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Don't chase the event...

Started by VLS, Sep 09, 09:17 PM 2010

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0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

VLS

"Don't chase the event... let the event come to you"

What I understand about this phrase is: you must have a very solid foundation in your statistics for your played bet selection. You must know the limits of it, and hunt for it in the most common "spin area" where it regularly hits.

I picture it like this: you are like a harpoon fisher in the river, standing still, looking at the stream trying to get the best usage of your time.. when a "fish" (event) comes to you -i.e. it is at its statistical most favorable appearance point, you throw that harpoon. If you miss the shot, then you wait for the next statistical opportunity, as in "let it go". You don't go stubborn on "it must come", because events -like fish in the river- don't owe you their appearance on your side of the river, but yes, some do come and those are the ones you have to take advantage from, in full.
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albalaha

I have got your point but give us some practical guidance regarding how to identify as to which time fish is coming towards us.

VLS

The point is not getting stubborn in chasing the extremes.

I've seen it plenty of times at the casino, and even incurred on it myself in the first times of my play. You see it like: "wow, 13 blacks in a row, its just can't go over 20, I'll martingale"... (and we all know how the story ends: losing).

This same "chasing" attitude is extrapolated to every other bet location.

Example: if you track single streets, you may want to get from spin 18 to 36 and then just "let it go".

Betting that "it can't go past XYZ spin" + progression = total path to failure in my humble opinion, this is why you have to swallow, and do like Manrique says: "I'll recover".




At times the best strategy is losing a little, with the purpose of NOT losing a lot.

You usually recognize the newbies from the more saavy old timers by this very rule.
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