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Odds of a run

Started by GLC, Mar 03, 08:55 PM 2011

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GLC

Brainstorming.

In 160 spins, about 3 hours of play, we get the following breakdown for Even Chances:

80 1's  RBRBRB or RRBRBRBBRBRRB A single followed by another single or multiples
40 2's  RRBBRR or RRBRBBRRRBBRR  A double followed by another double or multiples
20 3's  RRRBBBRRR or same as above
10 4's  RRRRBBBBRRBBBBRBBBBRRRR etc...
5   5's  RRRRRBBBBBRRRRRBBBRRRRRBBBBBRR etc...

Is there any way to focus our progressions on each category.  And play them separately.

something like this.  I start off betting 1 unit on Black.  If black hits, I am +1 in the 1's chart.
Next I bet for a double.  If Black hits again, I'm +1 in the 2's chart.
Next I bet for a triple.  If Red hits, I'm -1 in the 3's chart.
Next I bet for a single.  If Red hits again, I'm -1+1=0 in the singles chart.
Next I bet for a  I don't know this is just an idea to get us thinking about a way to bet this.

I can see not betting for certain sets if we have reached our quota for 160 spins.  In other words, say we have had 10 sets of 4's which is what we can expect in 160 spins, so we don't bet for 4's anymore. 

Maybe it's to convoluted to work, but maybe not.  If we get enough brain power working on it, we might come up with a better idea...

Cheers,

George

In my case it doesn't matter.  I'm both!

albalaha

Dear George,
        I don't think this will work. Anyways, I will keep looking for its developments.

albertojonas

Quote from: GLC on Mar 03, 08:55 PM 2011
Brainstorming.

In 160 spins, about 3 hours of play, we get the following breakdown for Even Chances:

80 1's  RBRBRB or RRBRBRBBRBRRB A single followed by another single or multiples
40 2's  RRBBRR or RRBRBBRRRBBRR  A double followed by another double or multiples
20 3's  RRRBBBRRR or same as above
10 4's  RRRRBBBBRRBBBBRBBBBRRRR etc...
5   5's  RRRRRBBBBBRRRRRBBBRRRRRBBBBBRR etc...

Is there any way to focus our progressions on each category.  And play them separately.

something like this.  I start off betting 1 unit on Black.  If black hits, I am +1 in the 1's chart.
Next I bet for a double.  If Black hits again, I'm +1 in the 2's chart.
Next I bet for a triple.  If Red hits, I'm -1 in the 3's chart.
Next I bet for a single.  If Red hits again, I'm -1+1=0 in the singles chart.
Next I bet for a  I don't know this is just an idea to get us thinking about a way to bet this.

I can see not betting for certain sets if we have reached our quota for 160 spins.  In other words, say we have had 10 sets of 4's which is what we can expect in 160 spins, so we don't bet for 4's anymore. 

Maybe it's to convoluted to work, but maybe not.  If we get enough brain power working on it, we might come up with a better idea...

Cheers,

George



this kind of observation triggered my Coin Toss system.
;)

albertojonas

Quote from: GLC on Mar 03, 08:55 PM 2011
Brainstorming.

In 160 spins, about 3 hours of play, we get the following breakdown for Even Chances:

80 1's  RBRBRB or RRBRBRBBRBRRB A single followed by another single or multiples
40 2's  RRBBRR or RRBRBBRRRBBRR  A double followed by another double or multiples
20 3's  RRRBBBRRR or same as above
10 4's  RRRRBBBBRRBBBBRBBBBRRRR etc...
5   5's  RRRRRBBBBBRRRRRBBBRRRRRBBBBBRR etc...

Is there any way to focus our progressions on each category.  And play them separately.

something like this.  I start off betting 1 unit on Black.  If black hits, I am +1 in the 1's chart.
Next I bet for a double.  If Black hits again, I'm +1 in the 2's chart.
Next I bet for a triple.  If Red hits, I'm -1 in the 3's chart.
Next I bet for a single.  If Red hits again, I'm -1+1=0 in the singles chart.
Next I bet for a  I don't know this is just an idea to get us thinking about a way to bet this.

I can see not betting for certain sets if we have reached our quota for 160 spins.  In other words, say we have had 10 sets of 4's which is what we can expect in 160 spins, so we don't bet for 4's anymore. 

Maybe it's to convoluted to work, but maybe not.  If we get enough brain power working on it, we might come up with a better idea...

Cheers,

George



hi george

if you observe groups of 3 outcomes and you take note if they change state or not you will get

4 different formations (disregarding Black or RED)

xxx
xxo
xox
xoo

so this is a complete cycle
maybe it is hard  to get  all this patterns in a 4 spin cycle
agree?
[reveal]
...
same as 3 dozens or columns in a 3 spin window
or
red and black in a 2 spin window
or
12 streets in 12 spin window
etc
...

[/reveal]

i can imagine many different ways of capitalize on this idea
one if i may suggest,
is betting inside one cycle:

after first pattern shows (any of them)
we will bet against the other ones to show.
in practic we bet for the pattern to repeat the previous shown
ie.
xxx
x->here we bet for Same as Last
imagine we lost
xxx
xo->here we do not bet
it becomes after 6th spin
xxx
xox
we wait to see what matches...
xxx
xox
xo->here bet for x
imagine we loose again
xxx
xox
xoo
xx->here we bet against o , as is the missing pattern.

this is more rare to happen than the patterns repeating themselves during an undetermined nr of spins before completing a cycle. but is here as a primary illustration.
notice if the patterns did not came so fast we had more betting opportunities since we are betting inside a cycle. please see attachment.
=======================
inside a four spin window

xoo
xxx L
xoo W
xxx W

x0x
xxx L
xxx W
x00 L

x00
x00 W

x00
x00 W

xx0-ended the cycle
===============================
of course we also can play it continuously:
ie.

xoo
xxx-L
xoo-W
xxx-L
x0x-L
xxx-W
xxx-W
x00-L
x00-W
x00-W
x00-W
x00-W
xx0-L

============
At last we could sleep at the table and play only two times to be in plus or even inside a cycle
and then wait for next cycle to begin. Worst case scenario is a cycle to complete itself in 4spins and we have 3Losses in a row.

Possible scenarios assuming Flat Bet:

LL -2
LW=0
W +1

==================================================
there are many ways to play. One has to decide depending on what is the observed behavior of the bet design.

As for money management its up to you, as it would be chosen also to match the behavior of the bet selection.

Cheers,
AL

albertojonas

here is the session above played continuously
[reveal]
xoo         
   l      
         
xxx         
         
   w      
xoo         
         
   w   1   
xxx         
   l      
         
x0x         
         
   w      
xxx         
         
   w   1   2
xxx         
   l      
         
x00         
         
   w      
x00         
         
   w   1   3
x00         
   w   1   4
         
x00         
   w   1   5
         
x00         
   l      
         
xx0         
         
   w      
x00         
         
   w   1   6
xx0         
   l      
         
x0x         
         
   w      
x0x         
   w   1   7
         
x00         
   l      
         
xxx         
         
   w      
xxx         
   w   1   8
         
xx0         
   w   1   9
         
xxx         
   w   1   10
         
xxx         
   w   1   10
         
xxx         
   l      
         
x00         
         
   w      
x00         
   w   1   11
         
x0x         
   l      
         
xxx         
         
   l   -2   9
xxo         
   w      
         
xxx      1   10
   l      
         
xox         
         
   w      
xxx         
   l      
         
xox         
         
   w      
xxx         
   w   1   11
         
xxx         
   l      
         
xox         
         
   w      
xox         
   l      
         
xxo         
         
   w      
xxo         
   w   1   12
         
xxo         
   l      
         
xox         
         
   w      
xxo         
   l      
         
xox         
         
   l   -2   10
xoo         
[/reveal]

Can this be with other flat bet method?
maybe i am in a rush of luck...
:xd:


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