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Good signals from system

Started by Roulettebeater, Nov 16, 06:48 AM 2018

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Roulettebeater

there is a clear evidence that this system has an advantage. my simulations ran good.
@general why you want to have the predictions stream?

A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

Bebediktus3

Quote from: Roulettebeater on Nov 19, 04:51 AM 2018there is a clear evidence that this system has an advantage. my simulations ran good.
How good when you predict good less than mathematically?
Not try to beat the game, much easier to beat the wheel...
Some peoples very not like, when I say how to win, or why they can't win.

The General

Quote from: Roulettebeater on Nov 19, 04:51 AM 2018
there is a clear evidence that this system has an advantage. my simulations ran good.
@general why you want to have the predictions stream?

Where you're betting It doesn't look like there's an advantage at all. 

I asked about the betting stream because there's information within it that could possibly help you.
Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

Roulettebeater

Quote from: The General on Nov 19, 11:54 AM 2018
Where you're betting It doesn't look like there's an advantage at all. 

I asked about the betting stream because there's information within it that could possibly help you.

But it took your advice and now betting the other side (180 degree) and it‘s winning flatbet.

Your graphs were clear that there is an advantage if bets placed the other side of the wheel .. or I understood something wrong ?

Also I am afraid if I post the entire stream, some guys can reverse engineer it and inform the casino of it.

Or you think that not possible ?
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

The General

Roulettebeater,

Hitting at 1 in 35.04 over a few thousand spins isn't good.  It's very very weak, and most likely random.   If you're system had such a small edge then the draw downs could be enormous!   You'll need a large out of sample to confirm that. 

Nobody is going to steal your system. 

Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

Roulettebeater

Quote from: The General on Nov 20, 11:48 AM 2018
Roulettebeater,

Hitting at 1 in 35.04 over a few thousand spins isn't good.  It's very very weak, and most likely random.   If you're system had such a small edge then the draw downs could be enormous!   You'll need a large out of sample to confirm that. 

Nobody is going to steal your system.

Hey general

Ok can you provide your 100k spins file so that i can test the system extensively ?

A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

The General

Quote from: Roulettebeater on Nov 20, 12:32 PM 2018
Hey general

Ok can you provide your 100k spins file so that i can test the system extensively ?

I thought that you were playing some kind of VB method?
How can you possibly measure wheel speed on spins that have already happened in the past?
Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

Roulettebeater

Quote from: The General on Nov 20, 12:50 PM 2018
I thought that you were playing some kind of VB method?
How can you possibly measure wheel speed on spins that have already happened in the past?

good question , General!

i think i have explained in the past how i do to estimate the speeds ( ball & rotor ).
well actually if you can estimate the number of pockets between the spins then you save the data then do some programming including simulations you can estimate the rotor and ball speeds.

you may now say that is not possible, i can tell you that it is possible and it can give the player a small edge.
thats all for now.

cheers
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

The General

Quotei think i have explained in the past how i do to estimate the speeds ( ball & rotor ).
well actually if you can estimate the number of pockets between the spins then you save the data then do some programming including simulations you can estimate the rotor and ball speeds.


That's not measuring wheel speed.  That's just measuring the differences in pockets.  I've graphed hundreds of thousands of spins measuring the differentials in pockets, one frequencies (change in yardage between two spins), two frequencies, three frequencies, etc.    You're wasting your time on that stuff.
Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

The General

Example:

Here's roughly 10k spins.  These are standard deviation graphs.  None of them are really statistically relevant.

Here's the basic yardage between spins.  The basic dealer's signature.
  smoothed section graph below..

Next here's the one frequency...This is the how much the dealer's signature changed from one spin to the next.  It's essentially a consistency graph that measures how much the yardage changed between spins one and two. 
  smoothed...

Next here's the two frequency...This is measuring the consistency of yardage between spin one and spin three.
  and smoothed...

None of the graphs were profitable in the example above.  None performed better than one in 36.


Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

The General

In order to win, you need to actually measure the 'real' wheel speed.    It is NOT possible to create an app that will help people win without a real wheel speed measurement.  (Exception...wheel bias, but that's not related to vb.)
Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

Roulettebeater

Hey General.

have a look - result after running 180 tests (spins are sync):



ONLY FLATBET
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

The General

Quote from: Roulettebeater on Nov 20, 04:32 PM 2018
Hey General.

have a look - result after running 180 tests (spins are sync):



ONLY FLATBET

What am I looking at?  Is that supposed to be an equity curve graph???

How many numbers are you betting?

Basic probability and The General are your friend.
(Now hiring minions, apply within.)

Winner

Quote from: The General on Nov 20, 05:10 PM 2018
What am I looking at?  Is that supposed to be an equity curve graph???

How many numbers are you betting?
It secret

Roulettebeater

Quote from: The General on Nov 20, 05:10 PM 2018equity curve graph???
haha...

not its not! 

i bet 16 numbers,
A dollar won is twice as sweet as as a dollar earned

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