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Bayes

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Runs & Gaps
Jun 10, 05:00 AM 2016
New article: Runs & Gaps
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

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NextYear

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Re: Runs & Gaps
Jun 10, 10:57 AM 2016
Thanks!  :thumbsup:

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maestro

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Re: Runs & Gaps
Jun 12, 03:26 AM 2016
this one is great info...thank you very much....i think more people should read your writings..thanks again
Law of the sixth...<when you play roulette there will always be a moron tells you that you will lose to the house edge>

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nottophammer

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Re: Runs & Gaps
Jun 12, 04:41 AM 2016
agreed good reading but i'm past learning stage, it just lookkkkks so hard with all those formulas.
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

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Bayes

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Re: Runs & Gaps
Jun 12, 05:32 AM 2016
Thanks maestro.

@ notto,

Quote
it just lookkkkks so hard with all those formulas

I realize a lot of people get "mind glaze" with formulas, that's why I've included calculators and will include them in future articles, but a calculator on a web site is no good to someone who wants to get their own answers in a spreadsheet or program of their own.

Anyway, I'm taking a break from articles for a while. I'm setting up a youtube account and will add some vids of the way I play and some software demos.
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

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nottophammer

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Re: Runs & Gaps
Jun 12, 05:55 AM 2016
Thanks for you efforts Bayes, for me its just i made the mistake of not being in school and once you miss the beginning it would need a great effort to catch up.
I could use a tape measure, i can see what the foreman was doing, so laying bricks and roof tiles was not beyond my learnings.
As an apprentice i was there at the beginning so it was not hard.
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

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NextYear

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Re: Runs & Gaps
Jun 12, 06:43 AM 2016
I'm setting up a youtube account and will add some vids of the way I play and some software demos

Can't wait to see how you are fighting this unequal game!

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Herby

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 19, 01:20 PM 2018
New article: Runs & Gaps

Bayes site is down, does anyone know what happend to Bayes ?

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ego

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 19, 02:51 PM 2018
Yes and No - something has happened to Bayes/Jules - maybe an accident or something really bad.
The reason I know this is we had a deal going on with several people involved.

He was going for a weekend vacation or was it one week, don't remember exactly.
After this trip, he was going to contact me among others about our deal.
 
He just vanishes and no one hears from him again, so clearly something has happened.
I trust him and know he had a good personality.

I think I save the article into PDF if someone wants a copy.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

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Blood Angel

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 19, 04:16 PM 2018
Yes and No - something has happened to Bayes/Jules - maybe an accident or something really bad.
The reason I know this is we had a deal going on with several people involved.

He was going for a weekend vacation or was it one week, don't remember exactly.
After this trip, he was going to contact me among others about our deal.
 
He just vanishes and no one hears from him again, so clearly something has happened.
I trust him and know he had a good personality.

I think I save the article into PDF if someone wants a copy.

Cheers

Oh no thats bad to hear. I had many good email conversations with Jules...

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ego

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 20, 06:49 AM 2018

 Here are the two files I save from Bayes/Jules.
 See attach files ...

 Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

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ego

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 20, 10:39 AM 2018

I should add something to this discussion about the run of gaps.
Nothing is what you expect it to be with true variance and fluctuation.
This is why there is a good idea measuring the length of runs to get current true values that make a huge difference when betting.

For example, if you measuring one single number you might discover it hits fifty percent within sixteen attempts.
So when you measuring numbers or even money bets you will find that the odds are not exactly the same they should be in the short term.

So there is a good idea to measuring the current median value and Apache show this methodology very wheel with his Skip/Streak Method.
If someone wants a copay I can attach the file.

Is a very good insight of that results does not behave as we expect them to do during the short term when we are actively playing.
This is one reason why I save Bayes/Jules file about Randomness.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

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6th-sense

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 20, 12:10 PM 2018
I’d be interested in that file Ego ....👍

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ego

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 20, 12:27 PM 2018
 I will just add a note to this way measuring the median value in a different way than numbers.
 First, you can pick any spread of numbers/sectors and measure the way described in the document.

 Now assume I would only be interested in singles and series of two using EC and the length they strike.
 The two most common events versus higher series.

 Then I might find a middle value that is the cut point where there is a 50/50 situation.
 This information would be good for two reasons depending on what way someone would be betting.

 One would be to ride the bias sequence and the other to catch two in a row with higher series.
 And this is a perfect way to use with other methods.

 Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

wiggy

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Re: Runs & Gaps
May 21, 10:39 AM 2018
This skips and streaks idea is the only thing that really makes any common sense IMO if you are going to attack the random game of roulette. Regardless of what anybody says about the LOTT, numbers that were cold are going to become hot! I seem to remember Bayes saying that he successfully used strategies revolving around the 'return to mean'. Turbo has spoken about cold numbers turning hot as well......so not two bad judges as far as roulette goes. You really can't nail anything down with a random approach like saying the 3rd hit is coming on spin 25 and the 4th on spin 42, the random game will make you look like an idiot. At times you will get the 5th and 6th hit come before spin 25 and at other times, you won't even get the 3rd hit by the end of 37 spins. The good thing I suppose in looking for a short concentration of above average hits is that you won't be using any suicidal progressions when successful.
"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''


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