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Heresy? Or fact?

Started by esoito, Sep 24, 07:58 PM 2010

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esoito

Something to ponder:

If you have a 'gentle' staking system (no aggrrrrrrrrrrrrressive progressions) then, basically, it doesn't really matter all that much about which particular numbers you bet on.

That thought developed as I read Victor's ATILA Money Management post.

Whaddya reckon?



ThomasGrant

Quote from: esoito on Sep 24, 07:58 PM 2010
Something to ponder:

If you have a 'gentle' staking system (no aggrrrrrrrrrrrrressive progressions) then, basically, it doesn't really matter all that much about which particular numbers you bet on.

That thought developed as I read Victor's ATILA Money Management post.

Whaddya reckon?


Do you have the link for Victor's ATILA Money Management post?
"What we do in life, echoes in eternity"

*Link Removed*  The Roulette Professor. *Link Removed*

furple


Bayes

Quote from: esoito on Sep 24, 07:58 PM 2010
Something to ponder:

If you have a 'gentle' staking system (no aggrrrrrrrrrrrrressive progressions) then, basically, it doesn't really matter all that much about which particular numbers you bet on.

Actually, this is the exact opposite of what is recommended according to the maths. In a game like roulette (or any other which has a long-term mathematical negative expectation), to be "bold" is best, and to be timid is worst. The optimum staking for roulette is actually the martingale (or something similarly aggressive) :D

This is because "gentle" staking plans increase the amount of bets you make (you're at the table for longer before making a profit) and this increases your exposure to the house edge. If you have a positive expectation, the reverse is true (to be timid is best).

So Ken has it right with his progressions.  :)

Personally, I don't believe staking is enough on its own to win long-term, you need some way to shorten the length of those losing runs.
"The trouble isn't what we don't know, it's what we think we know that just ain't so!" - Mark Twain

Twisteruk

I really do enjoy reading your posts Bayes   :thumbsup:
Its Set In Stone =)

esoito

"...you need some way to shorten the length of those losing runs. "

Hmmm...that would be an interesting thread. Any takers?

VLS

Quote from: esoito on Sep 26, 07:33 PM 2010
"...you need some way to shorten the length of those losing runs. "

Hmmm...that would be an interesting thread. Any takers?

Getting the flat-betting edge?

More edge = less theoretical dispersion, right?  :)
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