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Progression bets are nothing more than different size bets on different spins. You could get lucky and win big, or unlucky and lose even more.

## define, hot number, once and for all

Started by nottophammer, Nov 14, 03:47 AM 2017

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

#### Turner

Quote from: ZERO on Jun 22, 06:59 AM 2018I was actually starting to consider becoming a Canadian Citizen!
are things really that bad? lol

#### Bigbroben

Being a Canadian is one of the best situation there can be, you know.  Next to being a porn star.
Life is hard, and then you die.

#### TurboGenius

Quote from: CoderJoe on Jun 21, 01:17 PM 2018So if there is potentially any difference between betting on say the 5 hottest and coldest numbers this rating method should show it. What do you think?

Interesting approach

#### The General

For there to be a hot number it has to have hit several times in the past, not the future.  This means that we have to use past spins, whether we have bet on them or not doesn't matter.

Not all hot numbers are created equally.  Some hot numbers are biased numbers.  They hit more frequently than they should because of a defect on the wheel.  These are the kind of hot numbers that people want to play because they hit more frequently than probability would predict for a reason.  The accuracy of a prediction has been increased.

Defining a biased number can be achieved through standard deviation testing of a statistically relevant number of spins and by testing the over all fitness of the wheel using chi square.  Now, many people like to point to the law of the third and binomial distribution, but really chi square is a much better way to quantify how far outside the norm a wheel is performing.  Several people are now looking at how many non hit verses hit numbers there are in various samples to define how a wheel is performing.  My suggestion to them is stop using the law of the third nonsense,  collect much larger data sets, and use the chi square instead.

Hot numbers that aren't biased numbers are just random fluctuations. Meaning they're bobbing up and down due to variance.  Unfortunately, variance/luck is not predictable.  We can define the range of variance that's possible, but that's only because we can define the size of a spin sample.  Meaning we can't have 11 reds in a row if we're only looking at 10 spins.

-The General

Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

#### TurboGenius

Those are all valid points - that have nothing to do with how I'm playing hot numbers.

#### The General

Quote from: TurboGenius on Jun 23, 03:34 PM 2018
Those are all valid points - that have nothing to do with how I'm playing hot numbers.

Oh, are we still talking about you?  Ermm I thought that's what the other threads we're for?

I felt that it was time to post some facts rather than the absurd.
Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

#### TurboGenius

My apologies - carry on. I thought all of your posts were about me and contradicting anything I post. My mistake. 11 reds in a row can't happen in 10 spins, got it.

#### Anastasius

I believe hot and cold and patterns do exist in a paradoxical way
Every spin is simultaneously disconnected and also connected
Boom boom sir

#### Kimo Li

A hot number is a number that influences the categorization of a set number of groups. Categorization may include the obvious characters, red, black, odd, even, high, low. So if your are tracking any of these characters, you may find a high variance in any one of these character groups. For example, 1 is red, odd, and low. The number may appear more that once in a 36 number cycle. More importantly, the number may add to the frequency of a tracked characteristic.

#### MumboJumbo

In 500 spins several numbers can hit up to 25 times while some numbers can hit only 5 times, let say number 21 hit 25 times and it is hot and number 7 hit 3 times cold, but in long run it means nothing important, statistic can't help you to beat roulette.

#### number25

How can we beat the wheel?

#### MumboJumbo

Only if you steal money while croupier isn't looking.

#### number25

Well that might go sideways!  You read all the post on this form & should be able to win.

Make small profit a day adds up.  Like only play on wheel.  Set a goal stop go home.

Sounds ridiculous into you try.