The mixed bet on even chances

[Robeenhuut]

RBH,  I looked at switching bet methods and think I'll stay with my original way.  Your suggestion works fine, but it seems to be a little more volatile.  Betting Red and Black streaks with a moving flat bet seems to keep the draw downs less violent.  The D'Alembert progression is the one I'm trying to keep to a minimum.

I could be wrong.  The few spins I used for a test can just be leaning one way or the other and the next few can move to the other side pretty easily.

I'm looking at a more aggressive progression than D'Alembert which is staying pretty stable.

Maybe something like a stretched Fibonacci or an aggressive D'Almbert of +2/-2 or one of my personal favorites is +3/-2.  When using these more aggressive types, I set my flat bet amount at the previous bet amount of the +/- progression.  So If I'm at a 6 unit bet in my +/- line and my previous bet was 4, I use 4 for my flat bet on a color streak.

If I use the same number as my current +/- bet amount on my streak bets the swings get too violent.

Thanks for any help testing or observations you can give.

GLC

Thanks for a reply.  Yeah i did some more testing and looks like u right.
I play EC starting  with 3u bet and go 1u up on a loss and 1u down on a win.
I stop when around 10-15u ahead and stop loss is around 20-25u.
Usually long term u can win 3 out of 4 sessions.  Its a grind.

Regards

[GLC]

I've been thinking about using a regression bet progression on the streaks.

2
1
2
3
4

If we win our first 2 bet, we can't do worse than +1.  We could continue it indefinitely, but I think we should pick a maximum number of bets and stop when we reach it.  In the above line if we win the 4 bet and stop, we win 12 units.  If we go to 5 and lose, we only win 7 units.  After a 4 unit win (or we could end at 3) we can start the line over with another 2 unit bet and repeat.  This takes advantage of win streaks a little better than just a flat bet.

I haven't tested it.  Just an idea.

[GLC]

I've been thinking about using a regression bet progression on the streaks.

2
1
2
3
4

If we win our first 2 bet, we can't do worse than +1.  We could continue it indefinitely, but I think we should pick a maximum number of bets and stop when we reach it.  In the above line if we win the 4 bet and stop, we win 12 units.  If we go to 5 and lose, we only win 7 units.  After a 4 unit win (or we could end at 3) we can start the line over with another 2 unit bet and repeat.  This takes advantage of win streaks a little better than just a flat bet.

I haven't tested it.  Just an idea.

I have tested it and it worked great!

Instead of D'Alembert, use this progression line based on fibo's numbers.

1
2
3
4
5
6
8
10
12
15
18
21
26
31
36
44
52
60
73
86
99
120
141
162
Fibo:1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21  The above numbers are sets of 3 and increase according to the fibo line:

1-2-3 each number increases by 1
4-5-6 each number increases by 1
8-10-12 each number increases by 2
15-18-21 each number increases by 3
etc...

Bet the above line per D'Alembert style.  That is move to the next number on a loss and drop back 1 number on a win.  Anytime we reach new high bank amount, reset to 1.

Option:  When betting the regression line 2-1-2-3-4, only bet as far as you need to go to reach a new high bank amount.  In other words, if you are down 4 units and you win 2-1-2, you have reached +1 from previous high so now you drop down to betting 1 unit until a loss.

GLC

[GLC]

Here's my favorite tweak.  I just won 4 games in a row to +20 on Betvoyager, demo, double zero.

For chops bet progression we're going to use the boffins or let-it-ride or parlay bet.  Must win 2 in a row or total loss on that level.  So if you are at the 4 unit level and you win the 1st bet you will have 4+4=8 units on the table.  Leave them for the next bet.  If you win the next bet, you will have won that level.  Of course since we're playing for chops with this progression when we let-it-ride we must move it to the other color. 

The progression is simple 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-etc... as far as you wish.

For the streak side we will bet our regression line 2-1-2-3.  If we win all 4 bets, we just start over with 2-1-2-3 as long as we are winning.

Whenever we are even or +1 we reset all to 1.  We don't bet more than is necessary to reach +1.

So, if we are betting 3 units for our 1st bet of a let-it-ride bet and we win and we're only 4 units down, instead of letting all 6 units ride, we will let only 5 units ride so a win will net us +1.

We have to use a little conscious decisions when making our next bet after a let-it-ride bet because sometimes we don't fully recover on a win and need to drop back down the line for a 2nd win and sometimes even a 3rd win.

Because of the losses that can occurr in our regression line, it's not possible to have a set way to move down the parlay line after a win.  After a loss we just move to the next number but after a win, we will move back more than 1 number.  You make the call.

GLC

[GLC]

Do you ever look back at systems like this one and scratch your head wondering why you dumped it?

I need someone like Falkor or Richbailey to look at it with fresh eyes.  See if they think it's as strong as I thought it was.

GLC