The "Statistical Imbalance" fallacy

[Kimo Li]

 

I think you are buddha here 

[Steve]

Tracking spins let you look for the current ‘frequency’ or rhythm of the table. You dance accordingly.

Sure. But the problem is most people think the rhythm is doing cartwheels, when it's the tango.

I studied his book thoroughly. It gave me the knowledge and a tool to develope strategies to play roulette successfully.

So you're making a fortune now?

Still there is a dependency to the last outcomes. I mean... if you had 36 different numbers in the previous 36 spins, the possibility that the 37 spin would be the last unhit number is very, very low. The truth is somewhere in the middle.

Classic fallacy. A long way to go.

- "independent" 
 - everything leaves a print

Yes, it does. But if the print was an animal paw in the dirt, a typical losing player thinks the print is from an ink jet printer. He's got no clue.

[Steve]

Im talking about coincidences due to frecuencies, tendencies, rhythms, etc that are inherent to random outcomes.  It is about time and place, matrix again.

More fallacy.

Aren't repeaters one of the most debated subject in history of roulette? Why so surprised?

Yes because people that dont understand spread rubbish to other similarly uneducated people. These uneducated people don't know their hypothesis is as old as gambling itself, and tested to exhaustion by people who are the foundation of casinos. And these people laugh at the gamblers with no clue.

On some forums, the truth is so well known. On gambling forums, the logic and truth is absent, and often debated. Its really like a debate with flat earthers with no idea.

[Steve]

Kimo is a genuine guy..
He personally sent me an autographed copy of his book to my home address...

It's conclusive then. His approaches work.

steves  roulette computers looks great in a basement..with a fixed camera..but come on guys...put a button hole camera in your jacket...think you could aim that right?...

You dont know what you dont know.

* The cameras are auto aiming and auto track wheel postion
* The camerras only need to see an edge of the wheel, then they automatically tell the camera wearer to aim up, left, down or right to center the wheel.
* The cameras can be zoomed as needed

You've really got no idea, but this is not about my approaches.

Kimo, you're not being "attacked". You are being rightfully questioned, and I dont find your answers convincing because of contradictions and statements I know aren't accurate.

[Steve]

an independent result can be an accumulation of independent results

That happens because there are 37 or 38 pockets on the wheel, and each has a probability of 1 in 37 or 1 in 38 on the wheel.

[gizmotron2]

We are talking about two different approaches. I use six units. You have no clue. What you preach in your random thread is pure non-sense. Do you know why you cannot win?, because you are a compulsive gambler. Sure you can make a profit. But like every single roulette player who thinks they have the HG, they lack the discipline to execute the rules. One slip, you are in tilt mode because you "think" you can recover. But you can't, you don't have the proper bank to execute your strategy.

You are the only person I know that claim to beat the game of roulette; and yet, nothing to show for. I deliberately avoid posting on your threads because you are a bully. You carry an arrogance towards all people who discredit your work. Speak plainly; maybe someone will listen. I have no respect for you. Stay in your lane.

That's a lot of defensive missive. "Me thinks you protest too much."

[gizmotron2]

That happens because there are 37 or 38 pockets on the wheel, and each has a probability of 1 in 37 or 1 in 38 on the wheel.

That explains 30 sleeping dozens in a row. You know, the accumulation of 30 independent results.

[Steve]

That explains 30 sleeping dozens in a row. You know, the accumulation of 30 independent results.

Yes, it does. It's normal probability.

[falkor2k15]

I can take a group of numbers, 12 numbers groups, and turn it to a 50/50 proposition.

Can you do the same with a single dozen?

[gizmotron2]

We are talking about two different approaches. I use six units. You have no clue. What you preach in your random thread is pure non-sense. Do you know why you cannot win?, because you are a compulsive gambler. Sure you can make a profit. But like every single roulette player who thinks they have the HG, they lack the discipline to execute the rules. One slip, you are in tilt mode because you "think" you can recover. But you can't, you don't have the proper bank to execute your strategy.

You are the only person I know that claim to beat the game of roulette; and yet, nothing to show for. I deliberately avoid posting on your threads because you are a bully. You carry an arrogance towards all people who discredit your work. Speak plainly; maybe someone will listen. I have no respect for you. Stay in your lane.

Let's parse your ranting.

1.) "We are talking about two different approaches. I use six units. You have no clue. "

How about 4 on one dozen and 2 on the other dozen. It's still not clear what your mystery secret is since you brought it up in the first place like bragging. BTW, is that too rude for you?

2.) "What you preach in your random thread is pure non-sense." Is it? I would laugh my ass off if you have repackaged all my stuff and are selling it for $46,000. Meanwhile there are people that have found my teaching, not preaching, useful to them, and all for free including free software to practice on. But this makes you defensive somehow. Just chalk that up to my arrogance.

3.) "Do you know why you cannot win?, because you are a compulsive gambler."  That must be true because you are such a good judge of character. It's a nice diversion that might be indicative of a simple process known as projection. This could actually be you that you are describing. Then there is that altruistic $46,000. Something's not right. Why did you blow your top again?

4.) "Sure you can make a profit. But like every single roulette player who thinks they have the HG, they lack the discipline to execute the rules. One slip, you are in tilt mode because you "think" you can recover. But you can't, you don't have the proper bank to execute your strategy."

This is the best of all. You don't actually get what I taught. And I'm just guessing here but you must have some secret beyond seeing trends and triggers in your custom made up groupings. I've always been suspicious of you. You didn't have all three layers of teaching. You just had the magical groups and sets at first. Makes a person think twice where you got your ideas. Could it just be two people having the same idea at nearly the same time. It must really cramp your style to see me give it away for free. Of course you must trash it. I mean you have suckers to entice. You do get the part where I have placed it into other peoples hands in order to prove it. I'm just helping those that want the help and dealing with people like you that don't. It's as simple as that. Geez... $46,000. It staggers the imagination.

5.) "You are the only person I know that claim to beat the game of roulette; and yet, nothing to show for. "

Is that true? I have people that can talk about it and discuss it openly because I shared it openly. You don't. How much are they worth? When I set out to share this I wasn't thinking of myself. Not in dollars that is. I'm beating you to the mountain top even if what you are selling is different. But you sure do make it a lot of fun on the way. If my stuff goes viral then you can kiss off your $46,000.

6.) " I deliberately avoid posting on your threads because you are a bully."

Not to people that are really trying. Trolls get treated as they should. Skeptics that use the same old cliche, math excuses, and progressions are there just to distract from questions and answers. You should give away your secret. The reward is far greater than what it took to figure it all out in the first place.

7.) "You carry an arrogance towards all people who discredit your work."

Nobody has discredited my work with proof. Bring the proof if you dare. Opinions are not proof. I'm just going to keep letting people learn it for free. Then one day it will have always been the truth. No money, no fees, no secret levels, no $46,000. You know the last scam artist around here claimed that I took all my ideas from him. I love how giving it away for  free brings out the best from those that charge.

BTW, stay in your lane, where the road kill is.

[gizmotron2]

Yes, it does. It's normal probability.

It is normal probability. You see, we agree a lot.

[Kimo Li]

Can you do the same with a single dozen?

What's your point?

[Kimo Li]

Let's parse your ranting.

1.) "We are talking about two different approaches. I use six units. You have no clue. "

How about 4 on one dozen and 2 on the other dozen. It's still not clear what your mystery secret is since you brought it up in the first place like bragging. BTW, is that too rude for you?

2.) "What you preach in your random thread is pure non-sense." Is it? I would laugh my ass off if you have repackaged all my stuff and are selling it for $46,000. Meanwhile there are people that have found my teaching, not preaching, useful to them, and all for free including free software to practice on. But this makes you defensive somehow. Just chalk that up to my arrogance.

3.) "Do you know why you cannot win?, because you are a compulsive gambler."  That must be true because you are such a good judge of character. It's a nice diversion that might be indicative of a simple process known as projection. This could actually be you that you are describing. Then there is that altruistic $46,000. Something's not right. Why did you blow your top again?

4.) "Sure you can make a profit. But like every single roulette player who thinks they have the HG, they lack the discipline to execute the rules. One slip, you are in tilt mode because you "think" you can recover. But you can't, you don't have the proper bank to execute your strategy."

This is the best of all. You don't actually get what I taught. And I'm just guessing here but you must have some secret beyond seeing trends and triggers in your custom made up groupings. I've always been suspicious of you. You didn't have all three layers of teaching. You just had the magical groups and sets at first. Makes a person think twice where you got your ideas. Could it just be two people having the same idea at nearly the same time. It must really cramp your style to see me give it away for free. Of course you must trash it. I mean you have suckers to entice. You do get the part where I have placed it into other peoples hands in order to prove it. I'm just helping those that want the help and dealing with people like you that don't. It's as simple as that. Geez... $46,000. It staggers the imagination.

5.) "You are the only person I know that claim to beat the game of roulette; and yet, nothing to show for. "

Is that true? I have people that can talk about it and discuss it openly because I shared it openly. You don't. How much are they worth? When I set out to share this I wasn't thinking of myself. Not in dollars that is. I'm beating you to the mountain top even if what you are selling is different. But you sure do make it a lot of fun on the way. If my stuff goes viral then you can kiss off your $46,000.

6.) " I deliberately avoid posting on your threads because you are a bully."

Not to people that are really trying. Trolls get treated as they should. Skeptics that use the same old cliche, math excuses, and progressions are there just to distract from questions and answers. You should give away your secret. The reward is far greater than what it took to figure it all out in the first place.

7.) "You carry an arrogance towards all people who discredit your work."

Nobody has discredited my work with proof. Bring the proof if you dare. Opinions are not proof. I'm just going to keep letting people learn it for free. Then one day it will have always been the truth. No money, no fees, no secret levels, no $46,000. You know the last scam artist around here claimed that I took all my ideas from him. I love how giving it away for  free brings out the best from those that charge.

BTW, stay in your lane, where the road kill is.

Not falling for your shenanigans, nice try.

Well, back to making money..."Hasta la vista"

[Joe]

Well, back to making money...

Yes, this thread should have generated a few sales for you.

Back to the subject of this thread : anyone who thinks they can benefit from statistical imbalance using Kimo's methods or anyone else's should read and try to understand this :

link:s://:.statisticshowto.datasciencecentral.com/probability-and-statistics/dependent-events-independent/

[Steve]

Let's be honest. Some people are either so dumb, or so ignorant, nothing will get through to them. Mostly its willful ignorance, because the principles really aren't complicated.