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Predicting Swings

Started by Mikeo, Jul 21, 08:32 PM 2010

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winkel

Hi Mikeo,

I have been testing this for a week with the topic-starter.  

He is combining 6 different stock-market-charts and a very restrictive MM.  

As far as I noticed the charts were too slow.  
So I showed him how to combine my RNF and his Charting and now he is winning.    :D

look at the chart below.  The swings of the results a) of game b) opposite game 1 c) opposite game 2 are so fast that a chart-indicator canÃ,´t follow (see also pic 2)

br
winkel

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There is always a game

Mikeo

Quote from: winkel on Jul 25, 02:15 AM 2010
Hi Mikeo,

I have been testing this for a week with the topic-starter.  

He is combining 6 different stock-market-charts and a very restrictive MM.  

As far as I noticed the charts were too slow.  
So I showed him how to combine my RNF and his Charting and now he is winning.    :D

look at the chart below.  The swings of the results a) of game b) opposite game 1 c) opposite game 2 are so fast that a chart-indicator canÃ,´t follow (see also pic 2)

br
winkel



Hi Winkel,

I agree that chart movements are too fast for most indicators. The trick is to find one or more that react quicker, with a good measure of reliability.

I guess diagram 1 shows a), b) and c). I don't know which is which, but I guess it doesn't matter, because the point is that they move fast.

In diagram 2, I don't know what indicators are being shown. I suspect they are to do with your RNF. Or are these the indicators your friend was using?

What is your RNF?

Thanks
Michael

winkel

Hi mikeo,

QuoteI agree that chart movements are too fast for most indicators.   The trick is to find one or more that react quicker, with a good measure of reliability. 

if you go to an excel-diagram (as shown above) and just use the implemented indicators you will get the problem. 

I used an indicator with "size 6"(don't know the English word for it) it worked quite nice with that bankroll.   If you want that indicator quicker you have to change to 5 (or 4, 3, 2)
if you want it slower you have to change to 7 or higher. 

The problem is:
If you use +1 for a win and -1 for a loss (of any kind of bet) you will have no movements at all that can be used to an indicator. 

If you use the bankroll as indicator:
- no chance for EC flat bet, se above
- if you use a progression on EC, the indicator will tell you to stop play immediately after 1 or two losses.   After a win it shoots you back to = or +1 e.  g.   but it will not give you the start. 

So you need a bet-selection with a high volatility.   at least a rate  loss to win of 1 to 2


ref.   diagram 2:
this is a graph showing a constant bet on all numbers which had hit more than once. 
saldo means bankroll
black line is an indicator with "size 6"

all others just show the amount of ## have hit or not.  it is the binomial-distribution of full-numbersnot a origininal spin-trot.

br
winkel
There is always a game

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