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Started by Bayes, Jun 01, 11:35 AM 2011

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Bayes

Quote from: eccl1019 on Jun 04, 10:38 AM 2011
Bayes, I understand what you're saying, but the odds of winning do change, along with the payout.   With higher odds of winning, comes lower payout, and vice versa.

Maybe I misunderstood; how is the software working out when the odds change? correct me if I'm wrong, but I assumed it was something like taking the average number of wins (as per probability) in a given number of spins, and then when they fall below this average that counts a change in odds. (or if the wins are above average, the odds are moved upwards)

For example, suppose I select the first dozen and also "count the odds since the last 30 spins". Since on average a dozen should win 10 times in 30 spins, if in the last 30 spins dozen 1 has only won 5 times, does the software move the odds downwards?

There is more than one way of interpreting counting the odds, not saying any one way is right or wrong, I just want to be clear how you are seeing it and what the software does.  :)
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

eccl1019

Quote from: Bayes link=topic=5696. msg55400#msg55400 date=1307201709
I assumed it was something like taking the average number of wins (as per probability) in a given number of spins, and then when they fall below this average that counts a change in odds.  (or if the wins are above average, the odds are moved upwards)

In this aspect, you were correct at first.   The odds do not change.   When you select a place to bet on, it will display the odds of winning for that option.   For a Single 2. 7%, for two Singles 5. 41%, for a Dozen 32. 43%, etc. . .

The software will then track whether you are above or below those odds, depending on how you set it.   You can set it to look back only a certain number of spins, or check from the beginning of the game, etc. . .

Quote from: Bayes link=topic=5696. msg55400#msg55400 date=1307201709
For example, suppose I select the first dozen and also "count the odds since the last 30 spins".  Since on average a dozen should win 10 times in 30 spins, if in the last 30 spins dozen 1 has only won 5 times, does the software move the odds downwards?

If you only win 5 out of 30 spins, you would be BELOW the odds of winning.   Therefore, according to probability, you are due some wins.   That is when the INCREASE RULE can help you, by increasing your bet amount, until you meet the selected requirement.

To keep from getting stuck, there are stop-loss options built in, under the "When you reach max bet" option.


Bayes

Ok, thanks, that's what I thought.

BUT, and I should emphasise that this doesn't affect the software or mean that it's in any way "wrong", the odds are fixed. Betting on a dozen which hasn't hit in 30 spins doesn't change the odds at all, any more than if it had hit EVERY spin in the last 30 - it's still 12/37. The odds are set in stone (assuming you don't have any bias) because each number is equally likely to hit and each number has every opportunity to hit, as it were. In other words, to use the often quoted phrase: "The wheel has no memory".

If you think this is suspect, try it for yourself. One of the great things about your software is that people can easily put their beliefs to the test. If the odds really do change and a number is "due", then you should expect to get more wins (or wins more quickly) betting a number or set of numbers which has been sleeping for a long time.

The fact is you don't, but don't take my word for it, suck it and see.
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

eccl1019

Quote from: Bayes link=topic=5696. msg55412#msg55412 date=1307204362
. . . "The wheel has no memory".

If you think this is suspect, try it for yourself.  One of the great things about your software is that people can easily put their beliefs to the test.  If the odds really do change and a number is "due", then you should expect to get more wins (or wins more quickly) betting a number or set of numbers which has been sleeping for a long time.

The fact is you don't, but don't take my word for it, suck it and see. 

Well said.

eccl1019

I had someone contact me requesting a way to test repeated numbers based on the 'law of the third'.

Request granted!

Choose where you want to place your bet on the board, select Any,. . .  and you will see the new options available.

More to come.   ;D

soroco

love it,keep updating it might just compete with rx in time  ;)

WannaWin

Well said.

Receive a lot of encouragement for its continuation.

WannaWin
Roulette is the hardest game and the more exciting for everyone because it is easy to operate and pays 35 to 1.

eccl1019

Thanks for the encouragement ya'll.

Here is another new feature, by request!

Until any of the selected following "Has or Has Not" been landed on. . . check out all the options now!

albertojonas


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