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Started by Robeenhuut, Oct 19, 04:30 AM 2012

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Robeenhuut

If you played continuously your system for 1M spins would you expect the same result in 3000 random sessions of 300 spins?  Would stop-loss or win-goal affect the outcome? Is it possible to determine the optimal ratio between stop-loss and win-goal?
Matt

ego

Quote from: Robeenhuut on Oct 19, 04:30 AM 2012
If you played continuously your system for 1M spins would you expect the same result in 3000 random sessions of 300 spins?  Would stop-loss or win-goal affect the outcome? Is it possible to determine the optimal ratio between stop-loss and win-goal?

As the game has negative expectation it does not matter - that is one answer to you question.
But i like to think there is a optimal way using strict rules and getting a tight game plan.

As i post before - aim to win two session out of three sound pretty solid to me.
Then that kind of session management (overall win goal) set strict rules how to deal with your money management.
The Loss-Limit can't be below your minimum strike ratio winning two session out of three and the winnings of two sessions (win targets) has to overcome at least one Loss-Limit.

Now this also make you think how to deal with your Bankroll management.

And if we continue with this topic - it also define limits towards what kind of staking plan you can use - it also define limits towards available methods to use - if any.

I say it again - any one can develop a bet selection with one negative progression that goes all in.
That is very common when you read all does topics about different roulette systems.

Now it is rare, very rare you read some one who start out with define the variance and how to tackle it with different tools as Session, Money, Bankroll = Management.

WW - WLW - LWW - LLW - LLL

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

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