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Will you use GF?

Started by Ralph, Aug 26, 08:19 AM 2012

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Ralph

It is said it is impossible to predict a random number, if you succeed its is said it is all by chance.
It is also said that history can not tell you what is due.

I can not see we can do anything at all, if we never look at or are victims to GF.

Even statistical or math methods, looking for something in the past, which should advice for
better chances should not work, but still we use it, and put much work in it.

Some even never game, its the interesting and fun in looking for ways, which is the part.

For example today, I saw, If zero hit, the 26 and 32 also hit in short time. I start to bet them as soon I got a zero.  Bet 1 Euro on each number (0,26,32). It was not the fact it is close on wheel to zero I took them, it was because they use to hit after zero.

I won about 100 Euro. Nobody knows which number to show, but if nobody knows, how can we bet then?

I think I did right, and I think many more use GF, but do not admit it.

I think any method which wins is good, and you have to use some way of playing, even if you flip a coin or what ever. If it is successful, we know afterwards.

You can play more or less smart, using a method, it is not smart to put 100 dollars on high and hedge with 50 dollars on low, to take a very easy example.

And would not the play be boring, if we not looking for something which make us win, even if
it is more or less luck, which must be there.

I do no think I am alone, to sometimes get a feeling, it will be easy or difficult, in the near spins, and adopt the style to to what you feel.

Sometimes so strong you thought 20 will hit, and it did  ;D.





The best way to fail, is not to try!

Robeenhuut

Quote from: Ralph on Aug 26, 08:19 AM 2012
It is said it is impossible to predict a random number, if you succeed its is said it is all by chance.
It is also said that history can not tell you what is due.

I can not see we can do anything at all, if we never look at or are victims to GF.

Even statistical or math methods, looking for something in the past, which should advice for
better chances should not work, but still we use it, and put much work in it.

Some even never game, its the interesting and fun in looking for ways, which is the part.

For example today, I saw, If zero hit, the 26 and 32 also hit in short time. I start to bet them as soon I got a zero.  Bet 1 Euro on each number (0,26,32). It was not the fact it is close on wheel to zero I took them, it was because they use to hit after zero.

I won about 100 Euro. Nobody knows which number to show, but if nobody knows, how can we bet then?

I think I did right, and I think many more use GF, but do not admit it.

I think any method which wins is good, and you have to use some way of playing, even if you flip a coin or what ever. If it is successful, we know afterwards.

You can play more or less smart, using a method, it is not smart to put 100 dollars on high and hedge with 50 dollars on low, to take a very easy example.

And would not the play be boring, if we not looking for something which make us win, even if
it is more or less luck, which must be there.

I do no think I am alone, to sometimes get a feeling, it will be easy or difficult, in the near spins, and adopt the style to to what you feel.

Sometimes so strong you thought 20 will hit, and it did  ;D .

Yeah

If you won some cash you can put it on your favorite set but no more than 4 numbers  ;D I like 0 with 10,20 and 30 and if they hit within 9 spins i bet. Winning streaks of more than 10 sometimes but generally hit n' miss stuff.  ;D And i do not trust my gut feeling at all.
Matt

Bayes

I don't think it's fair to tar all systems with GF. GF is a specific fallacy, but there are lots of others.  ;D

The fact is, some people do win consistently, and you can't explain that by any fallacy, and neither is it merely luck.
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

Ralph

I have not lost a session in ten days, I played over 100. I try all kinds of things, and in I way it can be luck, but even luck may have probabilities.

It is hard to see, why it sometimes goes fluent.  Know how to avoid big losses I think is important.
It is hard to make a stop too, so many times a risky operation have saved the game.

If I check a game, I can see I won, but if I were using the method I just have changed from, it should be a loss. So luck is not only the outcome, it is what you choose, even if you may not be aware of it before.
It is days nothing works, and I use to be carefull, but when it goes well, I take risks. Bigger winnings will not come without it.
The best way to fail, is not to try!

vladir

GF is gut feeling or gambler falacy?
"In God we trust; all others must bring data", W. Edwards Deming

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