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Situational / Strategy play

Started by ego, Sep 14, 02:16 PM 2011

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ego

Sep 14, 02:16 PM 2011
 
Disclamer.

I don't use roulette systems.
I don't take any responsibility towards any ones action after reading this topic.

Why i write this!

I have a curios mind and enjoy to experiment.
So this is my complete topic towards the creation of different playing models.

Situational & Strategy play ...

I will write about using situational awareness, cycles, repeats and no repeats using different states of the distribution - balance / imbalance.
Observe results using LW-Registry and apply skips.


EGO
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Drazen

#1
Sep 14, 09:44 PM 2011
Quote from: ego on Sep 14, 02:16 PM 2011

Disclamer.

I don't use roulette systems.
I don't take any responsibility towards any ones action after reading this topic.

Why i write this!

I have a curios mind and enjoy to experiment.
So this is my complete topic towards the creation of different playing models.

Situational & Strategy play ...

I will write about using situational awareness, cycles, repeats and no repeats using different states of the distribution - balance / imbalance.
Observe results using LW-Registry and apply skips.


EGO

As always, good and interesting. Shoot.

Regards

Drazen

ego

#2
Sep 17, 11:40 AM 2011
 
I state that i own copyright towards the following topic 2011-09-17.

Even Money bets.

As we all know so is nothing "due to happen" even if we have the probability to fail 1 in 16.
It still does not change that the even money bets is 50/50.

The distribution with LW-Registry.

Here is a short sample of 300 trails where you can see there is at most two loses in a row and all the others chop nice and steady - that is the optimal winning distribution using even money bets that we as gamblers would like to achieve using a good bet selection.

WWWLWWLLWLWWWLLWLWLWWLLL
WLLL
WWWWLWWWLWLLWWWWWLWLLWLLWWLWWWWWLWWWWWLLL
LWLWWWWLWWWLWWWLWWLLWLWLWLWWWWWWLLWWWW

Restrictive or aggressive progression.

My experience due to past simulations is that restrictive progressions last longer.
I pass one milion using a humble Fibonacci.
The test end up with a positive net gain - even if the progression fail once.

Other solution that i can think of - but have not test is Oscar Grind.
I will make some shorter manual testing to illustrate it with this bet selection.

The Bet Selection & Triggers.

1). First you track the previous four outcomes (the bet selection) and play the future four outcomes - but there is only three bets made.
As the first outcome of the future four outcomes is a trigger - if that colour is the same as the first colour of your previous four (the bet selection) you will play opposite towards does outcomes of the previous four.
If the colour is the opposite towards the first outcome of your previous four you will play same.

2). Second you only play after one cycle fail and only attack after you have one fictive win.
Every sequence will end with three loses.

EGO
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Drazen

#3
Sep 17, 01:59 PM 2011
Quote from: ego on Sep 17, 11:40 AM 2011


WWWLWWLLWLWWWLLWLWLWWLLL
WLLL
WWWWLWWWLWLLWWWWWLWLLWLLWWLWWWWWLWWWWWLLL
LWLWWWWLWWWLWWWLWWLLWLWLWLWWWWWWLLWWWW


Thanks Ego. Well isnt this winning distribution from dreams? Lately searching for as much as possible balanced EC bet/strategy to apply  with some "weapon". This looks astonishing. Anyway as time goes by i am sure i could/will find what am i looking for excatly amoung your work...

Regards

Drazen

ego

#4
Sep 17, 02:27 PM 2011
Quote from: drazen_cro on Sep 17, 01:59 PM 2011
Thanks Ego. Well isn't this winning distribution from dreams? Lately searching for as much as possible balanced EC bet/strategy to apply  with some "weapon". This looks astonishing. Anyway as time goes by i am sure i could/will find what am i looking for exactly among your work...

Regards

Drazen

Hello it is true and yes that is what many look for using even money bets - but no matter how good so does it exist fluctuation - money management is very important.
Here follows some hints except good hit ratio.

If some one play 0.01 Euro and play for peanuts and hit fluctuation from hell.
Then you move on to next casino and play 0.10 Euro and when balance at 0 you move back towards 0.01 or if you win the lottery twice in one life time and loss again you would move to next at 1.00 Euro.

It would be very hard to lose it all with out a good ROR and recoup.
Here you have 300 trials from today from random.org.

WLLL
LLL
WLLWLWWWWWWLLWLLWLLL
WLWWLLWLWWWLWLWLWWLWLWLLWLLWLLL
LWWWWLWLLWWLWLLL
WWWLLL
WLLL
WLWWLLWWLLL
LWWLWWWWWWLWWLWLLW

Greed is the biggest enemy for most gamblers.

Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Drazen

#5
Sep 17, 02:50 PM 2011
Mmmm this thing failed only once with Fibbo on million spins? But eneded in overall plus again.. I hear ringing some bells... I don't have problem with greed. Greed has with me, because i don't want to meet it. Especialy in roulette.

Mental discipline and its improving is very important in this game. If you could having mental condition like Spartan soldiers, with little thinking and sweating you could wear laurels when coming at the table...  We can learn a lot from Spartan soldiers... some already did.


Regards

Drazen

ego

#6
Sep 17, 03:03 PM 2011
Quote from: drazen_cro on Sep 17, 02:50 PM 2011
Mmmm this thing failed only once with Fibbo on million spins? But eneded in overall plus again.. I hear ringing some bells... I don't have problem with greed. Greed has with me, because i don't want to meet it. Especialy in roulette.

Mental condition and its improving is very important in this game. If you could having mental condition like Spartan soldiers, with little thinking and sweating you could wear laurels when coming at the table...  We can learn a lot from Spartans... some already did.


Regards

Drazen

Hello again ...

It was not this method and i just made a comparison towards that one i did in the past.
As if i would have run it with 0.01 and move towards 10x to 0.10 it would have been awesome to see the results.

Cheers
Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Drazen

#7
Sep 17, 03:16 PM 2011
Quote from: ego on Sep 17, 03:03 PM 2011

Hello again ...

It was not this method and i just made a comparison towards that one i did in the past.
As if i would have run it with 0.01 and move towards 10x to 0.10 it would have been awesome to see the results.

Cheers

I understood. Lot of food for thought.

Regards

Drazen

warrior

#8
Sep 18, 12:15 PM 2011
Quote from: drazen_cro on Sep 17, 03:16 PM 2011
I understood. Lot of food for thought.

Regards

Drazen
1 million spins and were still serching  ???

Drazen

#9
Sep 18, 01:07 PM 2011
Quote from: warrior on Sep 18, 12:15 PM 2011
1 million spins and were still serching  ???

I dont get you on this one?

Regards

Drazen

warrior

#10
Sep 18, 01:14 PM 2011
Quote from: drazen_cro on Sep 18, 01:07 PM 2011
I don't get you on this one?

Regards

Drazen
What i mean is this lost once in a million on a fibo, thats crazy we should stop looking and play with this one .

Drazen

#11
Sep 18, 01:17 PM 2011
Quote from: warrior on Sep 18, 01:14 PM 2011
What i mean is this lost once in a million on a fibo, that's crazy we should stop looking and play with this one .

I agree  :P

Regards

Drazen

ego

#12
Sep 19, 03:55 PM 2011
 
Now i am going to be honest and say one thing based upon my experience and with one educated guess with out testing it ...

I assume that if you would play previos three and play oppisite after fictive win - then this is the result you would gain in the long run.

For that you would need a 15 step fibo progression - witch i don't have - but i know Frank Barstow create one.

This one use a bet selection and fibo with 12 step ...


Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.

Kattila

#13
Sep 19, 05:27 PM 2011
Quote from: ego on Sep 19, 03:55 PM 2011

Now i am going to be honest and say one thing based upon my experience and with one educated guess with out testing it ...

I assume that if you would play previos three and play oppisite after fictive win - then this is the result you would gain in the long run.

For that you would need a 15 step fibo progression - witch i don't have - but i know Frank Barstow create one.

This one use a bet selection and fibo with 12 step ...



Nice one Ego (LS) the only problem seems to be profit/balance after so many spins...
or if you make more(1 000 000) tests the balance can be much higher or not ?

thanks

ego

#14
Sep 19, 05:31 PM 2011
 
Well i think the strike ratio using previos four with this topic is about - have a very high hit ratio and much higher then the method i use with the chart ...
So i can only assume the net gain would be much higher using previos four with 15 step fibo.

Denial of gamblers fallacy is usually seen in people who has Roulette as last option for a way to wealth, debt covering and a independent lifestyle.  Next step is pretty ugly-
AP - It's not that it can't be done, but rather people don't really have a clue as to the level of fanaticism and outright obsession that it takes to be successful, let alone get to the level where you can take money out of the casinos on a regular basis. Out of 1,000 people that earnestly try, maybe only one will make it.
-
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