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The "Statistical Imbalance" fallacy

Started by falkor2k15, Feb 22, 10:58 AM 2020

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0 Members and 4 Guests are viewing this topic.

Bebediktus3

Quote from: carvigno on Mar 07, 04:29 PM 2020And the winner for best member of the forum issss foorrr JOEEEE!!!!.
I saw several real winners in casinos, but they, for sure not participate in forums... :) . All who are in forums with play have one or other problems :)
Not try to beat the game, much easier to beat the wheel...
Some peoples very not like, when I say how to win, or why they can't win.

gizmotron2

Quote from: Kimo Li on Mar 07, 04:38 PM 2020
I am not looking for proof. I am looking to see Gizmo succeed. In order to do that, he needs to program his idea. When he does that, it's no longer free.

If I do it I was going to publish the software as open source and show off the algorithm in X-Talk language. I would just go after the singles on the weak side characteristic. I would just have it check for the effectiveness state. It would be time consuming in a casino to just target one characteristic and to just react to the percentage of effectiveness based on a few tested best result levels. It would all be hard coded so that it was clear as a bell what is being done. Each spin would have telemetry to show what the software decided on each spin. It would blast away the notion of beating the house. It could do massively long run tests. I would even let users load their own large lists of spins to test them. In other words it would be a real test of concept. And it would all be for free. If I actually do that then the discussion on gambling would shift like a pandemic. I have other things to keep my interest but it might be fun to pick away at it for this next year.
Reading Randomness is a single thread. It is backed up by a software instruction thread and software download threads. The Even Chance Pro 1.4 version is the best version to practice on.
gamblingforums dot com/threads/reading-randomness.14733/

ati

Lots of arguing in this topic. Looks like it's something that never gonna change. I read forum topics from 10 years ago, and exactly the same thing was going on. Some guys claim to profit consistently, but they won't, or unable to prove it, so everyone else are attacking them for their outrageous claims and it leads to nowhere.  ::)

I can add more fuel to the fire, and say that I believe that a mathematical HG exists and people like Dyksexlik, reddwarf, Priyanka, etc are all right.  :twisted: I can't, and would probably never want to prove it that they are right, but there are many things that are not shared and discussed on the forums. Most "experienced" people think they have seen everything and everything has been tried before, but that couldn't be further from the truth.

Regarding the original post, statistical imbalances do exist. It has been proven. But of course we are unable to predict the outcomes. So there must be an other way to bet continuously without predicting what comes next. The secret lies in cycles, parallel games and stitched bets.
I don't know how to do it, but I fully believe that it is possible. So for now, I have to admit that everyone who think system players are delusional is right.  ;)

Bebediktus3

Quote from: ati on Mar 07, 05:08 PM 2020I can add more fuel to the fire, and say that I believe that a mathematical HG exists and people like Dyksexlik, reddwarf, Priyanka, etc are all right.
I do not know these guys, but I have super impressive "statistical imbalance " - I met maybe 10 or more persons from different forums - all claimed that they are winners, but nobody could prove, or show when my eys looked :).

If mathematical HG exists it must be very easily detected by other mathematicians :) . I really saw several such HG, simply casinos were missed in rules, but they detected very fast that - really after a few bigger wins...So that says that such a thing cant be hidden...
Not try to beat the game, much easier to beat the wheel...
Some peoples very not like, when I say how to win, or why they can't win.

ati

The thing is, if you have a mathematical HG, the last thing you want is to share it or prove it to draw an attention to yourself. Nobody simply "deserves" or can buy a HG. It would immediately lose value, and could also ruin the game.
The reason I believe it can be hidden is because the spins are independent. So you get a perfectly normal randomness if you only play the 1st, 4th, 7th and 8th spins for example. So if you are clever enough, an observer would have no idea what you are doing.

Mister Eko

Quote from: Bebediktus3 on Mar 07, 04:42 PM 2020
I saw several real winners in casinos, but they, for sure not participate in forums... :) . All who are in forums with play have one or other problems :)

Why you think that? If I will make money  from roulette permanently, I will be available on roulette forums, because I like roulette forums. Those who dont post, they dont know where they are from. I know, and I did nt forget , that roueltte forums helped me a lot, thats why I will come back and help others ! And that is why your above claim is a lie,

Mister Eko

Quote from: HouseWifes on Mar 07, 04:51 PM 2020
Apologises for the 2nd account. I fail to recall the password of the last one

@NB25
You shall be delivered.p

@BENEDIKTUS3
Having an intellect with limited association capacity and no intuition is not a choice, that is the way he was born.

As you have the mental competence to contextually connect std3 outside sexually transmitted diseases, or have been allocated a creative mind to rediscover or even invent structure to capture the natural flow of the properties of that energy which translates into those three colours, no matter how defect and antisocial another persons persona is, I really see no sense in shaming him for being born with that character. He and they are here in our reality for a solid reason. Be is narcissist, psychopaths and even the slyest of them all, sociopaths serve a purpose; they serve us to entirely commit to something gigantic, which is ego death. They do seduce and then trap while exploiting the advantages of the process of using everything to satisfy their attentiin whoring. But you see, all of that, ultimately, makes us realise just how vain this dust named worldly success finally is. I should know what all of those three mean, after all, I had to to survive. One is a tilt, next is biological, while the last is a choice. I chose evil, because I thought fame, money and finally power meant happiness. I genuinly did. Yet there was more than this life. And that I never permitted to embrace as a potential. Never to get a clearer grasp about eternity being the reality and this here is the testing period extremely closely knitted to either the experission of ignorance or - caring.

@Gizmo and @Joe was it?
You do not understand. Kimo is not here to get money. He is here for new friendships because in all of his fortune what he really is - just like myself - is lonely. Im lonely because I have to wear a mask based on who I encounter, called fake emotiinal connection. All three antipersonal disorders use it. And very successfully. The fact that you call out someones bullshit doesnt have impact on nothing else but that persons image, while apparently efficient, it still does not change the fact that this man is lonely. Very, very lonely.

Instead if we pity him and the current condition of all human race, we shall care for him instead of marginalize him and even if that shall indeed offer more than all the necessary room for him to snake his way in and start to sly out we shall win something way beyond our imagination in return. Namely the live of ones enemy. And that, that shall offer us A revelation which I promise you, shall make us miss a heart beat or even a few.

Because after the wheel or the markets and so forth, Im telling you all: I have encountered what Solomon and Paul were reffering to. And Im abput to show you all the way. And compared to THAT, the wheel or any power guaranteed by either many zeros or ego related real spirituality is dust in the wind.

Yet. Lets start with Gizmo and see if that world of the word altruism shall make any of you happier today. And Steve, your time has come. Your only minor error, yet never a mistake was asking for the proof from person who puts scorn at value. And its logical he does so and is naturally judged here accordingly getting all this cold shoulder. But what if he, would be the saddest of us all, reaching out to almost my own level of melancholy? What if he is here, because he knows this IS the forum where REAL geniouses are. The brightest of all minds, the most creative people possibly on the entire Earth? Now wouldnt he also, being human, should have the pleasure of socializing with people of highest possible mental strenght? Why deny him the right to be a human, as also the altes rnatives exist. Let him be around. And let me do the introduction for him, so that he shall be seen as a contributor too, not as this asshole with erectionless dick.

Stop shaming this man, I guarantee you, apart of myself he is the most miserable man on this forum. And no, not the mask he wears thats screaming scorn all over it. No. But the man inside, who, precisely like myself, never had the right to be truly loved. And why? Well thats related to the fact that almost all people over all time frames need lies to align with the biased cognitive dissonance.

But as I said, Syria will not be a small deal, as that starting to take its final form NOW, why wouldnt I share everything that was of value to me before the irreversible events started to take place from last Thursday on.

I wanna show here, how the imbalances get that equilibrium. On wheel, on life, on soul, and finally. Spiritually.

That might be exciting to those that are willing to give those systems a test drive.

And when Im finished here, where I started in the early 2000's, Im going to forget all of my life, dispatch from all my earthly possessions or assets, and have Juda' final.

Because no matter how much I/we achieved, without the Grace, absolute everything has become senseless.

All but leaving you guys on this forum this rather modest legacy to use and if considered of any additiinal value, hopefully pass along to those most dear to you in the future.

Incoming insight:
17 levels of counsciousness (linked to tsla)
Al Brooks 3 books
Triangular theory of love
Mbti
Rich dad poor dad
Joy of success
And
The russian pilgrim

But lets start with the wheel if that is suitable.

Here we go.

I see you are a very lonely person for free, and nikolas kiss can prove it easily

Mister Eko


Bebediktus3

Quote from: ati on Mar 07, 05:51 PM 2020The thing is, if you have a mathematical HG, the last thing you want is to share it or prove it to draw an attention to yourself. Nobody simply "deserves" or can buy a HG. It would immediately lose value, and could also ruin the game.
If mathematical HG  will exist, it will be found by many peoples, no need to share it and not possible to hide it...
Never think, that you are "the best" and you can find math HG and such which will not find others :)

Plus roulette is physical game, so such categories as mathematical HG - cant be in it.... Math helps only in solving physical and statistical tasks.
Not try to beat the game, much easier to beat the wheel...
Some peoples very not like, when I say how to win, or why they can't win.

number25

Quote from: HouseWifes on Mar 07, 06:53 PM 2020
@Ati

You are right. But theres an anomaly. When NATO goes against rus.iran.chi.

In that case scenario, you, the reciever, have made it through. You have won. And the deliverer re experiences ego death.

It is marvellous, because there so little time left, and those who could did not turn their back on you, a stranger but loved you as their own selves.

And that is almost as high as loving your enemy. Which leads directly to merge with God.

Youre at reason. Love is just one step forth.
How does this help us play roulette?

ati


Kairomancer

Quote from: HouseWifes on Mar 07, 07:32 PM 2020
And to the gent there enquirining incitement.

What is shit to you is shit to everyone.

But what is shit to you, is the lest from the round table of the equals.

That means, either crazy or crazy insightful. Its all in the eye of the perceiver. And that persons level of vibration.

Like holding hands. But with a pizza. But then can one hold hands while having a pizza? If yes, where was the pizza put.

Life is like art. Some have it for sale. Others finalize the painting. Others just planned what they want to paint.

I. Im the person who is in the phase of opening my eyes for the 1st time after my own birth. The last in terms of value.

Because real value.. That comes exclusively from the Upstairs.

And thats where Id like you all to go and remain.

Like watersports but with that pizza.
What you need are genuine friendships.
Start by defining your involvement in such a partnership today, so you can set the ground for it to manifest and extend upon.
Thank me later.
Cheers

Taotie

@ HouseWifes,

You should probably go back to the kitchen, where you belong.

Kali49

Proof that Statistical imbalance can be detected and acted upon, the video below is a 300,000 spins analyzed using bayesian inference tactics in python programming language

This strategy is all about extracting new information from the past data for even chances and feeding it to a bayes model that predicts the next value.

Skip to the end of the video to see the result, pause the video anywhere and you will see the random output the probabilities from the model, the balance at that point and the predicted value before that particular spin.

This Model gives a 0,00355 % return on investment flat betting, not exactly attractive but it's a proof that modeling uncertainty is a possibility.

link:s://youtu.be/HGXovVaEjG8
A collection of Roolet ideas
link:[url="s://roolet.flarum.cloud"]s://roolet.flarum.cloud[/url]

carvigno

Quote from: HouseWifes on Mar 07, 05:14 PM 2020
xxoo
ooxx
Bet
xxoo

Or

xoxo
oxox
Bet
xoxo

Or

xooo
oxoo
ooxo
Bet
ooox

Or

xooo
oxoo
xooo
Bet
oxoo

Thats incomplete. Some patterns are not shown in your explanation.
ECs can only dispose themselves in 3 states:

1) INTERMITENCES. Just one or More than one should be observed. Example

X O X O X O X O

2) REFLECTIONS (only 1 intermitence is required, should be the case) examples ;

SYMMETRICALS (equal) reflections

XX O XX O XX O XX   called noses, 1 intermitence

XX OO XX OO XX   no intermitences

XXX O XXX O XXX O (3 serie) 1 intermitence

XXXX O XXXX O XXXX (4 serie) 1 intermitence

XXX OOO XXX OOO string of series conected

ASYMMTRICALS (not looking equal) reflectlions, examples:

XX O XXX O XXXX O XXX 1 intermitence

XXX O XXXX O XXX 1 intermitence

XX OOO XX OO XXX   a string of series

3) ISOLATED FIGURES, requiere 2 or more intermitences between them

X O X OOO X O X  (3 SERIE)

X O X  XXXX O X O  (4 SERIE)

X O X OOOOO X O X (5 SERIE)

6, 7, 8, ETC.

Those are the only 3 states an even chance can produce.

Most important to ponder is when you see a break-through of the rhytym, examples

XX O XX O XX O XXXXX O

or

XX OO XX OO XXXX OOO

or

XXX OOO XXX OOOOOOO

or whatever different from previous patterns, so break-through is a change of rhythm.

These rhythms can be observed for more or less long periods of consecutive spins. Chaos is subjet to laws. One of those laws is LAW of Time producing SYMMETRY (and asymmetries, there is no perfect world  ;))

If you only understand and observe this simple concepts, you are on the right track.

Have a nice Sunday.





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