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Testing Gambler's Fallacy

Started by falkor, Oct 08, 04:55 PM 2014

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falkor

13 vs. 24 @ 10,000 = 19 wins vs. 9 losses
13 vs. 24 @ 100K = 22 wins vs. 9 losses

falkor

19 vs. 18 @ 100K = 15 wins vs. 15 losses
18 vs. 19 @ 100K = 15 wins vs. 15 losses

falkor

So far these results appear similar to what one might expect with selecting any numbers, but notice one of these did better than the other:
13 vs. 24 @ 10,000 = 19 wins vs. 9 losses
24 vs. 13 @ 10,000 = 7 wins vs. 23 losses

falkor

I'm waiting for the results of 35 vs. 2 over 100K to 1 million spins.

Here's a 143 step progression for 2 numbers that requires a 70K bankroll!

1   1   34
2   1   32
3   1   30
4   1   28
5   1   26
6   1   24
7   1   22
8   1   20
9   1   18
10   1   16
11   1   14
12   1   12
13   1   10
14   1   8
15   1   6
16   1   4
17   1   2
18   2   34
19   2   30
20   2   26
21   2   22
22   2   18
23   2   14
24   2   10
25   2   6
26   2   2
27   3   32
28   3   26
29   3   20
30   3   14
31   3   8
32   3   2
33   4   30
34   4   22
35   4   14
36   4   6
37   5   32
38   5   22
39   5   12
40   5   2
41   6   26
42   6   14
43   6   2
44   7   24
45   7   10
46   8   30
47   8   14
48   9   32
49   9   14
50   10   30
51   10   10
52   11   24
53   11   2
54   12   14
55   13   24
56   14   32
57   14   4
58   15   10
59   16   14
60   17   16
61   18   16
62   19   14
63   20   10
64   21   4
65   23   30
66   24   18
67   26   38
68   27   20
69   29   34
70   30   10
71   32   18
72   34   22
73   36   22
74   38   18
75   40   10
76   43   32
77   45   14
78   48   26
79   51   32
80   54   32
81   57   26
82   60   14
83   64   30
84   67   4
85   71   6
86   76   34
87   80   18
88   85   28
89   90   28
90   95   18
91   101   32
92   107   34
93   113   24
94   119   2
95   126   2
96   134   22
97   142   26
98   150   14
99   159   20
100   168   8
101   178   12
102   189   30
103   200   26
104   212   34
105   224   18
106   237   12
107   251   14
108   266   22
109   282   34
110   298   14
111   316   30
112   334   10
113   354   22
114   375   28
115   397   26
116   420   14
117   445   24
118   471   18
119   499   28
120   528   16
121   559   14
122   592   18
123   627   24
124   664   28
125   703   26
126   744   14
127   788   22
128   834   10
129   883   8
130   935   10
131   990   10
132   1048   2
133   1110   14
134   1175   4
135   1245   34
136   1318   26
137   1395   8
138   1477   6
139   1564   10
140   1656   10
141   1754   30
142   1857   24
143   1966   16

ignatus

If you like to donate link::[url="//paypal.me/ignatus1"]//paypal.me/ignatus1[/url]

"Focus on predicting wheel sectors where the ball is expected to land" ~Steve

falkor

35 vs. 2 @ 100K = 4 wins vs. 160 losses

Damn, I can't believe that!  :sad2:

falkor

What lesson have we learnt from all this so far? Answer: the only affordable way to play this game is to cover most of the board!

Tamino

conclusion:  the casino  shall not lose  one single  chandelier nor close  its  doors forever.


T.

RouletteGhost

The only EC bet that won't sleep as long as the outside EC bets is betting on one double street in each dozen. Use this information and test it. This can be used to advantage
the key to winning with systems : play for a statistically irrelevant number of spins

link:[url="s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o"]s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o[/url]

falkor

I will test which is more affordable in the long run: 1 dozen or 2 dozens. I suspect betting on 2 dozens is cheaper than 1 dozen.

falkor

Quote from: RouletteGhost on Oct 28, 06:48 AM 2014
The only EC bet that won't sleep as long as the outside EC bets is betting on one double street in each dozen. Use this information and test it. This can be used to advantage
Oh I get what you are saying now. I predict that will be the same as the outside EC bets.

nottophammer

Quote from: falkor on Oct 28, 06:04 AM 2014
What lesson have we learnt from all this so far? Answer: the only affordable way to play this game is to cover most of the board!
your answer is correct
How do you win at roulette, simple, make the right decision

RouletteGhost

I've done extensive testing from testmystrategy and real world. The losing streaks for 3 DS from each dozen is about half as bad as the outside EC. Test is in thousands of spins not millions
the key to winning with systems : play for a statistically irrelevant number of spins

link:[url="s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o"]s://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nmJKY59NX8o[/url]

Chris555p

I've milked tons of $ from Mr Casino over the years simply by playing 3DS.......lol lol

rouletteKEY

ha...my 34 red kills that!!!

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