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"VdW"

Started by Tomla021, May 13, 11:29 AM 2016

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0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

vladir

Quote from: Drazen on Jun 15, 07:23 AM 2016
Quote from: Priyanka on May 14, 11:34 AM 2016
Tomla - there will not be any predictive advantage. The advantage there is knowing that in random everything is defined not in "equal to" but "at least".  Vdw says there will be at least one AP, which just means there will definitely be one and there could be more.  There is no direct applicability that am aware of. Falkor and money claim that there is one. I urge you to use your own predicament.

Allow me to be more explicit. I see no direct or indirect applicability. I have tried this with other concepts like the pidgeonhole principle, and we can consider many variants of "facts" - like in 11 spins, 1 colour will come 6 times - All true, but no edge. Alone or combined together, this principles do not change odds in any given spin, they also do not change or help to predict W/L sequences in any way. The only thing I noticed from applying different combinations is that less spins are played, since not all spins qualify to be played.

If someone is actually capitalizing on this to indirectly have an edge, either I missed something along the way, or there is something else in the mix that has not been told.
"In God we trust; all others must bring data", W. Edwards Deming

Drazen

Quote from: vladir on Jun 15, 07:47 AM 2016
something else in the mix that has not been told.

Yes Vladir, good quote.

You wouldn't imagine how much time I invested in analyzing Priyankas posts. Hundreds of hours. I noticed there are some "keywords" in her parlance which are not that common for all English speakers. Maybe she is aware of that maybe she isn't. I think she can appear with any other nick name and I could tell it is the same person.  :P

My line of thought was that maybe she posted something for which I think is still missing, in the past, as we know she likes riddles so much. And my search across all forums led me to some very interesting posts and nick names... At least I consider them interesting. I think I can pin point the exact time when she first time spoke about this. And for that nickname I suspect it could be Priyanka, almost all posts are deleted after that.  Very weird. I don't know the exact reason, as I wasnt around then. I didnt knew anything about the game and forums at that time, but it is more then obvious it raised a lot of dust.

Maybe that was forbidden shortcut to the understanding of a riddle. Who knows.

But also may be we have been told the part I think it is missing, we just need to look harder  :question:

Just enjoy the riddle  :thumbsup:

Drazen

maestro

or you just could be wrong Drazen...it did happen in the past...
Law of the sixth...<when you play roulette there will always be a moron tells you that you will lose to the house edge>

falkor2k15

I already told you guys the answer to this problem - but you missed it.
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

falkor2k15

Quote from: Drazen on Jun 15, 08:12 AM 2016
Yes Vladir, good quote.

You wouldn't imagine how much time I invested in analyzing Priyankas posts. Hundreds of hours. I noticed there are some "keywords" in her parlance which are not that common for all English speakers. Maybe she is aware of that maybe she isn't. I think she can appear with any other nick name and I could tell it is the same person.  :P

My line of thought was that maybe she posted something for which I think is still missing, in the past, as we know she likes riddles so much. And my search across all forums led me to some very interesting posts and nick names... At least I consider them interesting. I think I can pin point the exact time when she first time spoke about this. And for that nickname I suspect it could be Priyanka, almost all posts are deleted after that.  Very weird. I don't know the exact reason, as I wasnt around then. I didnt knew anything about the game and forums at that time, but it is more then obvious it raised a lot of dust.

Maybe that was forbidden shortcut to the understanding of a riddle. Who knows.

But also may be we have been told the part I think it is missing, we just need to look harder  :question:

Just enjoy the riddle  :thumbsup:

Drazen
I suspect she was born in India and now working for the Vatican in Rome or Venice - with regular holidays in Dubai!  :twisted:
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

falkor2k15

Next week I am on annual leave *exclusively* to build my new VdW machine with dozens, quads, lines, same, different, clockwise, anti-clockwise. I'm designing it to look backwards to past spins for the AP, i.e "backtrack". I'm also making it compatible so that it can be applied across cycle definitions, spins, CW, CCW, wins/losses (and combinations of those). In hindsight of the old "EC + Dozen APs running simultaneously" example that was posted way back in Sep 15, I think we are meant to amalgamate the wins/losses and apply the VdW on wins/losses. However, with cycles, I think we only apply VdW to same/different - possibly to the individual spins as well (same/different/CW/CCW) or a combination of the same/different from the cycles with cross-overs to the individual spins. My simulator will also have the ability to stitch in other bets, i.e. jumping to the lines, where the Random odds seem better compared to what a cycle length has to offer (within a Non-Random VdW framework of course).
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

Drazen

Quote from: maestro on Jun 15, 08:42 AM 2016
or you just could be wrong Drazen...it did happen in the past...

You are absolutely right maestro. I dont claim anything of that to be 100% true nor I can prove anything which I suspect. Maybe that is just in my imagination. I am too long around all that and maybe because of that I am starting too see fatamorganas  ???

falkor2k15

I think Drazen is 100% right. But Priyanka knows what she's doing too (and she knows that we know). However, the majority of people cannot tell that Pri is genuine, and instead suspect she is peddling some conspiracy theory (the sheep - or the free range chickens as I call them - are oblivious to most things). And Pri also knows that the majority will miss the subtleties that Drazen has spotted. At the end of the day, though, Pri is only trying to communicate vital information to those who really want to know, are willing to put in sufficient efforts, and who are intelligent enough to empty their glass to take in new information that overwrites their deepest held dogma. However, she does seem partial to charm and falls a foul in terms of identifying her most worthy candidates - she hasn't yet learnt how to find the right students who won't betray her teachings. I totally understand her position - I just wish she was more friendly and approachable and not so secretive outside of Roulette. I get the impression that she has discovered everything there is to know about maths and roulette - but perhaps she hasn't yet discovered her true self <list aliases here>.  >:D
"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

falkor2k15

link:s://:.youtube.com/watch?v=T4KgiscwgRU

Here's my analysis of the above video - Priyanka designed it to lose on the dozens!  >:D



Green = correct decisions
Orange = wrong decisions designed to cause losses

As for VdW: it doesn't appear to be used here?

"Trotity trot, trotity trot, the noughts became overtly hot! Merily, merily, merily, merily, the 2s went gently down the stream..."¸¸.•*¨*•♫♪:

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