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VDW DS Matric

Started by MoneyT101, Mar 18, 02:10 AM 2019

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MoneyT101



Spins 1-9 no bet
spin 10 - 4,6
Spin 11 - 1,3,4.....W

bet amount
-2....-2
-3.....-5  W +1
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101




Spins 1-6 no bet
Spin 7 - 4
Spin 8 - 5
Spin 9 - 2,5

Bet  amount
-1....-1
-1....-2
-2...-4....W +2
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

poluvolo

ok firstly thanks very much about your answer moneyt101
so number 8 spin is a losing bet because must bet ds 5 and number 8spin is 21 ds4
now only this question
why at spin 9  must bet 1245?
only this explanation  please i want very much understand this system

MoneyT101

Quote from: poluvolo on Mar 20, 02:48 AM 2019
ok firstly thanks very much about your answer moneyt101
so number 8 spin is a losing bet because must bet ds 5 and number 8spin is 21 ds4
now only this question
why at spin 9  must bet 1245?
only this explanation  please i want very much understand this system



Spin 9 .....we are looking for a repeat of

251,252,324,325
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

MoneyT101

This bet selection still runs into problems dont come into this thinking its the HG

-sometimes to many numbers
-sometimes progression gets high
-sometimes no win in 13 spins

But you can use the ideas presented or modify it to fit your game play
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Herby

I see there are problems with my results,
I have to check my program.

Herby

Thanks MoneyT for your good checkable examples.
(You can see here the importance of examples for checking results of a program)

After repairing an index problem:
MoneyT example above with this numbers:
{17, 16, 7, 27, 10, 29, 5, 21, 25, 17, 19, 27, 21}

my results look like this:
{{4, {}, {}}, {5, {5}, {}}, {6, {}, {}}, {7, {2, 5}, {}}, {8, {2, 5}, {}},
{9, {1, 2, 4, 5}, {5}},

{10, {1, 4, 5}, {}}, {11, {1, 3, 5}, {}}, {12, {3, 4}, {}},
{13, {1, 2, 3, 4, 5}, {4}}}

in this case spin #13 would bring another win with ds4 (if considered).

Herby

For testing with your RaspberryPi: 

spins = 13 ;
m = Floor[spins/2];

t1 = Table[{n, n + m, n + 2 m}, {n, 1, spins - 2}, {m, 1, m}];
vdw = SortBy[Cases[Flatten[t1, 1], {_, _, _?(# <= spins &)}], Last] ;      (* VdW  *)

Fun[n_] := Module[{w1a, w2, w1},
       w1a = Union[{ds[[#[[1]]]], ds[[#[[2]]]], ds[[#[[3]]]]} & /@  Cases[vdw, {_, _, _?(# < n &)}]];
       w2 = Union[{ds[[#[[1]]]], ds[[#[[2]]]], ds[[#[[3]]]]} & /@   Cases[vdw, {_, _, _?(# == n &)}]];
       w1 = Flatten[Cases[w1a, {#[[1]], #[[2]], _}] & /@ w2, 1];
  {n, Union[w1[[All, -1]]], Union[Intersection[w1, w2][[All, -1]]]}]

MoneyT101

Quote from: Herby on Mar 20, 05:09 AM 2019
Thanks MoneyT for your good checkable examples.
(You can see here the importance of examples for checking results of a program)

After repairing an index problem:
MoneyT example above with this numbers:
{17, 16, 7, 27, 10, 29, 5, 21, 25, 17, 19, 27, 21}

my results look like this:
{{4, {}, {}}, {5, {5}, {}}, {6, {}, {}}, {7, {2, 5}, {}}, {8, {2, 5}, {}},
{9, {1, 2, 4, 5}, {5}},

{10, {1, 4, 5}, {}}, {11, {1, 3, 5}, {}}, {12, {3, 4}, {}},
{13, {1, 2, 3, 4, 5}, {4}}}

in this case spin #13 would bring another win with ds4 (if considered).

Yea now run your test of 100.000 again and tell me if it’s still 52 like before
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Herby

100.000 Cycles each 13 spins, without zero:
How many bet numbers to win:

{{1, 13687}, {2, 9058}, {3, 12758}, {4, 10064}, {5, 6578}, {6,8664}, {7, 6439}, {8, 5202}, {9, 4487}, {10, 3567},
{11, 3000}, {12,2483}, {13, 1857}, {14, 1673}, {15, 1262}, {16, 954}, {17, 747}, {18, 557}, {19, 455}, {20, 332},
{21, 268}, {22, 227}, {23, 194}, {24, 128}, {25, 118}, {26, 96}, {27, 99}, {28, 93}, {29, 60}, {30, 70},
{31, 50}, {32, 47}, {33, 35}, {34, 39}, {35, 27}, {36, 25}, {37, 24}, {38, 22}, {39, 14}, {40, 6},
{41, 11}, {42,7}, {43, 4}, {44, 2}, {45, 8}, {47, 3}, {48, 4}, {49, 1}, {50, 2},
{51, 1}, {52, 1}, {53, 1}, {54, 3}, {55, 1}, {68, 1}}

1 time 68 ds to bet until 1. win

MoneyT101

Quote from: Herby on Mar 20, 02:08 PM 2019
100.000 Cycles each 13 spins, without zero:
How many bet numbers to win:

{{1, 13687}, {2, 9058}, {3, 12758}, {4, 10064}, {5, 6578}, {6,8664}, {7, 6439}, {8, 5202}, {9, 4487}, {10, 3567},
{11, 3000}, {12,2483}, {13, 1857}, {14, 1673}, {15, 1262}, {16, 954}, {17, 747}, {18, 557}, {19, 455}, {20, 332},
{21, 268}, {22, 227}, {23, 194}, {24, 128}, {25, 118}, {26, 96}, {27, 99}, {28, 93}, {29, 60}, {30, 70},
{31, 50}, {32, 47}, {33, 35}, {34, 39}, {35, 27}, {36, 25}, {37, 24}, {38, 22}, {39, 14}, {40, 6},
{41, 11}, {42,7}, {43, 4}, {44, 2}, {45, 8}, {47, 3}, {48, 4}, {49, 1}, {50, 2},
{51, 1}, {52, 1}, {53, 1}, {54, 3}, {55, 1}, {68, 1}}

1 time 68 ds to bet until 1. win

A bet is made from spins 4-13

10 spins... if we bet all 6 outcomes for 10 spins that’s 60

How do you get 68?

I’m honestly just trying to understand the way it’s testing?
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Herby

1 ) Spins 4 -13:  bets are made if a repeat (considering VdW Positions) is possible.
so in each 13 spins there are different amounts of bets 

2 ) If no repeats take next 13 spins: same procedure , 
3 ) If no repeats take next 13 spins: same procedure ,  and so on

Count the amount of bets (possible repeats)

So my result says: Once in 1.3 million spins it needed 68 bets to get a first repeat.


MoneyT101

Quote from: Herby on Mar 20, 03:58 PM 2019
1 ) Spins 4 -13:  bets are made if a repeat (considering VdW Positions) is possible.
so in each 13 spins there are different amounts of bets 

2 ) If no repeats take next 13 spins: same procedure , 
3 ) If no repeats take next 13 spins: same procedure ,  and so on

Count the amount of bets (possible repeats)

So my result says: Once in 1.3 million spins it needed 68 bets to get a first repeat.

Ok perfect now I get you
Simple once you get it!  Chased all the pigeons away and they were already in their hole

Herby

In your picture above I count 9 bet ds for a repeat.

redhot

Thanks MoneyT, interesting bet selection.

To help with the stats:

Tracking double streets in groups of 3 gives 216 possible combinations.

The cycle length stats for 216 different options, tested over 1 million cycles, are:

Cycle Length 1: 4732 --- 0.4732%
Cycle Length 2: 9275 --- 0.9275%
Cycle Length 3: 13660 --- 1.366%
Cycle Length 4: 18197 --- 1.8197%
Cycle Length 5: 22260 --- 2.226%
Cycle Length 6: 26031 --- 2.6031%
Cycle Length 7: 29623 --- 2.9623%
Cycle Length 8: 32585 --- 3.2585%
Cycle Length 9: 35233 --- 3.5233%
Cycle Length 10: 37273 --- 3.7273%
Cycle Length 11: 39310 --- 3.931%
Cycle Length 12: 40562 --- 4.0562%
Cycle Length 13: 41676 --- 4.1676%
Cycle Length 14: 41990 --- 4.199%
Cycle Length 15: 42393 --- 4.2393%
Cycle Length 16: 41936 --- 4.1936%
Cycle Length 17: 41206 --- 4.1206%
Cycle Length 18: 40121 --- 4.0121%
Cycle Length 19: 38835 --- 3.8835%
Cycle Length 20: 37207 --- 3.7207%
Cycle Length 21: 35459 --- 3.5459%
Cycle Length 22: 33432 --- 3.3432%
Cycle Length 23: 31690 --- 3.169%
Cycle Length 24: 29621 --- 2.9621%
Cycle Length 25: 27260 --- 2.726%
Cycle Length 26: 24869 --- 2.4869%
Cycle Length 27: 22947 --- 2.2947%
Cycle Length 28: 20762 --- 2.0762%
Cycle Length 29: 18696 --- 1.8696%
Cycle Length 30: 16945 --- 1.6945%
Cycle Length 31: 15045 --- 1.5045%
Cycle Length 32: 13076 --- 1.3076%
Cycle Length 33: 11562 --- 1.1562%
Cycle Length 34: 10027 --- 1.0027%
Cycle Length 35: 8833 --- 0.8833%
Cycle Length 36: 7521 --- 0.7521%
Cycle Length 37: 6473 --- 0.6473%
Cycle Length 38: 5581 --- 0.5581%
Cycle Length 39: 4777 --- 0.4777%
Cycle Length 40: 3908 --- 0.3908%
Cycle Length 41: 3378 --- 0.3378%
Cycle Length 42: 2722 --- 0.2722%
Cycle Length 43: 2272 --- 0.2272%
Cycle Length 44: 1888 --- 0.1888%
Cycle Length 45: 1460 --- 0.146%
Cycle Length 46: 1151 --- 0.1151%
Cycle Length 47: 1015 --- 0.1015%
Cycle Length 48: 831 --- 0.0831%
Cycle Length 49: 624 --- 0.0624%
Cycle Length 50: 475 --- 0.0475%
Cycle Length 51: 379 --- 0.0379%
Cycle Length 52: 266 --- 0.0266%
Cycle Length 53: 225 --- 0.0225%
Cycle Length 54: 169 --- 0.0169%
Cycle Length 55: 158 --- 0.0158%
Cycle Length 56: 96 --- 0.0096%
Cycle Length 57: 70 --- 0.007%
Cycle Length 58: 70 --- 0.007%
Cycle Length 59: 44 --- 0.0044%
Cycle Length 60: 30 --- 0.003%
Cycle Length 61: 23 --- 0.0023%
Cycle Length 62: 16 --- 0.0016%
Cycle Length 63: 16 --- 0.0016%
Cycle Length 64: 10 --- 0.001%
Cycle Length 65: 8 --- 0.0008%
Cycle Length 66: 6 --- 0.0006%
Cycle Length 67: 2 --- 0.0002%
Cycle Length 68: 2 --- 0.0002%
Cycle Length 69: 2 --- 0.0002%
Cycle Length 70: 2 --- 0.0002%
Cycle Length 71: 1 --- 0.0001%
Cycle Length 72: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 73: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 74: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 75: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 76: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 77: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 78: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 79: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 80: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 81: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 82: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 83: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 84: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 85: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 86: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 87: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 88: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 89: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 90: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 91: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 92: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 93: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 94: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 95: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 96: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 97: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 98: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 99: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 100: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 101: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 102: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 103: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 104: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 105: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 106: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 107: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 108: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 109: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 110: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 111: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 112: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 113: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 114: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 115: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 116: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 117: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 118: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 119: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 120: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 121: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 122: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 123: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 124: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 125: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 126: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 127: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 128: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 129: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 130: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 131: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 132: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 133: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 134: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 135: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 136: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 137: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 138: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 139: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 140: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 141: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 142: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 143: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 144: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 145: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 146: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 147: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 148: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 149: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 150: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 151: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 152: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 153: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 154: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 155: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 156: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 157: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 158: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 159: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 160: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 161: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 162: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 163: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 164: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 165: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 166: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 167: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 168: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 169: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 170: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 171: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 172: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 173: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 174: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 175: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 176: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 177: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 178: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 179: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 180: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 181: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 182: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 183: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 184: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 185: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 186: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 187: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 188: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 189: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 190: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 191: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 192: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 193: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 194: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 195: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 196: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 197: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 198: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 199: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 200: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 201: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 202: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 203: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 204: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 205: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 206: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 207: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 208: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 209: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 210: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 211: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 212: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 213: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 214: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 215: 0 --- 0%
Cycle Length 216: 0 --- 0%


In 13 spins you are recording 36 combinations (cycle length 35) so you have a 95.43% chance of getting a repeat combination in that window.

The limit was cycle length 71 which happened once out of 1 million cycles, similar to the value Herby has reported.




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