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Deconstructing Martingale and Constructing my own new strategy

Started by Bilo, Jul 28, 11:26 AM 2022

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Bilo


Hello players. This may help you also, if you are still looking for a way to make a lot of money by playing roulette. I am going to write about my thinking process and all things I discovered in the last 15 days, what I realised and came up with while practicing european roulette. Although I am sure that there is no system that will win me big money, I'm still researching hoping to find my own way to make money. Throughout this post I will write what I know doesn't work and what i THINK works.

I don't want to be deluded, but if you are looking at a chance to become rich, there is no way that you can keep calm and not hope. I do, really, hope my discoveries will take me to a place where I can make money playing roulette. Cautious like always, I have to share everything I plan with you, fellow roulette playes, so you can break my illusions or get rich together.

I HAVE TO POINT OUT THAT I AM NOT REALLY NAIVE AND WILL NOT PLAY ROULETTE WITH REAL MONEY UNTIL I AM SURE I CAN WIN. I TAKE NO PLEASURE IN GAMBLING, I NEVER HAVE, I DON'T WANT TO GAMBLE, I WANT TO TAKE MONEY FROM THE CASINOS BY PLAYING ROULETTE. ALL THINGS THAT ARE CONSIDERED GAMBLING WITHIN THE PROCESS ARE ACTUALLY EV (EXPECTED VALUE).

I've been playing roulette for 15 days and earned (FICTIONAL) 17.000$ and lost 5000$ - so I am still fictionally 12.000$ UP. I did not loose money at a time -- ex. I would win 500, lose 100, win 1000, lose 1200, win 2000, lose 100, win 500, lose 600 etc etc... But I am always ahead of the house. I think I have an edge. I THINK!

LET'S START WITH BREAKING THE MYTHS:

So, every once in a while you come across some "system" that will help you earn a lot of money by playing roulette. I was one of the million people who thought that martingale will make me rich. I always tried to stay focused and cautious, and to this day I never played with real money. I spent last 15 days training on roulette on few free roulette sites playing with fake money. Soon enough, I realised that Martingale is not very good system, because roulette players often fall into illusion that they can predict the next number - this is easy to understand, but hard to REALLY COMPREHEND:

- If 5 spins are RED, there is a big probability the next 5 are going to be BLACK. I'll just keep betting until I win. I'll be rich. THIS IS A BIG NO! What we find very hard to understand is that each spin is independent and has no memory. I stumbled upon many many 10+ BLACKS or REDS. Of course, it doesn't happen very often, but by the time it does (AND IT WILL!) you will lose all your balance.

First I tried to do 1+2+4+8+16+32+64+128+256 and thought - what are the chances, right? 9 times. And to have even bigger chances, I would just spin the wheel until one colour would show 4 times in a row, and then I would start betting by saying "okay, after 4 BLACKS, I'm 100% sure the next 9 will be RED" --- COMPLETELY UNTRUE!

This system requires 511$. If you invest that money, you will lose. You can play martingale for a whole day. Usually when I earn around 300$ or 400$, I would lose my 511$ and realised I was just prolonging the math that I will eventually lose, because martingale doesn't work. You can even earn 700$ or 800$ or even 1000$ - BUT YOU WILL LOSE YOUR 511 BALANCE. And even if you have a big big balance, all tables have limits and you cannot double your bet forever.

Next and biggest delusion was "You just have to stop when you reach your goal". So let's say your goal is 100$ a day. "Okay, I'll earn 100$ a day and then I'll stop so tomorrow I can earn another 100$.". - This is very stupid. And the reason is very simple - There is ABSOLUTELY NO DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PLAYING 5 DAYS FOR 1 HOUR, OR PLAYING 1 DAY FOR 5 HOURS!!! This can only work for one-time players - let's say you want to buy a new TV. So you need exact amount of money. You can go to online casino and play martingale until you have money for your TV (if you don't lose at the very beginning). For those people, systems can sometimes be useful. But for those who want to make money every day by playing roulette - the sooner we rid ourselves from these delusions, the sooner we can quit or find something that actually works.

This is the simplest example. Martingale. So I explained the basic thing about it. It took me a long time to realise that each spin is independent, there is no higher or lower probability vs 50-50 chance and the math is in casino's favour. Whatever system you learn, it will FAIL! This is 100% TRUE.

And after that, I watched every roulette video on youtube channel CEG Dealer School and tried all those systems. Not a single system worked in a long-term.

So in all that madness, I wanted to quit, but one thought came around my head and I had to try it (still with fake money, ofc). What if.... you use as many systems as you can at once? I'm not really a good mathematician, but I tried to use my logic:

If I can get 300$ bucks almost every time I play martingale before I lose everything, doesn't that mean something in a long-term? If my balance for Martingale is 511, and I can find 5 more systems with the same chances as the Martingale, does that raise my chances? I mean, If I need 511 for 5 different systems - I don't need 5 new accounts with 511 - I don't need 511$x5 - I just need my initial 511 so I can play all those systems at once.

And what I do is - I play with 511$, 5-6 turns with one system, then with next one, then next one and round and round it goes. If you can get 200$-300$ with each system before you lose - that means you can earn about 1500$ until you lose your 511. So you're left with enough money to keep in your balance again (new 511$) and enough to keep for your private needs.

This is just the base of my theory which I am still testing and not sure about. It may sound naive, but while using this method playing online, as I wrote before, I am UP 12,000$ in the last 7 days. Okay? I don't know.

To raise my chances even higher - I was thinking about having 3 accounts - each 511$. So if I lose on one account, I have other two to get it back and then continue earning. If I lose all three accounts, strategy doesn't work and I should quit forever.

But what I plan to do is to take a very low risk and play with small amount at the beginning. I am planning to create 3 different accounts on 3 different casinos with 51.1$ balance and instead of 1$, my unit will be 0.10$. So entirely 153.3$. And if the strategy works, I will then surely earn 1533$ and start playing with 1$ unit. I don't want to test this with real money and risk losing 1533.

What do you guys think? Do you think this can actually work? Have you tried this before? If you see some holes, please tell me so I don't lose 153.3$

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