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#### ego

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##### Re: Runs & Gaps
This skips and streaks idea is the only thing that really makes any common sense IMO if you are going to attack the random game of roulette. Regardless of what anybody says about the LOTT, numbers that were cold are going to become hot! I seem to remember Bayes saying that he successfully used strategies revolving around the 'return to mean'. Turbo has spoken about cold numbers turning hot as well......so not two bad judges as far as roulette goes. You really can't nail anything down with a random approach like saying the 3rd hit is coming on spin 25 and the 4th on spin 42, the random game will make you look like an idiot. At times you will get the 5th and 6th hit come before spin 25 and at other times, you won't even get the 3rd hit by the end of 37 spins. The good thing I suppose in looking for a short concentration of above average hits is that you won't be using any suicidal progressions when successful.

Wiggy I made great discoveries upon measuring the random bits using skip/streak methodology by Apache.
For example, I know that one series of three or higher happens 50% of times before two singles show or the other way around, I know two singles show 50% of times before a series of three or higher show.
I could never come to that conclusion just observing EC and play random bits without notice these phenomena measuring the median value.

This is only one conclusion among others and each discovery has his own purpose and solution.
The one I mentioned above can take advantage of Brett Mortons 22 number selection winning two in a row.

This means I don't fully understand your point of view when the methodology shows the true variance in short-term and you can take advantage of that using signals or triggers. That compared to common cycles with true odds. Where the difference is the actually hits in the real world versus the probability of large numbers wish not kick in until a very large amount of numbers collected.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

#### wiggy

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##### Re: Runs & Gaps
Thank you for posting some of your findings Ego! That gives me something good to look into! I was just running 10 cycles of 37 spins to get an idea for myself regarding how these skips and streaks pan out.
"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''

#### wiggy

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##### Re: Runs & Gaps
So I converted the first 5 cycles into their own smaller charts to checkout the appearances. The 32 stands out as quiet with only 1 hit in the first 4 cycles and then wakes up for 4 appearances in the 5th cycle.

"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''

#### Ricky

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##### Re: Runs & Gaps
I will just add a note to this way measuring the median value in a different way than numbers.
First, you can pick any spread of numbers/sectors and measure the way described in the document.

Now assume I would only be interested in singles and series of two using EC and the length they strike.
The two most common events versus higher series.

Then I might find a middle value that is the cut point where there is a 50/50 situation.
This information would be good for two reasons depending on what way someone would be betting.

One would be to ride the bias sequence and the other to catch two in a row with higher series.
And this is a perfect way to use with other methods.

Cheers
Hi Ego,
thanks for sharing and I agree we can use this method to determine the most likely numbers to bet when looking at a list of repeater in a cycle of 37 numbers.
Just one observation in the calculation of the median value in Apache's example. He has a dataset of 24 numbers representing the skips. Now the definition of median is to take the middle value of a data set. However in an even list there isn't one middle value. We need to take the average of the two values that are in the middle of the list. In this case 16 and 20. So I think the median value should have been (16+20)/2=18

Do you agree?

cheers,
Ricky

#### wiggy

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##### Re: Runs & Gaps
I finished the chart showing all ten 37 spin cycles. I also highlighted in Green when a number was ahead in expectation at the end of a particular cycle, Amber when a number was breaking even in accordance with expectation and Red when a number was behind according to expectation. From my vantage point, it looks like the way the 28 performs is something to be looking out for. It's not too far behind in expectation so that you get robbed off too many hits before it's playable.

"You can lead a human to intelligence, but you can't make him think''

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