Testing Gambler's Fallacy - part 2

[Chris555p]

No one plays roulette for 1 million spins in a row, so why test for 1 million spins......lol lol??

All I can say is that I have been playing 3 DS for years and I have milked tons of $ from
Mr Casino playing this way .....lol lol 

[RouletteGhost]

1,000 spin testing.....losses never exceed 10 in a row

[RouletteGhost]

One million is too unrealistic

[ddarko]

I've always thought it was best to test what you would play......

If you can sit for 100 spins, test for 100 spins, you can still get to the million if you wish just with smaller sessions.

[falkor]

This might be proof that Gambler's Fallacy is nonsense! If you monitor the totals it seems you can predict when more wins are due in! So this is perfect for systems like Reverse Labby. And by monitoring the number of appearances in a row you can extend your progressions to overcome losing streaks. I am tweaking this right now for optimum profit and then I will test it over - yep you guessed it - 1 million spins!

This system could make you a millionaire! 

Regarding Gambler's Fallacy, I personally believe that 2 events on the board are indeed unrelated - but it's the act of observing or recording a result that counts, i.e. Quantum Mechanics. Perhaps the best way to beat roulette might be to play multiple tables at once (all practise tables except one real table).

[falkor]

This was an interesting one... WOW!

9 (2 Triple Double Streets in a row @ spin 12885) DS Total: 6336 Rest of the board: 6209

29 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 1 profit: -1
Progression x 1 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 1 profit: -1
Flat-bet Total: -1, Progression Total: -1, Riding Progression Total: -1
Flat-bet Grand Total: 6, Progression Grand Total: 0, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1662

   35 (Win)
Flat-bet x 2 profit: +1
Progression x 2 profit: 2
Riding Progression x 2 profit: 2
Flat-bet Total: 0, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 1
Flat-bet Grand Total: 7, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1664

   1 (Win)
Flat-bet x 3 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 3 profit: 4
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 5
Flat-bet Grand Total: 8, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1668

   24 (Win)
Flat-bet x 4 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 4 profit: 8
Flat-bet Total: 2, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 13
Flat-bet Grand Total: 9, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1676

   16 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 5 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 5 profit: -16
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -3
Flat-bet Grand Total: 8, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1660

   28 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 6 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 6 profit: -32
Flat-bet Total: 0, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -35
Flat-bet Grand Total: 7, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1628

   11 (Win)
Flat-bet x 7 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 7 profit: 64
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 29
Flat-bet Grand Total: 8, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1692

   34 (Win)
Flat-bet x 8 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 8 profit: 128
Flat-bet Total: 2, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 157
Flat-bet Grand Total: 9, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1820

   16 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 9 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 9 profit: -256
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -99
Flat-bet Grand Total: 8, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1564

   31 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 10 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 10 profit: -512
Flat-bet Total: 0, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -611
Flat-bet Grand Total: 7, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 1052

   5 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 11 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 11 profit: -1024
Flat-bet Total: -1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -1635
Flat-bet Grand Total: 6, Progression Grand Total: 2, Riding Progression Grand Total: 28

[RouletteGhost]

what does that all mean falkor

[falkor]

It means that it can be defeated by the worst losing streak and still come out with a profit!

[RouletteGhost]

can you explain progression, etc?

[falkor]

Right now it's just using a martingale progression regardless of win/loss for a set number of spins, but I will eventually adapt it for the Reverse Labby progression - or something that's effective when you are betting even money and know that you will get more wins in total.

[RouletteGhost]

i never understood reverse labby

it is a positive progression

id probably let my bets ride on wins and play a positive progression that way. or guetting

[falkor]

Check this out... this made 31K in 1,100,000 spins just on 1 EC bet after I stopped resetting the Grand Total counters every 100K spins. Total Wins: 489, Total Losses: 457

Here was the final set played:

33 (3 Triple Double Streets in a row @ spin 14532) DS Total: 7128 Rest of the board: 7013

36 (Win)
Flat-bet x 1 profit: +1
Progression x 1 profit: 1
Riding Progression x 1 profit: 1
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 1
Flat-bet Grand Total: 30, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31306

   25 (Win)
Flat-bet x 2 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 2 profit: 2
Flat-bet Total: 2, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 3
Flat-bet Grand Total: 31, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31308

   32 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 3 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 3 profit: -4
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -1
Flat-bet Grand Total: 30, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31304

   1 (Win)
Flat-bet x 4 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 4 profit: 8
Flat-bet Total: 2, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 7
Flat-bet Grand Total: 31, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31312

   18 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 5 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 5 profit: -16
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -9
Flat-bet Grand Total: 30, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31296

   4 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 6 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 6 profit: -32
Flat-bet Total: 0, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -41
Flat-bet Grand Total: 29, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31264

   14 (Win)
Flat-bet x 7 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 7 profit: 64
Flat-bet Total: 1, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 23
Flat-bet Grand Total: 30, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31328

   25 (Win)
Flat-bet x 8 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 8 profit: 128
Flat-bet Total: 2, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 151
Flat-bet Grand Total: 31, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31456

   13 (Win)
Flat-bet x 9 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 9 profit: 256
Flat-bet Total: 3, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 407
Flat-bet Grand Total: 32, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31712

   2 (Win)
Flat-bet x 10 profit: +1
Riding Progression x 10 profit: 512
Flat-bet Total: 4, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: 919
Flat-bet Grand Total: 33, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 32224

   20 (Lose)
Flat-bet x 11 profit: -1
Riding Progression x 11 profit: -1024
Flat-bet Total: 3, Progression Total: 1, Riding Progression Total: -105
Flat-bet Grand Total: 32, Progression Grand Total: 86, Riding Progression Grand Total: 31200

[RouletteGhost]

as in letting winning bets ride

[falkor]

Yep - all other progressions are only designed for losing streaks (or to handle more losses than wins). With my system we need to use positive progression otherwise you will be waiting a long time and not make enough money.

[RouletteGhost]

you may lose more bets than win though.

do you let it ride once and then reset?