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Can these Statistics & Strategy PROFIT Long-Term?

Started by RP501, Oct 08, 05:21 PM 2018

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RP501

Can these Betting Statistics & Strategy be Profitable in the Long-Term?

Win: 32.4%
Break-EVEN: 37.8%
Lose: 29.7%
Win Bet Odds: 1-2 (.50-1) 21.6% of the time.
Win Bet Odds: 3-2 (1.50-1) 10.8% of the time.
Very Mild Simple Progression: Keep adding 1 Unit during losing periods, until a new high Balance hits, then Re-set.

This includes the single Zero on European Wheel.

This is JUST a Theory -- Being the Progression allows Winning Bet amounts to be more than Losing Bets, thus eventually allowing you to recover over-all Losses (very long grinding sessions possible).  Of course, this applies ONLY if there are NO Table Limits.  And I already know any Progression is prone to hit Limits, which is why Roulette can't be beat Long-Term.  As mentioned, this is just a Theory for NO Table Limits.   ;)

If you believe it is IMPOSSIBLE to win at Roulette long-term, then you will never win. ... But, if you believe anything is possible, then you will find the way.

RP501

Quote from: RP501 on Oct 08, 05:21 PM 2018Win Bet Odds: 1-2 (.50-1) 21.6% of the time.
Win Bet Odds: 3-2 (1.50-1) 10.8% of the time.

... So that would be an average of 83% Profit per Win (.83-1 Odds) 💰
If you believe it is IMPOSSIBLE to win at Roulette long-term, then you will never win. ... But, if you believe anything is possible, then you will find the way.

Bigbroben

To add one unit every spin, I think it's called Fitzroy or Pluscoup, something like that. 
Explain your numbers, though: what to they represent?
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

RP501

Quote from: Bigbroben on Oct 08, 07:03 PM 2018To add one unit every spin, I think it's called Fitzroy or Pluscoup, something like that. 
Explain your numbers, though: what to they represent?

Thanks for the names of the progression methods of adding 1 Unit per spin, until Balance hits new high.

Those numbers relates to just 2 combination bets, that's why there is 37.8% Break-EVEN.  I don't really want to give-away the actual Method, but it takes advantage of the uneven RB on the 2 Columns.  But anyone who is Roulette savvy can figure it out, based on the Odds & Percentages I've posted.  ;)
If you believe it is IMPOSSIBLE to win at Roulette long-term, then you will never win. ... But, if you believe anything is possible, then you will find the way.

Bigbroben

Ok'

How many trials did you do to get to these percentages?

How high a progression did you reach and how many spins between 2 new highs?
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

RP501

Quote from: Bigbroben on Oct 09, 12:16 PM 2018How many trials did you do to get to these percentages?
How high a progression did you reach and how many spins between 2 new highs?

Sorry, I wasn't exactly clear on what those numbers represented.  They are based on what the 2 Bets would generate in relation to the Roulette Table.

For example - If I were to bet 1-Unit on the 1st Column & the 1st Dozen together, the Statistics would be:

(European single Zero)
Win: 54.0%
Lose: 45.9%
Win Bet Odds: 1-2 (.50-1) 43.2% of the time.
Win Bet Odds: 2-1, 10.8% of the time.
Average Odds:  4-5 (.80-1) 80%

Although I don't think betting Fitzroy or Pluscoup would work on this particular Column-Dozen combo.

I've just begun to work my Method, and have only done around couple 1,000 spins with online RNG Roulette.  Unfortunately, I don't have the skills to test with those System Testers.  And I don't want to divulge my System by letting someone test it.  I guess I'll just need to keep playing it with RNG Roulette, even though the consensuses (belief) is that it CANNOT be beaten in the long-term.  I heard 50,000 spins should be sufficient.

So far my version of the Fitzroy progression has been able to recoup an average negative 8,000 Units (1-cent) draw-downs, within approximately 400-600 spins.  Very long grinding sessions, 1-2+ hours!
If you believe it is IMPOSSIBLE to win at Roulette long-term, then you will never win. ... But, if you believe anything is possible, then you will find the way.

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