Rare number sequences - are they relevant?

[Steve]

A sequence of spins like 1,1,1,1,1,1 will never happen, right? We're much more likely to see 23,14,2,15,6,2, aren't we? Actually they are just as likely to each other. To believe otherwise is typical gambler's fallacy.

So many people get stuck on this concept, because they've never seen a sequence like 1,1,1,1,1,1. But have you ever seen 23,14,2,15,6,2? BOTH these sequences are just as rare as each other. It is 100% illusion that one is more rare than the other.

Here's proof: Download and use the free software at link:://:.roulettephysics.com/roulette-pattern-detector/

If you can't be bothered testing for yourself, below are some screenshots testing over 3,500,000 RNG spins:

















Note how each sequence is just as rare as each other? IT IS THE SAME CASE WITH MUCH LONGER SEQUENCES OF NUMBERS! But to test longer sequences, you need more spins.

Most systems are based around principles that only exist in your head. You only need to test properly to find the truth. And yes you do need lots of spins to test properly.

Yes you can make a system that works over just your lifetime, but the best way to do this is VERY SIMPLE. Not super complicated hocus pocus rubbish with triggers and waiting for sleepers. Its ok if you don't like advantage play - it's not for everyone. But if you want to build a system around lasting for as many spins as possible, focus on reducing variance, and a mild progression. This can be as simple as betting 1st and 2nd dozens, and using a +1/-1 progression after 4 losses/wins in a sequence. It would be NO DIFFERENT to just about any other system, except its much simpler without all the rubbish triggers that are fun to use, but dont do anything.

Don't get stuck thinking "it will probably never happen". It's another fallacy. Roulette is just about the odds vs payouts. Focus on that.

[Steve]

Just to elaborate, when I say make a system that wins over your lifetime, I mean over around 10,000 spins. There may be a 80% chance that you profit over this many spins. And a 20% chance that you lose a fortune. It's "gambling".

[MrJ]

I have a small analogy to this Steve. Here, we have the 0 and 00.

After a long time with neither zero hitting, I hear a lot....those zeros have not hit in a long damn time.

but what they won't mention (or notice), the 33 34 have also not hit in a long damn time as well. Noticing one thing and discarding everything else.

Ken