of them (so either a ratio of 3/1 or 4/0) are in either the LOW side or the HIGH side.
If you find a situation where the ratio is 3/1 or 4/0 bet for the opposite (either LOW or HIGH) of the higher ratio.

So in the example from the following chart, the streets 5,6,7 and 10 are the first 4 absent streets. This is a ratio of 2/2 and so there can be no bet. Further down, you can see the absent streets are 1,10,11 and 12. So this is a ratio of 3/1 and because the ratio is 3/1 in favour of HIGH, I will bet for the opposite EC which is LOW. In this chart, I had 5 wins and 2 losses. All my tests showed positive results.

cheers
"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''

ozon

A very interesting concept.
For tracking, you only use Excel, or some other tracker that shows us the oldest 4 streety on rolling basics?
If this is not a problem, can you tell us how long the tests were of this selection?
Are the results still positive in the longer game?

wiggy

Ozon, I did some more tests and it failed! My ego gets the better of me from time to time and I still think I can defeat random.  :-[
A bit of fun but ultimately a waste of time.

cheers
"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''

wiggy

It's too easy to get tricked by the variance sometimes and think you can take advantage.

Look at the following from some baccarat software I test with...….

Runs of 1 = 50%
runs of 2 = 25%
runs of 3 = 12.5%
runs of 4 = 6.25%

Now in just one shoe, the runs of 4 vary wildly as you can see here.
B,B,B,B came once for 1.89%
B,P,P,B came six times for 11.32%

The other percentages to the right are what came after the run of 4 (either B or P)
So after B,B,P,P Only the Bank appeared 4 times. Never a P after B,B,P,P.
You could wait for a run of 4 and only bet what has previously followed, you get some nice runs that way, but once again, does anybody think it will hold up long-term?


"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''

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