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La Bouchere based on probability and odds of repeated numbers in 37 spins

Started by huskerdu, Apr 02, 07:22 AM 2020

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0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Roulettebeater

A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Steeefan2014

Quote from: ignatus on Apr 04, 08:45 AM 2020
Nice. From my testings now, betting last 18, (with an ordinary Neg. progression) it had about a 90% winrate. WG+2000, SL-2000  :thumbsup:

System "Last 18"
// © ignatus 2020 ©

method "main"
begin
while starting a new session
begin
   put 0 to Record "Highest Bankroll" Data

   Set List [1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,3,4,6,9,14,21,32,60,120,240,480,960]  to Record "progression" Data
   Set List [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13] to Record "Number Bet" Data
end

while on each spin
begin

copy last Number to Record "last1" layout

if flag "betmax" false each
begin

Track last number for 18 spins to
Record "last12" layout

end

if any inside bet won each
begin
       reset all flags false
       clear Record "last12" layout
       set flag "betmax" false
        put 1 on Record "progression" Data Index
        put 1 to Record "Number Bets" Data Index
end


{
If Record "Last12" layout list lost each time
begin
   Put 100% of Record "progression" data to Record "last12" Layout list
end
}










IF Record "last12" layout count >= 17 each
Begin
//add 1 on Record "progression" Data Index
//set flag "bet" true
end

IF total inside bets count >= 17 each
Begin
set flag "betmax" true
end

//add 1 on Record "Number Bet" Data Index

if flag "bet" true each
begin
Put 100% of Record "progression" Data to Record "last12" layout list
end

add 1 on Record "progression" Data Index
Put 100% of Record "progression" Data to Record "last12" layout list



If Record "progression" Data Index >
  Record "progression" Data Count
    Begin
     clear Record "last12" layout
     Put 1 on Record "progression" Data Index
     Put 1 on Record "Numbers Bet" Data
    End



{if total spin count >= 150 each time
begin
stop session
end
}
if total bankroll <= -2000 each time
begin
stop session
end

if total bankroll >= 2000 each time
begin
stop session
end

  end
END


Awesome, Ignatus! But wasn't it suposed to  wait until 18 different numbers and then start betting?

Bigbroben

I coded the Labouchere and Reverse Lab for ECs on Excel.  I'll try to find the file and will adapt it to straightups
Life is hard, and then you die.
Mes pensées sont le dernier retranchement de ma liberté.

huskerdu

I tested another set of 450 spins
Random.org 2020-04-05 06:57:36 UTC
(read first column, then second coluymn etc..)

22   0   2   17   7   9   25   8   14   34   24   33   24   15   6
8   34   26   23   3   25   16   20   36   17   31   20   36   17   8
33   9   22   2   18   17   22   1   7   6   0   19   34   19   4
5   26   29   25   7   29   24   28   2   36   33   24   27   21   19
13   21   1   11   16   27   6   18   8   29   18   18   36   36   24
35   30   9   30   36   22   14   27   34   25   23   29   1   19   36
18   18   15   20   17   14   8   3   8   11   0   15   32   33   19
29   27   27   35   21   4   11   17   19   5   35   13   21   19   27
9   21   1   36   23   9   28   1   6   3   11   30   20   35   27
34   10   25   6   19   16   2   4   10   18   17   16   21   24   34
0   24   20   11   21   11   29   25   19   11   0   3   24   21   16
34   10   7   34   26   25   33   8   26   19   18   20   14   32   21
9   4   7   33   25   3   22   5   0   21   12   21   33   25   5
19   6   2   26   6   30   23   10   25   29   19   3   27   34   20
12   25   11   8   13   34   12   26   23   17   2   25   25   25   6
10   23   17   5   4   14   18   32   7   29   12   34   25   24   6
0   14   2   3   14   21   20   29   19   34   16   26   29   0   5
6   3   30   6   29   20   10   18   19   30   31   3   7   2   12
6   32   19   29   6   6   4   15   9   12   25   17   15   25   26
0   6   10   23   20   14   9   33   22   35   26   21   30   1   23
21   2   1   34   20   2   26   33   4   26   11   31   13   7   18
36   28   28   36   21   32   16   6   8   35   20   13   27   22   26
8   23   32   35   35   7   1   9   13   17   0   35   4   21   26
23   36   3   15   19   23   34   6   23   15   16   34   3   17   28
24   19   14   32   11   34   36   27   27   17   17   22   30   22   4
23   25   11   16   31   26   6   22   2   20   35   15   35   24   13
34   8   2   19   23   25   20   19   28   34   12   33   7   13   32
12   26   12   12   33   26   12   36   15   14   32   24   33   26   0
23   19   10   33   9   28   21   19   2   0   23   28   4   10   7
21   14   0   6   23   6   13   32   5   25   0   3   11   25   21

The first 18 unique numbers appeared after 25 spins.
So we start betting at the 26th spin.
For the following 425 spins the sesults are (W= win, L= lose):

WWWWWWWWLWLWLWWWWLWLW
LLLWLLWLLWLLWWWWLLLLLLWWLL
WWLLWLWLWLLLLWWLWLWLWWW
WWLLLWLLLLLLWLLWWWLLLLLWWL
WLWWWLLWWWLLWLLLLWLWWLW
WLWLLWWWWWLLWWWLWWLLLW
LLLWLLLLWLWWLWWWWLWWWLW
WLLWWLLLLLLLLLLLLWWLLLWWLW
LLLWWLWLLLLLWLLWLLWWLLLLWL
WLLLLWWWLWLLLLWWWWWLWLW
LWLLWLLLLLLLLLLLWLLWWWWLLLL
WWWWLWLLLLLWLLLWWLWWWWL
LWLLLLWLWWWWWLWWWWWLWL
LLLWLWLWLLLWLWLWLWLWLWLW
WLWLWLLWLWWLWWLWLLWLLWL
WWLWWWLWLLWLWWWWWWLWL
LWLLWLWLWWLWLLLWLLLLWLWL
WLLWLLWWWLWLLWWLWLLLLW

Wins: 192    (45%)
Loses: 233   (55%)


An important drawback: there are two big stakes of loses (one stake of 11 spins and one stake of 12 spins)
Of course Labouchere can beat this long-tome but he betting wil rise too much.
Any idea of a softer negative progression ?

Roulettebeater

There is no way - either you employ the labouchere which needs at least 33% wins or any other negative /positive progressions.


A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Steve

Progression doesnt change anything. Its just different size bets on different spins.
"The only way to beat roulette is by increasing the accuracy of predictions"
Roulettephysics.com ← Professional roulette tips
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Roulettephysics.com/roulette-strategy ← Why most systems lose

SWEET

Quote from: huskerdu on Apr 03, 03:56 PM 2020
You will never have more than 10 loses on the next 20 spins because it is Impossible to come up with more than  10 unique numbers
you said, no more then 10 losses in 20, but now there 11 losses in row?

SWEET

Huskerdu,
After observing your small sample of win/lose, we can see a tendency to streaks...thus I suggest you do more testing.
The most important issue is, whether this bet selection is stable, or always hit within math-expectation, in say, 100spins.
Stable or math expectation, mean in every, say, 100 spins, the win not below 40hit/100spins,
then, progression, of 1x20spins,2x20,4x20,
8x20,16x20, restart at first profit,
may always recoup initial losses, (of string of long losing streak) when long string of long win, hit.
Thanks.

SWEET

the other progression bet,
if you patience , wait for long streak of losses, (as variance avoidance), say, wait for 5,6,7,or 8 losses, then bet with progression

huskerdu

Hello SWEET
Sorry for the delay
I was just testing some more hundreds of spins yesterday.
Well what I saw was that there are always some strings of 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 loses.
Not often but there are.
So I think the best way of playing safe is what you said with your last post. Wait for some virtual loses without playing and then bet
Thanks so much.

nottophammer

Then the resident experts will say whilst waiting you could be winning.

No pleasing some
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

Roulettebeater

Husker

how many tests have you done? perhaps it is too early to say that max 11 spins can loose in a row.
given the fact that you are betting 18 numbers, the longest Losing Streak has recently reached 27.. be careful.
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

SWEET

Huskerdu,
If after, very long spins testing, and the result still very "streaky", and the win lose ratio, still "Stable",
then playing *follow-the-last*, or follow2nd last, could take advantage of the streaky with progression bet, but the *stable* outcome....most important.

thelaw

You sir.......are a monster!!!

SWEET

Quote from: thelaw on Apr 06, 07:46 PM 2020
Would a reverse La Bouchere catch those streaks? :question:
Yes!
As long as it remain streaky, then reverse, definitely win.
The main problem,
is how much you willing to lose, eg. 1 unit, 2,3 up to hundred unit!

start with,(1), or (0,1), or (0,11111...up to hundred), depends on your risk appetite.

Thus Huskerdu needs to make very long real bm casino data testing, to see if his ideas, hit "STREAKY"...
thanks.

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