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The Honey Badger

Started by Let Me Win, May 21, 05:21 AM 2019

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Let Me Win

The Honey Badger is my method of using a progression called the Mongoose with fixed rules and a 20 unit bank.

I've made a new topic here so anyone can take part. But let's not waste any time with tired old arguments about why this won't work  :twisted:

This is a practical method of how a system player could make a small living playing roulette.

This only works for French roulette so the house advantage against us is 1.35‰

Honey Badger does not care about 1.35% and considers it so small as to be insignificant.

This is the basis on which I will proceed.



Let Me Win

We're going to proceed on the basis that we have a bankroll of £1000 which we have split into five separate bankrolls of £200 each.

Our unit of play is £10 so each visit to the casino we would bring £200 with us and buy in for 20 x £10 chips.

The casino then has to beat us five days in a row to completely wipe us out.

Each day I bring £200 to the casino I'm looking to leave with between £30 and £100 profit.

The maximum loss is £200 per day.

The great part about the Honey Badger is that every single decision is already decided for you before you start.

There is absolutely no thinking involved whatsoever.

Everything has been perfectly calculated to protect you.

The first part is to learn the Mongoose betting progression.

Here is an excellent explanation.

Mongoose bet sequence has 7 possible bets
The first two are a parlay
Three and four are a capped martingale
Five and six is a flatbet
Seven is to recover a lost 5 and 6 flatbet.

The 7 steps are in 3 sets.  If you lose any set, you start over.
Set #1 is the parlay.
If you lose either of these bets you  will be -1, start over.
If you win them both you are +3 so move to set 2.

Set #2 is the 2 step martingale starting with 1 unit or whatever your unit level is for this attack.
If you lose both of these bets you will be even having won 3 units in set 1 and having lost the 3 units in this set.  Start over.
If you win either of these bets you will be at +4 (+3 from set #1; +1 from set #2).
If you win either of these bets move to set 3.

Set #3 starts with a 1 unit bet.  If you win bet #5, you will be at +5 which is our goal.  Start over.
If you lose bet #5, bet #6 is a flatbet equal to #5.  If you win bet #6 you will be even for set 3 so rebet #5.
If you lost bet #5 and #6, you go to bet #7.
Bet #7 has 2 options:
1) bet 2 units.  A win breaks you even for set #3 so you can rebet #5.  A loss brings us to even so we start over.
2) bet 3 units.  A win nets us +1 unit for set 3 which gives us our 5 unit win for the mongoose sequence.  Start over.  A loss of 3 units places us at -1 for the sequence and we start over.
That's how you play the mongoose.  It gives you a pretty good chance of winning.  Each win recovers 5 losses.  I'm not saying it changes the odds to our favor, but it does give us more time for a little luck to help us.

Here's another way of expaining it:
(1) Bet 1 and 2 which are a Parley â€" Bet 1 is 1 unit and if it wins then bet 2 units
If either 1 or 2 loses then you go to the next figure in the Progression.  If both bets win, next:

(2) Bet 3 is 1 unit and if this wins then go to (3), but if it loses then multiply
the bet x 2 and try to win bet 4. If either bet 3 or 4 wins then go to (3).
If bets 3 and 4 lose then you go back to (1) and the next figure in the
Progression. However, because you have already won +3 units from (1) you
don’t actually lose.

(3) Bet 5 is 1 unit and if it wins then you are finished (in profit with +5) .
If bet 5 of 1 unit loses, you bet bet 6 which is 1 unit also and if bet 6 then wins, you go back and try bet 5 of 1 unit again.
If bet 5 of 1 unit loses and then bet 6 of 1 unit also loses,  you bet bet 7 of 3 units.
Win 7 and the game finishes (in profit of +5)
Lose bet 7 and you are -1 for this attack.  Go back to (1) and the next figure in the Progression.

Later I'll show you how we apply this to the Honey Badger.





Let Me Win

Remember I told you the Honey Badger requires only 20 units per day?

And that every single decision is already predefined before you commence battle?

Well here are the fixed rules for playing with the 20 units. Your exit points are very clearly defined.


Let Me Win

This attachment shows you the progession needed to play the Mongoose in conjunction with the Honey Badger.

Remember each time you lose a Mongoose attack you lose 1 unit and each time you win a Mongoose attack you win 5 units.


Let Me Win

If you lose the above progression you lose 17 units.

Everything is already predefined which includes the bet selection.

Here's how it works. You will bet either red or black based on the following patterns one of which has to occur...

RRR you bet R
RBR you bet R
BRR you bet R
RRB you bet R
BBB you bet B
BRB you bet B
RBB you bet B
BBR you bet B

When you start the session you have no history to make a selection so you bet 1 chip for three spins on the corner 0,1,2,3

Sometimes you will hit and already make a very nice profit.

Most of the time you will lose these three spins but by losing the three spins you now have a pattern for your bet selection for the rest of the game.

Should zero appear then it's counted as a full loss on your progession stage but ignoreed for the purposes of future bet selection.

In other words the same selection either red or black is repeated for the next spin only the staking is adjusted.

Yes, bet selection makes no difference but this selection method happens to  work very nicely in the 'real world' and removes any need to think.

I think that is enough explanation?



Let Me Win

Always remember if sh!t can happen sh!t will happen.

So you lose the three corner bets equals 3 unit loss.

Then you lose the Mongoose progression ten times you lose another 17 units.

That's how a 20 unit session bankroll could be lost.
I managed not to lose it very often so far?

ozzi43

Quote from: Let Me Win on May 21, 06:26 AM 2019
Always remember if sh!t can happen sh!t will happen.

So you lose the three corner bets equals 3 unit loss.

Then you lose the Mongoose progression ten times you lose another 17 units.

That's how a 20 unit session bankroll could be lost.
I managed not to lose it very often so far?
BIG Thank you for explaning.Now we need to learn and try this gem.👍

Let Me Win

I managed to get the patterns wrong the correct patterns are...

BBB bet B
BRR bet B
RBR bet B
RRB bet B

RRR bet R
RBB bet R
BRB bet R
BBR bet R

Also consider the attachment for part of the Honey Badger theory.

Let Me Win

And this attachment will show you the percentages you will face.

Person S

Thanks for the interesting topic!
Thus, honey badger is not a system, but a good money management based on minimal risks.
Does it only work for 50/50 odds?

Let Me Win

It could probably be adapted to other odds but that is not an area I would be interested in pursuing as I use this for Baccarat too.

Kattila

Quote from other topic / Let Me Win

***
I have experimented with various ideas over the years.

I am a system player but I'm well aware of the maths.

I developed my own system or method which I have called the Honey Badger as it is based on a well known betting method called the Mongoose.

As in nature the Honey Badger is  superior to the Mongoose.

It can only be used on European roullete playing the even money bets so that there is only 1.35% house advantage.

Most members of this forum still haven't even grasped that simple fact which shows the level of intelligence of the majority of people here.

Going back to the method which I named the Honey Badger it requires a bankroll of just 20 units to play.

I am aiming to win between 3 and 10 units a session.

It's complicated to explain but I'm happy to play a sample game with anyone on Skype.

I'm not trying to sell anything and am content just reading the nonsense posted on here daily whilst making myself a few units to pay for my daily bread.

*** end quote

That (in red ) says a lot about you ....
And now you need the atention of all that majority * intelligent * people ?

Firefox

QuoteI say the longshots are a whisker better when they are "warmed up" or bunching, I can't say why ... call it the law of attraction if you will... 

This is clearly bollox. There is no advantage in bet selection.

The rest of it is reasonable. So top marks for that. Play 1.35% house edge game only. Sensible money management to limit losses and protect bankroll. Limit session lengths etc.

It's a package which will lose to the house edge long term, but offers a fair chance of short or medium term wins and protects you from big losses.

Probably the best way to play if you want to have some fun gambling with a system in a controlled manner.

Let Me Win

I'm not sure why Kattila is attacking me....

Someone ask me to explain Honey Badger and I pointed out that most of the forum are fighting against  2.7% when they should be concentrating on fighting against 1.35%
:yawn:

valvo

Hi Let Me Win, once you start playing do you just keep rolling the decisions or bet every 3rd decision?
Thanks
Val

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