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Breaking down Vdw with python

Started by Kali49, Dec 08, 06:32 PM 2019

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Total Members Voted: 5

Voting closes: Apr 24, 08:54 PM 2047

Kali49

By the way, just looking at the 16 possible APs, I noticed that it is possible to have an edge playing the right way.

I will add this observation to our code and post it here.
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Kali49

Let's continue the tutorial,

The code for our first arithmetic progression (1-2-3)
After creating and generating a list of 9 spins looks like this :



To copy the code :
_______________________________________

import random
X = 9
ap1 = 0
i = 0
tlist = [X, X, X, X, X, X, X, X, X]
while i != 9:
  print("___________________ ", i)
  print("                    ")
  x = random.choice([0,1])
  tlist = x
  i = i + 1
  print(tlist)
  if i == 3:
     if tlist[0] == tlist[1] == tlist[2]:
         ap1 = ap1 + 1
         print("You win", ap1)
  if  i != 3:
         pass
________________________________________

Running the code will show us the following output :



It shows "You Win 1"
When the the first 3 spins were all red or all black which means the completion of an AP.

Next step is to write the code for the rest of the APs.

Regards,
Kali
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Kali49

Many members asked me for more information about my earlier concepts on other posts, later I will give you the name of my channel on Medium app where you can explore premium strategies.

Regards,
Kali
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stringbeanpc

Quote from: Kali49 on Dec 09, 02:43 PM 2019
By the way, just looking at the 16 possible APs, I noticed that it is possible to have an edge playing the right way.
I will add this observation to our code and post it here.

Looking forward to whatever you wish to share regarding "playing the right way"

Before when I looked at this VdW, I found the best solution was to bet the most recent side that repeated.

oldest R R B B R B R B B newest
in this situation after the 4th spin you have 2 reds and 2 blacks, with the 2 blacks being the most recent, and a win would occur on AP 468

But this is not applicable in a choppy situation. ie oldest R B R B R B R B R newest


Kali49

Quote from: stringbeanpc on Dec 10, 04:49 PM 2019
Looking forward to whatever you wish to share regarding "playing the right way"

Before when I looked at this VdW, I found the best solution was to bet the most recent side that repeated.

oldest R R B B R B R B B newest
in this situation after the 4th spin you have 2 reds and 2 blacks, with the 2 blacks being the most recent, and a win would occur on AP 468

But this is not applicable in a choppy situation. ie oldest R B R B R B R B R newest

It seems from the final output of my analysis that Vdw can really be used to play with an edge, it took me three days to finish the code.

Just look very carefully you will find interesting stuff.
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Person S

In one of the topics, Falkor conducted a million tests in the hope of finding an advantage, but, unfortunately, he failed.

Person S

I think if we play a mathematical game, then every decision on bets should be justified by mathematics.
It will be accurate enough.
If we play with luck, then luck is our guideline.

Herby

Quote from: Kali49 on Dec 13, 12:29 AM 2019It seems from the final output of my analysis that Vdw can really be used to play with an edge, it took me three days to finish the code.

From the view of my little understanding of the English language if you use the words "it seems" to me it seems you are not quite sure of a VdW edge.
3 days to finish the code seems to me to be a too long time. (Yes I programmed VdW on my own few years ago)



Kali49

Quote from: Herby on Dec 13, 10:50 AM 2019
From the view of my little understanding of the English language if you use the words "it seems" to me it seems you are not quite sure of a VdW edge.
3 days to finish the code seems to me to be a too long time. (Yes I programmed VdW on my own few years ago)

It took me 30 minutes to finish the initial version of the code with the rules on all the forums online, three days to actually find one that delivers.

Anyways it's great that you wrote the code, would you mind sharing your results, please don't say the same thing everybody says, that you can't use Vdw to change the odds.

If you know coding you know to always double check your algorithm.
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Kali49

Quote from: Person S on Dec 13, 09:51 AM 2019
I think if we play a mathematical game, then every decision on bets should be justified by mathematics.
It will be accurate enough.
If we play with luck, then luck is our guideline.
Great thinking, right there.
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Steve

Yes but the problem is most people who say that have no idea about the math. Their ideas are like "after lots of spins, there will be about half reds, half blacks (excluding 0). So let's wait for an imbalance, and bet on the least spun color... it's mathematically GUARANTEED!"
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Kali49

Votes on the poll about the expected value is in favor of explaining what it means.
Next post will be an awesome explanation of the expected value and it's meaning and usefulness in this business.
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