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Question on roulette progressive probability

Started by Roulettebeater, May 24, 07:04 AM 2018

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Roulettebeater

What’s the probability of 8 misses in a row for a bet on 17 numbers in roulette ?

A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Bigbroben

Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Roulettebeater

Quote from: Bigbroben on May 24, 07:32 AM 2018
0,7288%,  or 1/137,2.

Can you please write down the equation for it ?

Thx
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Nimo

Probability odds that it will hit 99.2711701%

=-(((20/37)^8)-1)
If all the world is a stage, who is left to be the audience?

Bigbroben

Alright Nimo,

your result + my result= 1.
So we're good!

Odds of losing: 19/37.
(19/37)^8=1/137 or 0,7288%
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Bigbroben

Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Roulettebeater

Alright !
So you would lose one cycle out of 137 rounds.

Now can anybody makes a quick simulation on the profitability of this bet ?

136* 19 - 1*( 1+2+4+8+16+32+64+128)

Like that it will lose but be aware that player can win more than 19 if he progressed the progression

Any idea ?
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Bigbroben

Quote from: Roulettebeater on May 24, 07:54 AM 2018

136* 19 - 1*( 1+2+4+8+16+32+64+128)


Do you really mean this, or should it be:
136*19- 17*(1+2+4+8+16+32+64+128)
?
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Roulettebeater

Quote from: Bigbroben on May 24, 07:59 AM 2018
Do you really mean this, or should it be:
136*19- 17*(1+2+4+8+16+32+64+128)
?

Yes you have right .

Good obeservation bigroben!

A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Bigbroben

Quote from: Roulettebeater on May 24, 08:00 AM 2018
Yes you have right .

Yess......

I did a little table,  it actually shows that in a balanced 137 spins, you'll win 3661u in 136 spins and lose 4335 in 1 spin...



Do you want to proceed?
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

Roulettebeater

Quote from: Bigbroben on May 24, 08:16 AM 2018
Yess......

I did a little table,  it actually shows that in a balanced 137 spins, you'll win 3661u in 136 spins and lose 4335 in 1 spin...



Do you want to proceed?

So it’s headed to the hell ?
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

vladir

Quote from: Roulettebeater on May 24, 08:27 AM 2018
So it’s headed to the hell ?

Exactly... the place where all methods go  :xd:
"In God we trust; all others must bring data", W. Edwards Deming

Bigbroben

Quote from: Roulettebeater on May 24, 08:27 AM 2018
So it’s headed to the hell ?

I dunno?
Supposedly if you're using some kind of visual ballistic the accuracy is enhanced...  So if you're good and can bet 17nrs and never lose 8 in row...
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

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