Moving Averages

[Still]

Hello,

I come from a background of technical analysis of stock-forex-futures markets. 

I've checked out moving averages on random runs and could not get positive. 

However, i have noticed that when a system is applied to randomness, it will transform what I'll call the "equity curve" to something that looks a little less random...even if it's not profitable. 

Generally speaking, a moving average will reduce the draw-down on a system that is already positive-expectancy...at the expense of some of the net profit.  That's ok when you consider how important it is to control the draw-down. 

I don't think a moving average would work on most kinds of systems that depend on averaging down either mildly or strongly (ie Martingale). 

BUT...i suspect this might work on a flat betting system that somehow transforms or tames the gyrations of the random nature of the game to something smoother...something an average could actually work on.

I would need to see a picture of betting results to estimate if a m.a. might work on it.  Then it would be a matter of putting your results in a spreadsheet to see what happens. 

So if you are curious how a moving average might work on your system, please post a picture and/or an Excel spreadsheet of results. 



 

[Colbster]

Still,

Several of us were working on using TA tools from the investing world to apply to bet selection here:
link:://rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=8395.0

Would love your input, as I still think there is some real merit to the idea applied to random numbers from roulette.